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Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:18 PM

Florida COVID-19 - Some positive news from the massive numbers of new cases?

I've been working the last few days on culling data from the FL Dept of Health site. They publish to a PDF and it's a PAIN IN THE M***********G ASS to get data into a usable format but I've had plenty of spare time lately (ugh) so I've built up some good spreadsheets.




Updating my #COVID19 charts to go off of when #Florida #Reopen happened (May 4). It was close to a low point since that occurred and feels like it would be better to use that as a base moving forward to see how the reopening process affects cases, hospitalizations & deaths.


BUT, the somewhat positive news is that the Age Groups being infected are trending toward younger people, which makes sense as the economy reopens and workers head back and people head out to restaurants, bars, gyms, etc.

See this animated GIF I put together comparing March - June.





Hospitalizations have taken a slight tick upward the last couple of days as seen in the 1st tweet. Gonna keep an eye on this but also hopeful we can keep things from skyrocketing down here and still be able to get people back to work as safely as possible.

11 replies, 826 views

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Reply Florida COVID-19 - Some positive news from the massive numbers of new cases? (Original post)
Roland99 Jun 2020 OP
Doodley Jun 2020 #1
soothsayer Jun 2020 #3
Roland99 Jun 2020 #5
soothsayer Jun 2020 #2
Roland99 Jun 2020 #6
soothsayer Jun 2020 #4
ScratchCat Jun 2020 #7
Roland99 Jun 2020 #8
OrlandoDem2 Jun 2020 #9
Roland99 Jun 2020 #10
KT2000 Jun 2020 #11

Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:22 PM

1. I see. It's good that younger people are getting it as they tend to be more resilient?

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Response to Doodley (Reply #1)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:23 PM

3. Except they spread it

And also sometimes get it real bad themselves

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Response to Doodley (Reply #1)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:25 PM

5. I should have been more clear. Yeah...and asymptomatic cases are now about 25% according to FL DOH

Fewer hospitalizations are a good thing. Younger adults tend to be able to ward this off better or at least not require hospitalization.

It's a bit macabre but it's still a positive thing as it's less strain on hospitals (and individuals)

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:23 PM

2. It's good because we hate young people?

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Response to soothsayer (Reply #2)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:25 PM

6. only the maga ones




And thanks
/

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:24 PM

4. Also, thanks for tracking this and posting it

Good work

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:28 PM

7. The "positive" news

Is that the increases in cases are in the areas where all the cases were to begin with. Broward/Dade/Palm Beach counties account for the bulk of new cases with Hillsboro(Tampa), Duval(Jax), Orange(Orlando) and Lee/Charlotte/Collier(Naples, FT Myers) accounting for most of the rest. The "other 60 counties" in Florida average 8 or so cases per day. The increases are in areas with HIGH average age groups. Most non-metro areas of Florida and those with younger populations are not seeing any significant increases. When there is a "spike" on one day, it usually means they processed a bunch of tests due to a prison or hospital outbreak.

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Response to ScratchCat (Reply #7)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:32 PM

8. Levy County (west of Gainesville) has seen a spike in the last week. and Immokalee down south...

Florida's Migrant Communities Are Seeing Spikes in Coronavirus Cases
https://time.com/5852711/florida-migrant-towns-coronavirus/
Per capita, Florida ranks relatively low in its rate of new COVID-19 cases, at about 31st in the country, according to data complied by Johns Hopkins University. But the state has seen an upswing in new COVID-19 cases since it began gradually lifting restrictions on businesses and movement last month, especially in the past week. The increase may at least partly be due to expanded testing. Still, the uptick has been pronounced in some communities, including Immokalee.

The secluded town of 25,000 north of the Everglades has reported more than 1,000 cases, outpacing in recent weeks the rate of infection in Orlando, which has a population 10 times bigger and is home to a busy international airport. The number of total cases in Immokalee has surpassed those in Miami Beach, with more than 900, and St. Petersburg, which has more than 800, according to state health department statistics.

Meanwhile, the percentage of tests that have come back positive in Collier County, home to Immokalee, is the highest in the state among counties that have tested more than 5,000 people.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:36 PM

9. And those young people eventually have contact with older folks in their 60s and 70s.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Reply #9)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 02:40 PM

10. True... but the whole point was to flatten the curve, right?

Hopefully these hospitalization and fatality trends remain below the trendline.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2020, 04:27 PM

11. I get it - this info

is to correct the record. It has been said for so long that it is mainly the elderly and those with underlying conditions who get sick. That has been promoted by a couple RW think tanks (Koch) that want everything to reopen now. They have also thrown in the advice for the elderly and those with the underlying conditions just need to stay home so everything can reopen.

I have seen similar data in Yakima County Washington. The hardest hit are those in their 40s and 50s.

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