*FLORIDA: Biden 51%, Trump 40% PENNSYLVANIA: Biden 54%, Trump 41% IOWA: Biden 50%, Trump 45%*

[DemocratSinceBirth]

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3678

[Eliot Rosewater]

1. Great ....

scared to death what desperate fascist killers will do to keep power

but VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE

[Claustrum]

2. The state polls seem to be all over the place today

These state polls are "landslide" territory while the earlier OH, WI, NV are in "not super bad for Trump" territory.

But nonetheless, Trump is losing right now.

[Wounded Bear]

3. Florida by 9 points?!?!?!

Seriously?

That's fucking amazing.

[lagomorph777]

8. 11 points.

[Wounded Bear]

12. So big it screwed up my math skills...

Call it euphoric dyslexia.

[Statistical]

16. National polls seem to indicate a huge shift among older Americans towards Biden.

Florida has a lot of older voters.

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. Nice 2.8% MOE, but 9% undecided/3rd party in FL? Nt

[Buckeyeblue]

20. Is Trump pushing some supporters to 3rd party candidates

[Johnny2X2X]

5. !!!!!

Yes, now some of the state polls that are coming in are reflecting the Trump collapse of the debates and with getting Covid-19.

[Roland99]

6. Quinnipiac has seem more ... optimistic? imho

haven't looked at them compared to the average trendline, though

[Zambero]

7. Encouraging numbers

Especially séeing Florida moving away from the "statistical tie" that earlier polls have shown. Iowa until recently "leaning Trump", is also heading in the right direction.

[Johnny2X2X]

9. Also, maybe put Quinnipiac in the title

It's on e of the most respected pollsters.

[frazzled]

10. Iowa most surprising to me

Trump won by nearly 10 points there in 2016.

[greenjar_01]

18. Obama won Iowa twice

[lark]

11. Yeah, I don't know about the FL poll.

All others have drumpf in the lead or tied and I am still seeing asshole trumpers with signs and red gear. Plus FL has a hackable voting system and repugs always steal the election, Russia got in so deep it could have changed votes in 2016 and probably did and will do so again, to an even greater degree. I don't think we should count on either FL or WI that both have the same type of insecure - on purpose - voting software.

[Wounded Bear]

13. Maybe killing off a bunch of seniors by ignoring a pandemic ain't good strategy...

[MaryMagdaline]

15. Florida is a shocker to me. If we win Florida it's going to be because of

Social Security and Covid. Seniors are the only people who “cought” Trump saying he would eliminate payroll taxes. Frightening words.

[Awsi Dooger]

26. My 78 year old aunt in Florida switched to Biden because of Social Security and the debate

She called me at 11 PM yesterday to let me know. She already voted absentee for Biden. I was semi speechless because I assumed she would go for Trump again. She watches the local Fox affiliate all day long.

But a month ago I told her about Social Security ending in mid 2023 if Trump is re-elected. I don't think she believed it until watching the debate. Trump's behavior during the debate really turned her off. She said that was the clinching factor.

My aunt voted Obama twice, but was so mesmerized by Trump in 2016 she not only voted for him but changed registration to Republican for the first time in her life. Her new friends were widows who brainwashed her into pro-GOP, including sending all the bogus crap about Hillary to her on Facebook.

[MaryMagdaline]

29. That's such great news!!

[lark]

24. Ya think?

4 repugs I know who voted for drumpf last time will not do so this time. Only 1 f them is voting Biden, the rest are writing in a repug not running, but hey minus 4 drumpf votes is a good start.

[Wounded Bear]

27. Yeah I think the shoes on the other foot this year...

3rd party votes will likely hurt Trump more than Biden.

They're saying we don't have "enthusiasm." I trust dogged determination a lot more than vapid enthusiasm.

[MontanaFarmer]

19. Not true, of late.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/florida/

Joe has been building a lead there the past couple weeks. Still suspect Q is a bit optimistic but I think we're leading Fl as of now.

[BannonsLiver]

22. There hasn't been a legitimate poll that has shown Trump ahead in Florida in a long time

There have been multiples showing Biden with a 2-5 pt lead.

[Happy Hoosier]

14. Not saying I am banking on these numbers, but.....

That makes me SMILE!

[Jamesyu]

17. Nate and Dave are concern trolling

Saying Q is an outlier though they could be but it’s hilarious seeing them lose it on twitter over this.

[BannonsLiver]

23. I think Nate's Q4 revenue projection was heavily reliant on a horse race

[Scurrilous]

21. Florida is looking to go blue again.

Nearly 1 million ballots cast in Florida before Election Day

'Florida voters have already cast nearly one million ballots in the 2020 general election, according to the United States Elections Project.'

'Wednesday’s data shows nearly 5.5 million vote-by-mail ballots were requested in Florida with around 2.5 million were registered democrat and 1.7 million were registered republican. Democrats take the lead as nearly 500,000 ballots have already been returned compared to approximately 270,000 republicans mailing in their vote.'

https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2020/10/07/nearly-1-million-ballots-cast-in-florida-before-election-day/

Go Heat!

[MoonlitKnight]

25. Florida

Not likely to be that far ahead for Joe. It’s just the way it goes in Florida.

BUT, it does show what I have been hearing, especially from Republicans. About 1 in 4 of the limited but not tiny number I have talked to are saying they will leave the president line blank. So that could account for some of the 9%. But I don’t trust they will actually do it.

[EleanorR]

28. Vote like it's tied people. Vote, vote, vote!

Link to tweet