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Sat Oct 17, 2020, 11:21 AM

Why voting early matters

1) High turnout means the GOP loses
Due to changing demographics, the GOP already has to get an increasingly larger share of a shrinking demographic. Their GOTV effort has already been very strong for many years. As such their GOTV efforts see diminishing returns on high turnout elections. Conversely the Democrats have traditionally low turnout even in major elections relative to the number of people who would vote for them if they only showed up at the polls. The GOP knows this and that's why they have been focused on voter suppression. They know all too well the greater the turnout, the bigger their losses will be.

2) Early turnout allows Democrats to focus efforts elsewhere. We are already seeing an explosion of early voting. This is an excellent indication the strongest Democrat constituents will have already voted in the coming days and weeks. So rather than spending money on getting the most reliable votes to the polls, the Democrats can focus on getting the harder to reach votes or directing resources to other states with closer races.

3) Early voting numbers are going to suck the life out of the GOP. The more people vote early, the more reporting will suggest the GOP is doomed. Many will give up and not vote. Many of their donors will see the election as a lost cause and stop contributing, shutting down their candidacies when they need resources the most.

4) This isn't just about Trump. Even if Trump loses and the Senate splits 50/50, that still isn't good enough. Want to increase the SCOTUS to 13 judges? That doesn't happen with 50/50 as there's bound to be defections. Get that number up to 52/48 or higher and everything Trump has done in the last 4 years will be undone and the pendulum swings far to the other side.

5) State legislatures can turn as well. The downballot candidates are going to make a huge difference. Even Texas could potentially see its state House flip to blue. The more state legislatures go blue, the more reform we get down to the lowest levels.

If you can, vote early. The effect will only be positive for our side.

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Arrow 5 replies Author Time Post
Reply Why voting early matters (Original post)
Major Nikon Oct 17 OP
beachbumbob Oct 17 #1
Major Nikon Oct 17 #2
beachbumbob Oct 17 #3
ananda Oct 17 #4
ms liberty Oct 17 #5

Response to Major Nikon (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 11:26 AM

1. factor in COVID and the explosion that will continue for next 4 weeks, and the impact on same day

voting. Are you a GOP voter and going to stand in line for hours under the a growing pandemic and KNOWING how bad trump is going to lose even if you vote?

I dare say, this alone will casue massive numbers of gop voters NOT to bother.

Then weather? What happens if all across the South and South east is hit with severe weather on Nov2/3rd, how willing will the typical GOP voter be to endure that knowing the landslide can't be stopped?

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Response to beachbumbob (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 11:54 AM

2. We rarely get bad weather in the South in early November

For most of the South the leaves don't even start falling till November and the hurricane season is coming to an end. So probably a bigger factor in the Midwest.

For the South COVID seems to be the much bigger threat and with the GOP stiffing vote by mail this could very well turn out even worse for them if the early voting turnouts keep with the current pace.

Here in Texas I can already see the wind going out of their sails and for those north of a room temperature IQ the depression is already starting to set in. What they probably don't realize is a complete blowout in this election is going to be the demise of their entire party, not just in the near term. The GOP in its current form will never survive this.

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Response to Major Nikon (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:13 PM

3. sure, but we don;t live in normal times do we?

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Response to Major Nikon (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:16 PM

4. It's safer too!

The nazi poll posses aren't really messing with early voting.

It appears they have big plans for election day, though.

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Response to Major Nikon (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 12:35 PM

5. Three votes this morning in NC, our first Saturday of early voting.

I'm in a rural area, so no crowd at our closest early voting center, and there are three of them in total for my county. I think altogether we saw maybe six other people coming or going while we were there.

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