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Mon Jul 13, 2020, 04:53 PM

Chance of big San Andreas earthquake increased by Ridgecrest temblors, study suggests

A new study suggests that last year’s Ridgecrest earthquakes increased the chance of a large earthquake on California’s San Andreas fault.

The study, published in the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America on Monday, says there is now a 2.3% chance of an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater in the next 12 months on a section of the 160-mile-long Garlock fault, which runs along the northern edge of the Mojave Desert.

That increased likelihood, in turn, would cause there to be a 1.15% chance of a large earthquake on the San Andreas fault in the next year.

Those odds may seem small. But they’re a substantial jump from what the chances were before last year’s Ridgecrest, Calif., earthquakes, whose epicenters were about 125 miles northeast of downtown L.A.

https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/california/story/2020-07-13/ridgecrest-quakes-big-earthquake-san-andreas-fault-study

A major earthquake along the San Andreas would be just what we don't need anytime soon.

5 replies, 578 views

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Reply Chance of big San Andreas earthquake increased by Ridgecrest temblors, study suggests (Original post)
Zorro Jul 13 OP
CaliforniaPeggy Jul 13 #1
The River Jul 13 #2
sunonmars Jul 13 #3
samnsara Jul 13 #4
Baclava Jul 13 #5

Response to Zorro (Original post)

Mon Jul 13, 2020, 04:57 PM

1. We all know it's coming and any warning is better than none.

Therefore, I am glad to read this.

Forewarned is forearmed!



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Response to Zorro (Original post)

Mon Jul 13, 2020, 05:14 PM

2. Life Out Here

is always a F'n adventure.

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Response to Zorro (Original post)

Mon Jul 13, 2020, 05:16 PM

3. 2020 keeps on being a mega epic apocalyptic mess......

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Response to Zorro (Original post)

Mon Jul 13, 2020, 05:30 PM

4. oh dear ...not on trumps watch I hope..

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Response to Zorro (Original post)

Mon Jul 13, 2020, 05:40 PM

5. Jan 26, 1700, last time a 9.0 subduction quake hit Cascadia off Wash coast, that's the big one

40 ft tsunamis, coast land sinking down under the waves, pretty regular history there going back thousands of years, 700 mile long, the big rip, like in Indonesia

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