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Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:02 PM

My gawd. We'll likely be at 50,000 dead from Covid-19 tomorrow

Given today’s numbers

18 replies, 980 views

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Reply My gawd. We'll likely be at 50,000 dead from Covid-19 tomorrow (Original post)
Roland99 Apr 2020 OP
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Apr 2020 #1
Volaris Apr 2020 #17
Blue_true Apr 2020 #2
Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #5
Roland99 Apr 2020 #6
gibraltar72 Apr 2020 #10
panader0 Apr 2020 #7
Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #15
Blue_true Apr 2020 #18
StevieM Apr 2020 #3
Drunken Irishman Apr 2020 #4
Ms. Toad Apr 2020 #14
uponit7771 Apr 2020 #8
Blue_true Apr 2020 #9
Indykatie Apr 2020 #11
Blue_true Apr 2020 #12
Baclava Apr 2020 #13
Demovictory9 Apr 2020 #16

Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:04 PM

1. And Trump will still try to spin it as a win

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Reply #1)

Thu Apr 23, 2020, 01:40 AM

17. Heres the thing tho...places like GA n SD are likley still a month away from their peaks...

Unless Trump and the rest of the governors that haven't yet, lock everything down, AND KEEP IT THAT WAY, and devote the full resources of this nation to mass testing, tracing, and vaccine development, my guess would be we will be closing in on 100-150K by the fourth of july.

Happy Birthday America, brought to you by Make America Great Again.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:07 PM

2. Can you add a little more context?

Given that yesterday, we were over 45,000, it is not surprising that we would hit 50,000 within two days given that 2,500+ people per day have been dying for almost the last week.

What kind of number did you see today?

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:10 PM

5. The OP is likely going off World O Meter - which has it at 47,663 currently.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:15 PM

6. I use them and this one...

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Response to Roland99 (Reply #6)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 10:41 PM

10. I have found them lagging recently

Also figured not joining they posted a lower number than actual for Mi. Today.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:26 PM

7. This is also a good site--started by a 17 year old.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #2)

Thu Apr 23, 2020, 12:34 AM

15. The multiplier between yesterday and today is 1.05

Today ended at 47,659, which puts tomorrow at 1.05 (roughly) times that = 50,121

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Response to Ms. Toad (Reply #15)

Thu Apr 23, 2020, 12:07 PM

18. Thanks. Looks like the death curve is tracing the infections curve, the death curve

appears to be leveling at a high level. I wonder how the rush to open up and stop social distancing will affect both.

We can't judge what happens to us based upon what is happening in China for a couple of key reasons. First, the average Chinese citizen appear to be very disciplined about wearing a mask, one look at a street scene picture shows 100% mask use. Even leaders there wear masks in public. Second, Chinese officials aren't above hiding some information, for whatever their reason.

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:07 PM

3. I thought that 2,000 people had died today.

If those numbers were repeated tomorrow then we would be at 48,000. That would mean that we reached 50,000 by the end of the day on Friday, assuming the numbers stayed the same.

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Response to StevieM (Reply #3)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:10 PM

4. According to World Meter, it's at 47,663...

2,341 died today according to that site.

If a similar amount die tomorrow, it'll be 50,004.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #4)

Thu Apr 23, 2020, 12:30 AM

14. I've got a tad higher, but we're withn statistical noise range of each other. n/t

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:28 PM

8. This can't be true, jus ... damn

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Response to uponit7771 (Reply #8)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 09:47 PM

9. Unfortunately, it is.

We should've over 48,000 by the end of today. Over 2,500 people per day have been dying since Saturday.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #9)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 10:52 PM

11. These Numbers Make the August 1 Projection of 65,000 Deaths I Read About on DU Unrealistic

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Response to Indykatie (Reply #11)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 11:11 PM

12. We will surpass 65,000 by the middle of next week, unless something good happens. nt

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Wed Apr 22, 2020, 11:18 PM

13. The War President will pass the death toll from the Vietnam War this week, it only took him 2 months

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Response to Roland99 (Original post)

Thu Apr 23, 2020, 01:13 AM

16. the counts have been steady: about 27K to 29K new cases daily, approximately 2,300 deaths daily

at this rate, the US will reach 100K dead within three weeks. FLATTEN THE CURVE!

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