State Of The Race: How Previous Presidential Campaigns Looked Going Into October (CHART)

[ProSense]

State Of The Race: How Previous Presidential Campaigns Looked Going Into October (CHART)
http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/09/presidential-race-gallup-october.php

[mucifer]

1. It will be interesting to see if citizen's united has an effect on these numbers

[treestar]

2. Makes me think of the "mandate" the Rs claimed for Shrub in 2004

He actually got over 50% that time!!!!

But then the result in 2008 created no such "mandate."

[Liberal Gramma]

3. Y'know what's interesting?

In every case, the Republican picked up points between October and election day. Sometimes, not enough to win,but always an improvement. Does that mean they've been cheating since the 80s? In no case was a Republican's final vote number less than the October polling number; in several, the Democrat's final was lower. Some of the difference is accounted for by undecideds finally deciding, but 6 and 7 point improvements are common. And... contrary to popular opinion, which holds that Clinton won because Perot split the R vote, it appears that most of Perot's late support came from the D column. What I think: we've had the intimidation/voter suppression/vote changing problem for a l-o-n-g time.

[Scurrilous]

4. K & R