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Tue May 19, 2020, 11:38 AM

New poll shows Sen. Martha McSally losing ground to Mark Kelly and that's not even the bad news

Laurie Roberts
Updated 6:06 a.m. MT May 19, 2020

Opinion: The latest tracking poll shows Republican Sen. Martha McSally losing ground to Democrat Mark Kelly but that's not what should have her reaching for the Maalox.

From the Republican uh-oh department: Arizona Sen. Martha McSally is sliding in the polls, dropping four percentage points in a month.

McSally now trails Democrat Mark Kelly by 13 points, according to the latest tracking poll by OH Predictive Insights.

While the April poll of 600 likely voters favored Kelly 51% to McSally’s 42%, in May it’s now 51%-38%.

The poll shows independents breaking more than 2-1 for Kelly.



snip

https://www.azcentral.com/story/opinion/op-ed/laurieroberts/2020/05/19/sen-martha-mcsally-slides-new-poll-and-thats-not-even-bad-news/5218402002/

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Reply New poll shows Sen. Martha McSally losing ground to Mark Kelly and that's not even the bad news (Original post)
catbyte May 19 OP
Schematto May 19 #1
Proud Liberal Dem May 19 #7
dawg May 19 #2
Mike 03 May 19 #3
Eliot Rosewater May 19 #4
FakeNoose May 19 #23
AlexSFCA May 19 #5
Applan May 19 #8
JudyM May 19 #12
Owens May 19 #16
not fooled May 19 #18
RhodeIslandOne May 19 #19
Stuart G May 19 #6
Bradshaw3 May 19 #9
RhodeIslandOne May 19 #20
qazplm135 May 19 #10
Bleacher Creature May 19 #11
mikelgb May 19 #13
lagomorph777 May 19 #14
Bernardo de La Paz May 19 #15
Happy Hoosier May 19 #17
RhodeIslandOne May 19 #21
hibbing May 19 #22
demtenjeep May 19 #24

Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:39 AM

1. She's the most vulnerable incumbent

 

Right now.

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Response to Schematto (Reply #1)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:51 AM

7. She wasn't even elected of course.

She got the seat via appointment.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:40 AM

2. Kelly might even have coattails.

Arizona would be a great pickup for Biden.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:41 AM

3. Ha ha ha

Love it! Barring some unimaginable miracle, McSally is McToast.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:46 AM

4. I will never get over watching 47-52% of any state, depending on the state

going out of their way to destroy their families, their lives.

And in the end they do it for ONE reason and ONE reason only, to make sure women do NOT have rights over their own bodies.

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Response to Eliot Rosewater (Reply #4)

Tue May 19, 2020, 02:25 PM

23. Yes it's spite for women and minorities

My mom used to say it - they are cutting off their nose to spite their face.



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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:49 AM

5. does that mean AZ will vote for Biden?

My understanding is that AZ has pretty solid voting system, not heard of any fraud or voter suppression coming out of there.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Tue May 19, 2020, 12:00 PM

8. I believe that's the case

I’ve been registered as a mail in ballot voter in AZ for many years and have been able to vote that way in every election. It seems like a good system.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Tue May 19, 2020, 12:17 PM

12. They had a big issue with voters getting dropped from rolls in '16. I haven't followed since then.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:19 PM

16. Mail In Ballots

We have a pretty good system here and I have always voted via Mail. Of course, I stay proactive and make sure my ballot gets counted and that I'm always registered. We could use a bigger campaign to get seniors to vote by mail.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:25 PM

18. The puke SOS

closed a bunch of polling places in 2018, in disproportionately minority districts:

[link:https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2018/10/30/midterm-elections-closed-voting-sites-impact-minority-voter-turnout/1774221002/|]

And, expect a lot of voter intimidation by RWNJs via "poll monitoring", now that the SCOTUS has given tacit approval for such tactics. AZ is where Rehnquist earned his far right bona fides by threatening minority voters:

[link:https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a32583391/republicans-voter-intimidation-2020/|]

Once upon a time, there was a voter-intimidation campaign in Arizona. It was a good career move for young conservative lawyers at the time to be part of it, since the centers of Republican power were moving west and south, and since the radicalization of the GOP, spurred by its decision to embrace the vestiges of American apartheid, was beginning to blossom. One of the lawyers who grabbed this main chance was named William Rehnquist. Fourteen years later, he became the chief justice of the United States Supreme Court. They’ve been at this for a long time.




pukes ain't gonna give up easily there. But, it's looking good for Kelly and Sinema did win.

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Response to AlexSFCA (Reply #5)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:35 PM

19. AZ will be the new Wisconsin....

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 11:50 AM

6. I read the article..Right now, it looks very good for Kelly..According to the story,

McSally has hitched herself to the Trump bandwagon..She totally supports Trump and has supported him. If Kelly wins this one, that is one less senate seat on their side and one more for us, getting us closer to getting the majority in the senate.. Next month, June, I will definitely be sending money to Kelly. If we gain control of the senate, "Mitch the Ass..le" will lose a whole lot of power. I also will be sending money to Mitch's opponent, Amy McGrath..but that is for another discussion.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 12:07 PM

9. McSally is an example of the losing quandry of the schizoid repubs

She was bascially a "sane" establishment repub - or as sane as they can be - until she saw she couldn't win a primary or have a chance in the GE without cozying up to the asshat. But then she couldn't win the general last time in this increasingly purple state with that approach. As an example, she recently ran an ad showing her in facemask and touting her contributions to fighting the virus. But how does that appeal to the MAGAts who think this is all a hoax, and will they turn out in big numbers to support her in the fall? Doubtful. Meanwhile, Kelly projects strength and compassion that will appeal to independents.

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Response to Bradshaw3 (Reply #9)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:37 PM

20. She's gone all in on Trump insanity

She tried to be a moderate in the last election because of "Doctor" Kelly Ward and it failed. She's going the other way now with her "hack" comment and it's just as successful.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 12:10 PM

10. She's just plain bad

not just policywise but as a basic politician.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 12:12 PM

11. Two losses in a two year period? Impressive!! NT

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:00 PM

13. Can we get that 4% of Democrats voting for McSally in a focus group?

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Response to mikelgb (Reply #13)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:15 PM

14. "Focus Group" - nice euphemism!

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:17 PM

15. It's bizarre how they flip bottom 3 graphs from the top graph orientation. . . . nt

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:20 PM

17. Kelly is a rising star....

I think he'll win this one in a walk. He could be a leader for us. He's charismatic and smart.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 01:39 PM

21. Too bad, Martha McNutty

She claimed she was sexually assaulted multiple times in two different scenarios, and then said she didn't believe an Army Colonel who accused John Hyten of rape.

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 02:11 PM

22. I love Kelly

He's dignified, very smart, and I think he's kind of cool.

Peace

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Response to catbyte (Original post)

Tue May 19, 2020, 02:44 PM

24. turns out she was the hack

dumb ass

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