HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » A+ Pollster : Siena/NYT :...

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 06:04 AM

A+ Pollster : Siena/NYT : Biden 50%, Trump 36% Detail is brutal for Trump




Rate a+ on 538 - Top quality pollster.

Biden winning women by 22, Indys by 21, Brutal.

By Race:

White: Trump +1
Black: Biden +74
Hispanic: Biden +39

Holy moly.


16 replies, 926 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 16 replies Author Time Post
Reply A+ Pollster : Siena/NYT : Biden 50%, Trump 36% Detail is brutal for Trump (Original post)
sunonmars Jun 24 OP
RDANGELO Jun 24 #1
sunonmars Jun 24 #2
JI7 Jun 24 #3
sunonmars Jun 24 #4
beachbumbob Jun 24 #5
Cicada Jun 24 #6
beachbumbob Jun 24 #7
Cicada Jun 24 #12
Johnny2X2X Jun 24 #8
sunonmars Jun 24 #9
beachbumbob Jun 24 #10
helpisontheway Jun 24 #11
dawg day Jun 24 #13
lagomorph777 Jun 24 #15
sunonmars Jun 24 #14
SoonerPride Jun 24 #16

Response to sunonmars (Original post)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 06:21 AM

1. He is his own worst enemy.

He continues to cling to the delusion that he can behave like Richard Nixon in the 1960s. I'ts not the 1960s. Americans want someone who can bring the country together. He is incapable of it.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RDANGELO (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 06:28 AM

2. If he is losing independents by 21 and women by 22, he is absolutely dead in the water

No coming back from that. Indys don't tend to move so much in the run up to an election. Biden has held a consistent lead there.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sunonmars (Original post)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 06:32 AM

3. It will come down to White Voters . If he is only leading white voters by 1 he has no chance of

winning. But things can always change.

White Xtian Hetero Voters are the only group he has .

It helps that Biden is an older white man that is well known. So they will focus a lot of their attacks on the woman that Biden picks to be his VP running mate .

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JI7 (Reply #3)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 07:26 AM

4. Even if its close, he's in big trouble. Trump needs to win Whites by a lot to counter.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sunonmars (Original post)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 07:52 AM

5. early for polls and national polls don;t reflect battleground states where the elections are

won and lost but the trend is what it is and trump/gop have little they can do to attract NEW voters

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beachbumbob (Reply #5)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:04 AM

6. They separately polled six battleground states, results coming later

They are publishing separately to maximize readership, I think. In 2018 Siena College was twice as accurate on state polls as others. The typical error on a state poll is 6 points. Siena NYT with innovative methods was only 3. They get respondents from actual official voter rolls, not from just random calls. I donít know how they get the phone numbers of actual registered voters but big data knows everything about us, so I assume they buy that info from someone. They call and ask to speak to Randall Thorp Jr. I think this is the best polling outfit in the world.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cicada (Reply #6)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:08 AM

7. its still early but all indicators points to overwhleming democratic victories are coming

as long as we can get people to vote.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beachbumbob (Reply #7)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:32 AM

12. Or get Repubs to not vote. Here is my strategy.

In comments For Trumpster sites whenever possible I pitch the Trump line that mail in ballots are Prone to fraud. I stress that mail in ballots might be thrown away or stolen.If no Trump voter uses a mail in ballot then on Election Day a lot of them will decide not to go vote. The weather might be bad, they might worry about Covid, they might have something else to do. Trump telling his supporters not to trust mail in ballots is a big win for democrats.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to beachbumbob (Reply #5)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:16 AM

8. Biden has been doing great in the states

What's crazy is that this pattern of the campaign is not going to change because of the resurgence of Covid-19. Trump needs something to change, he needs the campaigns to get into gear fully so he can try to change the tide, the longer it is until that happens the less time Trump will have to catch back up.

Biden just needs to sit back, keep doing what he's doing and watch Trump make mistake after mistake. They've already defined the election.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #8)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:17 AM

9. The old story, never interrupt your opponent while they are fucking it up.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #8)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:18 AM

10. trump is own worse enemy. When (and if) presidential debates, Biden will not hold back like Hillary

did. He will call trump a fucking liar and a thief to his face on national TV and then we see the real tantrum happen

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sunonmars (Original post)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:21 AM

11. Why the hell is Biden only +74 for AA?nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to helpisontheway (Reply #11)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 08:52 AM

13. Diamond and Silk were probably polled.

Finally though a majority of white women are against Trump. I was so ashamed of us.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to dawg day (Reply #13)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:20 AM

15. I'm still ashamed of white men.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sunonmars (Original post)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:10 AM

14. How long before Trump demands an apology and a retraction for daring to release this poll?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to sunonmars (Reply #14)

Wed Jun 24, 2020, 09:32 AM

16. "I'm Suing the Failing New York Times for Ruining My Breakfast Hamberder Time"

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread