General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWill any of the networks call the race on election night?
I know all of the talk now is about suppressed mail in votes and what that could mean to late counting in many states going on for days or even weeks.
However, if Biden is SO FAR AHEAD in exit polling, released day of vote raw totals, number of registered Dems vs GOP mailed in ballots in a state - the call in many states may come between 7-11pm eastern time like in most Presidential elections.
According to the site 270 to win, Biden wins even without any of their tossup states.
https://www.270towin.com/
So, heres hoping we celebrate as soon as California is called on the night of November 3rd!
DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)The fact that he is trying to tamper with the USPS tells me that he knows how bad things are. Other than some racists, I can't imagine too many deplorables being all that enthusiastic for this obese POS.
That being said, Rs excel at voter suppression, foreign interference, and dirty/criminal tricks, so there's that we need to deal with.
However, Trump has FUBAR'ed the Trump Virus in the US so badly that I cannot see how he can recover in 80 days.
Laelth
(32,017 posts)Biden/Harris will win in a landslide.
Trump can whine all he wants about election fraud, but the margin of victory will be so large that all the major networks will feel confident calling the election for Biden/Harris.
Come on? A pandemic killing 170,000+ Americans? A deep economic depression? 20+ million unemployed? 25% of Americans in danger of eviction? Civil unrest throughout the nation (even in our small cities)? No incumbent ought to expect to win under these circumstances. Trump will lose big (and if I am wrong, I need to work on my Spanish because Mexico is about the only country that will take me).
-Laelth
HotTeaBag
(1,206 posts)Some states can't start counting mail in ballots until election day and with COVID there will be a ton more mail in ballots than usual.
Kornacki was on the Bulwark podcast and said that NBC was operating on the assumption that the election won't be decided until sometime after the 3rd., basically saying that they aren't going to call anything on the night of the election.
elleng
(130,836 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Too many outstanding ballots and the networks will be cautious anyway.
It's important to have indications from a key state like Florida. As mentioned, Florida counts absentees quickly. I imagine it will be like 2000 again with all eyes on Florida.
Steve Schale is the key source. Nothing will be nearby as significant as Steve Schale between let's say 7 and 8 PM on election night. He is the Florida elections expert and no doubt will be tweeting county by county indications, just like 2016. If Florida is going well this time according to Schale then everything else should follow suit. I really wish Biden would max prioritize Florida and give up on pipe dreams elsewhere.
qazplm135
(7,447 posts)Florida is very quick at counting mail-in votes. If he wins Florida that night, and let's say Minnesota and Michigan come in with enough votes to call for him, then we can have PA, WI, AZ, NC, GA, and OH all be undecided and Biden still gets 277 votes.
So my thought is, if he wins Florida, it's called on election night.
If not, might be a bit harder to call on election night.
Response to Funtatlaguy (Original post)
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Hekate
(90,624 posts)Thekaspervote
(32,751 posts)msongs
(67,381 posts)a clear cut early decision is important when so many ballots will be out there coming in delayed
Response to msongs (Reply #9)
Chin music This message was self-deleted by its author.
crickets
(25,959 posts)by either requesting/mailing ballots ASAP, dropping off ballots in person, or taking advantage of early voting. Not all states allow every option, so everyone needs to check availability and dates. Get it done as early as you can.
https://www.vote.org/early-voting-calendar/
Thanks to DUer Budi for posting this link:
https://www.postcardsforamerica.com/vote-by-mail.html
JimGinPA
(14,811 posts)lettucebe
(2,336 posts)to overcome the difference. I doubt they'd be able to ascertain such in a national election.
Who cares? So it takes a few days. I live in Washington State. Our vote is entirely by mail and we always wait for the completed count. It's not that big a deal -- Trump's a jackass
drray23
(7,627 posts)so if everybody who votes by mail does it early and they arrive in time they will be counted. if you recall kornacky on election nights he often points out this first set of number are from the early votes.
its very important we vote as early as we can to defuse Trump's scheme of screwing with the usps.