Thu Oct 1, 2020, 06:55 PM

Predictions on demographic voting in 2020.

I just looked back at the 2016 numbers. Seen Below.
Here’s what Clinton did:
WM. 32. 62
WM. 45. 47
BM. 91. 6
BW. 98. *
HM. 65. 28
HW. 67. 28
Source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

Do you see any real appreciable change in those 6 major demographic groups?
I think that Biden does much better with white men and Trump may do a little better with Hispanic men. Plus there will be very few votes going to third party candidates this time.

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3 replies	Author	Time	Post
Predictions on demographic voting in 2020. (Original post)	Funtatlaguy	Oct 2020	OP
Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)	Spider Jerusalem	Oct 2020	#1
I agree with you. Sure hope so.	Funtatlaguy	Oct 2020	#2
Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics	Awsi Dooger	Oct 2020	#3

Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:00 PM

Spider Jerusalem (21,786 posts)

1. Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)

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Response to Spider Jerusalem (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:02 PM

Funtatlaguy (9,889 posts)

2. I agree with you. Sure hope so.

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:19 PM

Awsi Dooger (14,565 posts)

3. Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics

In particular, white working class females will shift toward Biden and middle aged Hispanic men toward Trump

Black males somewhat better for Trump

Key number is how much Biden improves among whites

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