538's Daily Approval Averages - Updated

[Laura PourMeADrink]

Last edited Tue Jun 9, 2020, 01:38 PM - Edit history (2)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

SATURDAY


MONDAY


TUESDAY

[scarytomcat]

1. How could he be trending up?

In any way. He has failed at every turn.

[Chainfire]

2. It's easy

The virus has been defeated, the economy is in a greatest recovery the world has ever seen, and peace has been restored, and only he could have done it.

This administration should have an approval rating in single digits. I don't see the polling numbers as any sign that we will be rid of the monster in Nov.

[empedocles]

4. The virus had been an 'outside' non-trump crisis, triggering normal support for a President to solve

the problem.

The virus, economy, and militaristic viciousness, are now trump problems - this is starting to sink in to the trump supporter 'cons.
People will pay increasingly closer attention to the trump problems.

[Right now there is a reflexive hope that the virus and economy are doing better - realities should limit these upstarts before long].

[rockfordfile]

7. The virus hasn't been defeated and the economy is the worst it's been in years

[Chainfire]

12. That not what Donald Duck Trump says

[Music Man]

16. Chainfire's being sarcastic.

[EarlG]

6. See that one moment on the right side of the graph

where his average disapproval rating dips just briefly below 50%?

That was his “9/11 moment” — when coronavirus was in the early stages and the nation wanted to “rally round the flag”. Pretty much every other world leader managed to spin that moment out into sustained high approval ratings by responding to coronavirus in a compassionate, science-based way.

Meanwhile, Trump fired his task force and started waffling about bleach. Just like everything else he touches, the political moment that he could have capitalized on fizzled and died. Now he’s trending back down again.

[mopinko]

9. lotta local leaders, too. ie- lori lightfoot can be mayor for life.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

13. Only if you look more broadly. If you zero in on the trend since CV19

All started, it's pretty much been inching down

His very lowest point was late 2017. That's when he was below 40, his first year. In November 2017, Steve Cohen D-TN introduced brilliant articles of impeachment that even included foreign and domestic emolument clause violations. This was the point he was more ripe for the taking, with approval so low. Since then, gradual rise, surely people in general thinking, "well he must not be that bad if the Dems are giving him a pass. ". Sadly, we let him get away with way too much IMHO.

[JustGene]

3. Below 30 and he quits nt

[rockfordfile]

5. Americans are going to vote him out

[mopinko]

10. should quit. 20% and both he and mother's boy will flee the country.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

14. Would be interesting to know what his magic threshold # is.

To literally give up and not even try.

Do also know they've probably got a fudge factor if election held too. Like no one would ever believe it if he won MA. But how many points do the polls have to show him behind, say in Iowa, where no one would believe that he could have actually "won" ?

[mopinko]

8. which tells you everything you need to know about averages and polling.

look out the window, nate.

[JustGene]

11. Absolutely

30 is the point where R's turn or burn.
I think he'll quit rather than LOSE

Vote Blue

[Laura PourMeADrink]

15. Is that a real thing? 30%?

[JustGene]

17. I remember reading

that below that starts to cut into his base.

My opinion is that he can't survive that.

Only hope that he bails.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

18. Wonder what it would take for him to lose 11 points. Maybe

Some kind of hardproof that he consciously did something to keep PPE or masks from certain people?

Still think our strongest argument now is... "Do you really want THIS man who played favorites with PPE, vents to be in charge of the future vaccine? And you live somewhere he doesn't like? And the lives of your loved ones depend on it? "

[Laura PourMeADrink]

19. Updated

[Laura PourMeADrink]

20. Tuesday update