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Thu Oct 1, 2020, 06:55 PM

Predictions on demographic voting in 2020.

I just looked back at the 2016 numbers. Seen Below.
Here’s what Clinton did:
WM. 32. 62
WM. 45. 47
BM. 91. 6
BW. 98. *
HM. 65. 28
HW. 67. 28
Source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

Do you see any real appreciable change in those 6 major demographic groups?
I think that Biden does much better with white men and Trump may do a little better with Hispanic men. Plus there will be very few votes going to third party candidates this time.


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Reply Predictions on demographic voting in 2020. (Original post)
Funtatlaguy Oct 1 OP
Spider Jerusalem Oct 1 #1
Funtatlaguy Oct 1 #2
Awsi Dooger Oct 1 #3

Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:00 PM

1. Prediction: Biden is the first Dem since Clinton in '96 to win a majority of white women (n/t)

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Response to Spider Jerusalem (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:02 PM

2. I agree with you. Sure hope so.

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Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)

Thu Oct 1, 2020, 07:19 PM

3. Biden will do better with whites, Trump better with Hispanics

In particular, white working class females will shift toward Biden and middle aged Hispanic men toward Trump

Black males somewhat better for Trump

Key number is how much Biden improves among whites

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