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Johnny2X2X

(19,039 posts) Tue Oct 6, 2020, 11:52 AM Oct 2020

3

Not even Rasmussen is pretending anymore, Approval for Trump 45% to 54% disapproval

The last week was awful for Trump.

4 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Not even Rasmussen is pretending anymore, Approval for Trump 45% to 54% disapproval (Original Post) Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 OP

This message was self-deleted by its author Democracy2020 Oct 2020 #1

538 has Biden up to 83% likelihood of winning vs 17% Trump. spooky3 Oct 2020 #2

Last Monday it was 78-22 Johnny2X2X Oct 2020 #3

Yes, it is. But here is why we can't relax: spooky3 Oct 2020 #4

Response to Johnny2X2X (Original post)

Democracy2020 This message was self-deleted by its author.

spooky3

(34,439 posts)

2. 538 has Biden up to 83% likelihood of winning vs 17% Trump.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Original post)

Tue Oct 6, 2020, 12:20 PM

Oct 2020

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

This is up from 81% for Biden last week.

We aren't resting until it is 99%.

Johnny2X2X

(19,039 posts)

3. Last Monday it was 78-22

Reply to spooky3 (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 6, 2020, 12:21 PM

Oct 2020

So that's a big swing in a 8 days.

spooky3

(34,439 posts)

4. Yes, it is. But here is why we can't relax:

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 6, 2020, 12:23 PM

Oct 2020

https://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2016/10/18/presidential-forecast-updates/newsletter.html

NYTimes' forecast based on multiple polls had Clinton with a 91% probability on October 18, 2016.

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