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Fri May 1, 2020, 07:37 AM

It looks like the erosion in Trump's hard-core base is very real

His favorability has dropped 11 points among white evangelicals, from 77% in March to 66% now.

It's dropped 12 points among noncollege whites, from 66% to 54% now.

@PRRIpoll
https://prri.org/research/president-trumps-favorability-ratings-recede-from-marchs-peak/


AND THIS!


https://www.prri.org/research/president-trumps-favorability-ratings-recede-from-marchs-peak/

40 replies, 5779 views

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Arrow 40 replies Author Time Post
Reply It looks like the erosion in Trump's hard-core base is very real (Original post)
kpete May 2020 OP
cry baby May 2020 #1
Jarqui May 2020 #2
malaise May 2020 #3
Kid Berwyn May 2020 #4
lagomorph777 May 2020 #21
McKim May 2020 #28
lagomorph777 May 2020 #35
MFGsunny May 2020 #5
OAITW r.2.0 May 2020 #12
Roy Rolling May 2020 #17
OAITW r.2.0 May 2020 #18
smirkymonkey May 2020 #40
Mister Ed May 2020 #6
MyOwnPeace May 2020 #7
brewens May 2020 #8
greymattermom May 2020 #9
gab13by13 May 2020 #10
brewens May 2020 #37
scrabblequeen40 May 2020 #11
FakeNoose May 2020 #14
IronLionZion May 2020 #26
McKim May 2020 #29
Buns_of_Fire May 2020 #13
oldsoftie May 2020 #15
lagomorph777 May 2020 #22
oldsoftie May 2020 #39
LiberalFighter May 2020 #30
oldsoftie May 2020 #38
Politicub May 2020 #16
machoneman May 2020 #19
Fiendish Thingy May 2020 #20
OnDoutside May 2020 #23
gratuitous May 2020 #24
underpants May 2020 #25
LiberalFighter May 2020 #33
IronLionZion May 2020 #27
aggiesal May 2020 #31
Zambero May 2020 #32
aggiesal May 2020 #34
US4u2 May 2020 #36

Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:40 AM

1. One can only hope that this trend continues. nt

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Response to cry baby (Reply #1)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:46 AM

2. Unfortunately, in particular respects, it likely will

because there will be a lot of unreported deaths and many more unnecessary deaths to come. Americans can look the other way on a lot of stuff but historically, not dead Americans.

Trump will lie again to blame it on China or Obama or whoever. And Trump will come up with a snake oil salesman pitch that he's developing a vaccine that will be ready shortly after the election but will be delayed if Trump has to run the transition from a country that doesn't have extradition with the US.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:46 AM

3. Don the Criminally negligent Con

is history - take that to the bank

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:47 AM

4. Perhaps the collapse shall accelerate.

And then one day soon, it’ll be just Stephen Miller and Sebastian Gorka left to flog the orange horse for Putin.

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Response to Kid Berwyn (Reply #4)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:30 AM

21. If he's losing the Evilgelicals, he's well and truly fucked.

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Response to lagomorph777 (Reply #21)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:08 AM

28. Now That they Have So Many Judges

Now that they have so many conservative judges, the White Evangelicals are having what they wanted out of Trump and they will find it harder to support this insane destructive “leader”. The unborn are SO much more important than those of us already here!

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Response to McKim (Reply #28)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:40 AM

35. "Pro-Life" (except for those already born) - throw kids in jail to die, gun nuts, covidiots...

...but all of a sudden, when the latest death cult craze is killing even the cultists, now they care. I'm so impressed with their morality.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:47 AM

5. Favorability drops are a significant inflection point.

But what's with Democratic states in that second chart inching UP ????

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Response to MFGsunny (Reply #5)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:36 AM

12. That jumped out to me as well.

There may be some statistical noise distorting these results. I suspect that continued polling on these states will show more erosion (or correction) than the other groups.

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Response to OAITW r.2.0 (Reply #12)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:56 AM

17. Unscientific Sample

“Blue States” and “Red States” is not a reliable group to compare. Is Louisiana, with a history of Democratic voting and a Democratic Governor red or blue? Republicans all say it’s red but Democrats say it’s blue.

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Response to Roy Rolling (Reply #17)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:06 AM

18. I agree, it is a poor label.

The great political divide in this country appears to be "rural" vs. "urban" in every state. Rural areas tend to be self-isolating and insulated from outside influence. Urban areas have a lot more diversity of thought that impacts their world-view of these areas.

I'd love to see demographic data on Fox News viewers. I'll bet their biggest markets are located in primarily rural areas.

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Response to MFGsunny (Reply #5)

Fri May 1, 2020, 02:49 PM

40. I found that troubling as well.

WTH?

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 07:49 AM

6. My sister-in-law says voting for Trump was the worst mistake of her life.

And, um, not to air any of the family's dirty laundry or anything, but lemme tell ya: to be the worst mistake of her life, it would have to be one helluva mistake...

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Response to Mister Ed (Reply #6)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:08 AM

7. L-O-L! Interesting "response"..............

your S-I-L should be thankful that you were so "kind" in explaining her "mistake!"

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:09 AM

8. It's all about how many people are going to just accept being ruined by this? Many already are.

If it had happened a couple years back right as I was having some medical problems, the loss of income, insurance and the medical bills would have buried me.

That's why they are so desperate to blame democrats. It can't be Trumps slow response, it has to be that most of their problems were forced on them by democrats because of the lockdowns. Even if the manage that and it momentarily looks good for the republicans, they still aren't going to just take it. No freakin' way most of those people hospitalized can afford to pay what most of them racked up in bills.

If people that have lost it all realize the wealthy came away even farther ahead, the shit is going to hit the fan and stay hit!

That situation with the meat packing plants is going to kill Trump. His order to stay open won't work. At best they can be running at diminished capacity soon if we're lucky. We will be seeing meat shortages at best, possibly produce as well, maybe overall food shortages, and maybe even food rationing before it's all over if it stays bad enough long enough.

Trump's thinking, this can't happen, it will ruin him, it's not fair. He thinks he can just order it to stop when the only thing he could have done was prevent it by earlier and aggressive action.

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Response to brewens (Reply #8)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:17 AM

9. China buys a lot of pork from us.

Will they continue to buy pork from meat processing plants with a history of coronavirus infection?

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Response to greymattermom (Reply #9)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:26 AM

10. My question is a different one,

Trump forced meat packaging plants to remain open because not doing so would destroy the supply chain. Since farmers send a lot of pork to China, was Trump talking about our supply chain or China's?

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Response to greymattermom (Reply #9)

Fri May 1, 2020, 11:22 AM

37. They are going to catch holy hell if they continue to export any meat to China. But just

snapping your finger to make it so isn't that easy. Everything that was in the pipeline to them can't that easily be rerouted to our stores and food banks. Even that takes some serious planning and expertise that Trump has made sure he doesn't have. That has to happen though. As usual Trump will make sure it's a bigger problem than it needed to be.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:28 AM

11. To be precise: a growing number of them are dying at an accelerated rate

and those who are still alive are turning on him.

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Response to scrabblequeen40 (Reply #11)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:48 AM

14. They've all been laid off

Entire towns have lost their jobs. The sad thing is that most of them won't be called back either. But yes, the death thing is real too. The ChumpHumpers are finally figuring out just how expendable we all are to Chump and the one-per-centers.



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Response to FakeNoose (Reply #14)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:04 AM

26. Trump wants them to blame Democrats for that

but it's slightly harder to blame Dems for GOP controlled states closing down plants due to workers getting sick and dying.

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Response to FakeNoose (Reply #14)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:12 AM

29. The Free Time Factor is Settling In

Most of these folks worked hard and long hours. Keeping workers busy and stressed left little time for reflection. FOX news and stickin’ it to the Libs was the evening’s entertainment. Now they are unemployed, without health care and with plenty of time to THINK. They are looking around at their kids and THINKING how this economy will hurt them.
They are not stupid. They will figure it out here pretty darn quick.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:37 AM

13. And he's gonna sue each and every last one of them.

Roody's working on filing the papers as we speak.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:51 AM

15. Ive been saying this is happening but nobody wants to believe it.

NO Hillary voter is going to vote for trump this time. MANY Trump voters either will vote against him or wont vote at all.
One friend told me he had no plans to vote for trump but likely wouldnt vote Biden either. Fine. One LESS Trump vote.
But he also said "I Wish Biden would pick a VP that would make me vote for him". But then he also couldnt tell me who that would be

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Response to oldsoftie (Reply #15)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:33 AM

22. VP Kelyane Conjob?



I'm guessing any VP pick that would bring in Trumpers would turn off sane voters. I'm happy enough if the Trumpers just stay home.

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Response to lagomorph777 (Reply #22)

Fri May 1, 2020, 02:47 PM

39. Yes, a non vote is almost as good as a no vote. nt

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Response to oldsoftie (Reply #15)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:20 AM

30. As I explained to someone else that was concerned about the VP pick.

Who is picked as VP is not as important as the Cabinet positions that will be filled and the many other positions such as the NLRB and other labor related agencies. Normally I would not be as concerned about the Defense Dept or Homeland Security but Trump has weakened them and put this country at risk.

One of the tasks that Biden could assign his VP is to weed out people Trump planted in the depts and agencies. And then he will need someone to help him fill vacancies in the lower courts and the Supreme Court when they open.

Sure who is the VP is important but not in the way most think.

Just as Biden was a good VP. It was because Obama was in charge.

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Response to LiberalFighter (Reply #30)

Fri May 1, 2020, 02:46 PM

38. I believe Biden has said he's considering naming Cabinet picks BEFORE the election.

Maybe for the reasons you mention

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 08:54 AM

16. Trump: It's my nazi-looking campaign manager's fault! Sue him!

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Response to Politicub (Reply #16)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:06 AM

19. Hah! You know you've lost it all whne you blame your campaign manager!

Funny as hell he did this. Watch for far more Trumpexplosions coming to a theater near you!

He's lost it for sure. I cannot for the life of me ever remember a politico, let alone a president (small p, like his p) who indicted his campaign manager before the election. Only Trumplestilkins would do this. Btw, this Brad fellow is pretty good at what he does so I do hope he quits or gets fired....and soon.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:29 AM

20. So, according to the bottom chart, Trump's favorability ratings have increased in Dem states? Nt

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Response to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #20)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:54 AM

23. Margin of Error ?

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:58 AM

24. We don't have to win over every knuckle-headed Trump supporter

But peel off 3-4%, and Trump's in big trouble. He hasn't done much of anything to attract new support from his 2016 run. People who didn't like him then probably aren't liking him much now.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 09:58 AM

25. I commented about this to my wife a few days ago

Even the smallest chunk out of this base and he’s done.

One person I know on Facebook - hard core Trump- has gone fully into the STAY HOME mode.

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Response to underpants (Reply #25)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:31 AM

33. I've been saying this for several months.

When you know people that hold their position because of the political party saying they will not vote for Trump in 2020 then you know something is going on.

Add that to the economy, the virus, and everything else.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:06 AM

27. His favorability improved 1 point in Dem states?

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Response to IronLionZion (Reply #27)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:26 AM

31. I agree, that makes this poll unbelievable ...

besides, I always say the only poll that matters is the poll on Nov. 3rd.

Then on the Nov. 4th Pendejo45 will be unemployed.

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Response to IronLionZion (Reply #27)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:26 AM

32. Margin of error applies in this poll as well as others

Most statistical polling samples have results within a +/- 3% range. Given the 1% uptick in Dem states, perhaps this poll result was on the high end of the MOE, or possibly on the low end for the previous poll.

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Response to IronLionZion (Reply #27)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:38 AM

34. PRRI - Public Religion Research Institute ...

Never heard of them, so I don't know they political leanings.
Although, most anything associated with Religion leans conservative.

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Response to kpete (Original post)

Fri May 1, 2020, 10:54 AM

36. Interesting...

 

I had no idea that the effect of the corona virus was to stimulate the growth of republican brains! But, may be too soon to tell, after Pence's little escapade (though I think you have to have a brain to begin with).

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