What is you wish state? The one that will make you most happy if we win.

[Hamlette]

Mine is Ohio. No Republican has won the WH without winning Ohio. I'd also love Arizona.

21 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
	Ohio
	3 (14%)
	PA
	1 (5%)
	Texas
	10 (48%)
	Iowa
	0 (0%)
	Michigan
	0 (0%)
	GA
	0 (0%)
	Florida
	7 (33%)
	North Carolina
	0 (0%)
	Arizona
	0 (0%)
	other
	0 (0%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[W_HAMILTON]

1. Texas, with South Carolina a close second!

[Brother Mythos]

2. Texas! I'm not optimistic about it actually happening, but I would love to see it.

But, if it did happen, I would stop saying we should give Taker State Texas back to Mexico for the good of the rest of the United States!

[DFW]

11. Second that! n/t

[DFW]

19. Second that! n/t

[regnaD kciN]

3. Florida...

...because, if we win there, we only need two of the PA/MI/WI bloc (plus, I suspect that, if we win in Florida, where Republicans always seem to find a way to pull it out, it means we'll probably win all of the above as well, plus possibly several others).

[Demovictory9]

4. Florida is always a possibility. A win in Texas would signal that it's (finally) turning blue

[Hamlette]

21. agree, but Ohio has been red forever too.

[Awsi Dooger]

5. Florida because it's the most pivotal state

There is far too much complacency here regarding losing Florida and Biden winning anyway. Nate Silver posted a couple of weeks ago that Trump becomes 55% favorite to be re-elected if he wins Florida.

Now, it might be somewhat lower than that right now, since Biden's overall position has improved somewhat. But still in the 50% range or slightly above. That's because if something has caused Florida to slant to Trump then the same dynamic is applying elsewhere also. These are hardly independent variables. Sam Wang seems to be particularly clueless about that.

If Biden doesn't win Florida he's also not going to carry North Carolina or Georgia or Iowa or Ohio or Texas. Only Arizona among the flippable states might come before Florida. Again, it's due to the basic aspect of only 36% conservatives in Florida compared to 39%+ in all of those other states. Deny at your own expense. Subjectivity is easy prey for fundamental math.

[Willto]

6. Florida

If Florida goes our way then the Republicans can piss on the fire and call the dog. We could relax because its over early. Then you can spend the rest of the night sipping your beverage of choice and just waiting to see what the final margin of victory will be.

[Tribetime]

7. I say Ohio since even though it went blue 2 of last 3

Everyone wrote it off this year.

[JonLP24]

8. I voted Arizona because the state hasn't voted blue for a long time

Though the last few elections have been close. I also look forward to McSally losing.

[Yavin4]

9. If we can win and hold TX, Dems would have a lock on the Electoral College

And that puts us into a brand new world.

[duforsure]

10. Texas and then Florida,

And that would send them a clear message how badly they've failed.

[milestogo]

12. You forgot Wisconsin.

[Wounded Bear]

13. Texas would turn this election into a real curb stomping...

[Amishman]

14. PA, my home state and the most likely tipping point

Win here and win overall

[Sherman A1]

15. I want Biden-Harris to win 63 states

And deliver a soul crushing defeat to the republicans.

[backroadblast]

16. Would love to see Texas go blue

once they do, it will never be red again.


.........but I went with Florida.

[Celerity]

17. Texas by FAR, as we can lose almost ALL the rest of the close swing states & still win if we won TX

If we won TX every election, odds are staggeringly high we will not have another Rethug POTUS for decades, if ever.

The only remotely close states we would need to win are MN, NH, and NV.

VA and CO are pretty much perma Blue now, barring a disasterclass Dem nominee.

AND, if we win MI, we could lose any 2 of MN, NH, and NV, and still win.

And there are TEN other states that I gave the Rethugs, all of them winnable, plus the 2 split districts (which I gave both to Trump to show how HUGE TX is)

Bottom line, without TX going forward, the Rethugs ARE FUCKED, POTUS-wise.




Finally, if we won only FL, TX, and VA (plus the DEEP Blue states), we could LOSE ALL the rest and win every time.

[Buckeyeblue]

18. Georgia while flipping both Senate seats...

That would be a big win.

I think if 1 of the southern states flip we might see a few of them flip. For instance, I could see SC, GA, and TX all going if 1 goes. If we get that combined with some key (and maybe some surprise) Senate pick ups, I think Biden could argue that he has a mandate to really push some things through.

[Cirque du So-What]

20. Ohio

It’d be a lot cooler if it did

[Renew Deal]

22. Utah