Trump Loses it After New Pennsylvania Poll Shows Him Down 12%

[634-5789]

PENNSYLVANIA VOTER POLL: #GeneralElection matchup
Registered voters:
54% @JoeBiden (49% in August)
42% @realDonaldTrump (45%)

Likely voters, high turnout:
54% Biden (49%)
43% Trump (46%)

Likely voters, low turnout:
53% Biden (48%)
45% Trump (47%)



https://www.politicususa.com/2020/10/06/trump-loses-it-after-new-pennsylvania-poll-shows-him-down-12.html

[beachbumbob]

1. PA is all but lost now, joins Michigan and Wisconsin

trump will be more reckless than ever

[tinrobot]

2. It is literally losing.

[captain queeg]

3. Oooo. Mango Mussolini is going to have a sad

Actually he only has one emotion; anger. He just ramps that up when he’s hit with something he doesn’t like. So the more he goes down in the polls the crazier he’ll become, raging about how it’s all fake. He wouldn’t consider that he’s losing because of his own actions, he’ll just keep denying reality. I hope someone is standing by with a sedative, ready to knock him out if necessary.

[ananda]

4. And now he's on steroids and completely manic...

...

[Roland99]

5. More info on the poll

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_PA_100620/

mong all registered voters in Pennsylvania, the race for president stands at 54% for Biden and 42% for Trump. Another 1% support Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and 2% are undecided. Biden maintains a sizable lead when likely voter models are applied. A model based on a somewhat higher level of turnout than 2016 puts the race at 54% for Biden and 43% for Trump, while one reflecting lower turnout has it at 53% for Biden and 45% for Trump.

The results show a wider gap than Monmouth’s poll one month ago, when Biden held a 49% to 45% lead among registered voters. The current race standing is more in line with Monmouth’s July poll, which had it at 53% Biden to 40% Trump. A significantly larger number of voters say Biden (60%) has at least some understanding of their day to day concerns than say the same about Trump (45%).

“If any recent event moved the needle it was more likely last week’s debate than the president’s Covid diagnosis. What seems to be more important than either event, though, is voters’ focus on which candidate they trust more on the issues that keep them up at night,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

The poll found little differentiation in vote preferences before and after the president revealed he has Covid-19. Half of the poll’s interviews were conducted on each side of that breaking news. After adjusting for the sample’s party registration balance in each half, Biden held a 54% to 42% lead among registered voters in interviews conducted Wednesday and Thursday and a similar 55% to 42% lead in the Friday through Sunday period.

Link to tweet

[ihas2stinkyfeet]

6. and they dont polls newly registered voters.

[Amishman]

7. For PA that would actually help Trump

The Republicans have been outpacing us significantly in new voter registrations

https://patch.com/pennsylvania/lansdale/crucial-pa-trump-registers-far-more-new-voters-biden

Not too worried about that though, with multiple polls showing Biden pushing a 10 point or more lead, a 100k net new Republican voters isn't going to be able to overcome that. It does further underline that PA will be a heavily contested state going forward though.

[ihas2stinkyfeet]

8. assuming they are legit, actual voters.

which i wouldnt.

[moose65]

9. Young voters don't register with a party

I teach at a college, and I can't tell you how many 19- and 20-year-olds I have heard who registered with no party affiliation. In my county, there are now more unaffiliated voters than there are from either major party.

So, the registration advantage that Republicans have had in PA. is not necessarily bad for us Democrats.