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Fri Oct 23, 2020, 11:52 AM

In case you need to dispute the new MI poll from Zia that has Trump +4










It has Biden and Trump tied among black voters...

The pollster hired to do this, Zia, is a New Mexico pollster that had HRC only winning New Mexico by 2 points in 2016. (She won by 8.3 points). Why would they hire a New Mexico pollster to survey Michigan??

Did the overpoll 45 to 64 year olds intentionally 40.9% seems a lot

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Reply In case you need to dispute the new MI poll from Zia that has Trump +4 (Original post)
Claustrum Oct 2020 OP
spooky3 Oct 2020 #1
Polybius Oct 2020 #2
Claustrum Oct 2020 #4
fishwax Oct 2020 #9
Indykatie Oct 2020 #3
Bernardo de La Paz Oct 2020 #5
getagrip_already Oct 2020 #6
Turin_C3PO Oct 2020 #7
Claustrum Oct 2020 #8

Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:01 PM

1. I saw another poll that also had a very large Gen X subsample.

It also reported more favorable Trump results.

No way is Gen X larger than Boomers and Millennials.

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Response to spooky3 (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:07 PM

2. Are us Xers more conservatives than Boomers and Millennials?

Damn.

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Response to Polybius (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:11 PM

4. I think it has to do with our position in society.

I am actually a millennial but I am right at the border and all of my friends are at the tail end of Gen X. We have 10+ years of working experience and worked our way into managerial positions with better pay. We all have advanced degree and we are mostly first generation immigrants. But it was disturbing to me to find out that quite a few of them became Obama>Trump voters in 2016. I think taxes became a big issue for them.

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Response to Polybius (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:32 PM

9. not more conservative than Boomers, no

In 2016, at least, the older the voter the more likely they were to vote for trump.

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Response to spooky3 (Reply #1)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:10 PM

3. Rated as a C/D Pollster By 538 Sight - This Results Gives Us an Idea Why

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Response to Indykatie (Reply #3)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:12 PM

5. Site

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:24 PM

6. another poll..

From EPIC-MRA:

MICHIGAN: Biden 48%, Trump 39%

Interesting points in the data sheet.

https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/10/2020-EPICMRA-Omnibus-Statewide-Oct-Poll-102320.pdf

38% of respondents had already voted!

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Response to Claustrum (Original post)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:26 PM

7. Lol the idea

that Trump has anywhere near the black support that Biden has is utterly ridiculous.

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Response to Turin_C3PO (Reply #7)

Fri Oct 23, 2020, 12:29 PM

8. Yeah. But I assume we will see the Trumpers talk about this poll

and then say all polls are wrong in 2016. I wanted to get the specific counter points in case someone needs to dispute the poll. Trump tying black voters with Biden is one that Trumpers can't even argue with.

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