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Fri Jul 3, 2020, 12:58 PM

Is Gravis an unreliable or right-wing poll?

Last edited Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:53 PM - Edit history (1)

Their Arizona poll numbers are Biden 45, Trump 49. For the Senate, they have it at Kelly 42, McSally 46.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Gravis_Arizona_June_2020.pdf

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply Is Gravis an unreliable or right-wing poll? (Original post)
Polybius Jul 3 OP
Loki Liesmith Jul 3 #1
Polybius Jul 3 #2
still_one Jul 3 #3
GulfCoast66 Jul 3 #4
Polybius Jul 3 #5
GulfCoast66 Jul 3 #6
Polybius Jul 3 #9
Indykatie Jul 3 #7
SiliconValley_Dem Jul 3 #8

Response to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:01 PM

1. Lol yes

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Reply #1)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:13 PM

2. Thank you

I know all about Rasmussen polls being skewed but didn't know what side Gravis was on.

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Response to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:50 PM

3. It is essentially a tie within MOE. 7% undecided. It also is of likely voters. Seems about right

to me intuitively for Arizona



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Response to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:57 PM

4. I opened the link and saw it was OAN!

Totally unreliable.

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Response to GulfCoast66 (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:00 PM

5. OEN is worse than Fox News

But are they just reporting it, or were they part of the poll?

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Response to Polybius (Reply #5)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:09 PM

6. Actually Fox polls are high rated.

OAN polls to make their most important viewer happy.

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Response to GulfCoast66 (Reply #6)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:25 PM

9. I mean Fox News in general

I know they are highly rated. They were the only poll that had Roy Moore losing to Doug Jones.

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Response to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:11 PM

7. Gravis is a C Rated Poll But We Should Also Be Concerned About Polls Using a Likely Voter Screen

The LV screen was way off in the mid-terms and I expect that will happen again. Pollsters have no idea how eager Dem voters are to get rid of Trump.

Here is a link to 538's rating on polls. I only pay attention to the better rated experienced polls. A lot of internal polls are done by small operations more inclined towards giving their client a desired result rather than accuracy.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/



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Response to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:11 PM

8. too funny. aren't outliers fun?

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