I gave to six senate campaigns who could flip blue tonight. Here is the list if anyone is interest.
Looked for close races that could use the cash. Figured it could save someone some time.
Raphael Warnock (GA) +6 (runoff)
Theresa Greenfield (IA) +4
Sara Gideon (ME) +4
Jon Ossoff (GA) -1
Steve Bullock (MT) -3
Al Gross (AK) -5
Another one from Awsi Dooger is:
Barbara Bollier (KS) -2
I didn't include Kelly because he is up solidly, McGrath because I don't believe she can win, or Harrison because he has a mountain of cash and if he wins or loses likely isn't going to come down to more money.
Warnock while leading by six is in a jungle primary. If he doesn't get 50% (unlikely) then he will be in a runoff with the Republican leader and he will very much not be up six there. I figured donate to his campaign now and they can use it as needed.
On edit: ME not MN for Gideon thanks.
than the last many combined.
I havent even looked at my numbers, way too much but the money I have, you have, if putin takes the election, it will soon be his so it really doesnt matter.
I use to have a policy of only donating to federal and in-state. I broke my own rule this time! And happy to admit it!
Kind of silly anyway, since, every Senator has an impact on federal law, regardless of jurisdiction!
looking at a couple of house races still
Sat Oct 17, 2020: It's Saturday. Who are the four or five candidates for the Senate who are the most likely to
Here's what I ended up doing:
I made a seven-way split at Ditch Mitch or Die Trying.
Based on the seven recommendations made here:
Theresa Greenfield in Iowa
Barbara Bollier in Kansas
Alan Gross in Alaska
Gary Peters in Michigan
Jon Osoff in Georgia
Steve Bullock in Montana
Cal Cunningham in North Carolina
I have to do this at a public terminal. I am forbidden from making political contributions on my work computer.
The library computer is about to close down in ten minutes. I'm going to get some dinner.
Thanks to everyone for all the help. I can do this again, so don't be shy. Speak up if you think I missed anyone.
They're close and very winnable
That Bollier race continues to be understated. Kansas has always had fewer than 40% conservatives, unlike states like Georgia and Alaska. The educational levels in Kansas are very good, far superior to other states where Republicans have huge numbers of working class whites.
Bollier may not be someone we'd pick in a more liberal state but she provides a chance in Kansas, which has a recent history of electing females statewide. This article describes why Kansas is often a race to see who is the most moderate. That's why Bollier has a chance.
Alaska polling always slants heavily to the Democrat. I mean always. Maybe it will change someday. But until it does I am not a believer in that state.
It looks like a runoff. Will voters be worn out on the R side and dispirited because they have lost the Senate. Is there any chance to get him to 50 this cycle? I have given to him but I don't think it is winnable now. I think I have decided on Hegar, Greenfield, Ossoff, Bullock. Perhaps Bollier. Your mileage may vary.
Since the other two Dems refused to dropout I don't think him getting to 50% will happen. So it will come down to turnout in the runoff election in Jan. Not sure what will happen there.