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If Lindsey Graham loses could there be reverse coat tails and Trump loses in SC also? (Original Post) yellowcanine Oct 2020 OP
I think Graham will probably win Tyfairbanks600 Oct 2020 #1
No BainsBane Oct 2020 #2
if Graham loses, this would make it very close for biden beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3
Nate Silver has noted how "inelastic" the Deep South is Tyfairbanks600 Oct 2020 #4
Both are unlikely. bearsfootball516 Oct 2020 #5
No but it doesn't matter. Statistical Oct 2020 #6
Wafflers will come home to Graham. It's SC :( n/t moonscape Oct 2020 #7
Some folks call wishful thinking, visualizing success. LakeArenal Oct 2020 #8
Unfortunately I on't see SC going blue this time around redstateblues Oct 2020 #9
It's A Shame That Is Stephen Colbert's Home State sfstaxprep Oct 2020 #10
Well... Xolodno Oct 2020 #11
 

Tyfairbanks600

(51 posts)
4. Nate Silver has noted how "inelastic" the Deep South is
Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:10 PM
Oct 2020

Democrats routinely get 40%+ of the vote in those states, due to the black population. It’s not like Idaho or Oklahoma or something, where Democrats are lucky to get 30% of the vote.

The problem in the Deep South is getting to about 45% of the vote, with whites voting in such unison.

Statistical

(19,264 posts)
6. No but it doesn't matter.
Fri Oct 16, 2020, 05:27 PM
Oct 2020

If Biden ends up anywhere close in SC it means he has likely swept NC, GA, and FL.

SC is one of those states like TX or AK. If Biden were to win SC it doesn't matter because it would be going from 400 EV to 409 EV. In any race that SC matters Biden wouldn't win SC. It is about 10 points more conservative than the national average.

Harrison is more conservative than Biden but if he wins it will be barely and as a longshot and almost certainly Biden will still end up losing the state.

sfstaxprep

(9,998 posts)
10. It's A Shame That Is Stephen Colbert's Home State
Fri Oct 16, 2020, 06:40 PM
Oct 2020

I know he talks favorably about it, but Wow! Don't think I could ever be happy calling it home with my views.

Xolodno

(6,334 posts)
11. Well...
Fri Oct 16, 2020, 07:05 PM
Oct 2020

..it is wishful thinking.

If we get close, not good for Trump.

If we get no call after polls close and told it may take a long time....Trump is in serious trouble.

If it gets called for Biden a few hours after the poll's close. It's over.

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