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Wed Mar 25, 2020, 11:18 AM

Americans' Revulsion for Trump Is Underappreciated.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/the-democrats-dont-understand-their-own-strength/608611/

Americans’ Revulsion for Trump Is Underappreciated
As Democrats fret about their own prospects, many fail to recognize the president’s fundamental weakness.

The release on Friday of an ABC News/Ipsos poll indicating that 55 percent of Americans approved of Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus—12 points higher than the previous week—prompted another round of fatalistic chatter in certain quarters of the political establishment. Shocked by Trump’s victory in 2016, some left-leaning commentators and rank-and-file Democrats alike have been steeling themselves for his reelection in 2020, noting that most presidents win second terms; that, at least before the pandemic, the economy was humming along; and more recently that, during moments of national disaster, Americans tend to rally around the leader they have.


But these nuggets of conventional political wisdom obscure something fundamental—something that even Democrats have trouble seeing: The United States is in revolt against Donald Trump, and the likely Democratic nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, already holds a daunting lead over Trump in the battleground states that will decide the 2020 election. By way of disclosure, I am a Democratic pollster; for professional and personal reasons alike, I want Democratic candidates to succeed. But no matter what, I also want candidates and party operatives to base decisions—such as where and how to campaign—on an accurate view of the political landscape. At the moment, Democrats are underestimating their own strength and misperceiving the sources of it.

Every time Americans have gone to the polls since Trump took office, they have pushed back hard against him. The blue wave that began in state elections in 2017 grew bigger in the 2018 midterms and bigger yet in 2019. Trump focused the Republican Party’s whole 2018 congressional campaign on immigrant caravans and the border wall, and he lost. Trump held rallies in support of the Republican gubernatorial candidates on the last nights before elections in the deep-red states of Kentucky and Louisiana, and they lost. The GOP losses right through the end of 2019 were produced by dramatic, growing gains for Democrats in the nation’s suburbs. Democrats took total control of the Virginia legislature, where the party held on to all the suburban seats it had flipped two years earlier and gained six more.

Even so, a CBS News poll taken late last month found that 65 percent of Americans and more than a third of Democrats believed that Trump would win reelection. Trump has been confidently stalking Democrats, holding exuberant rallies in each of the early caucus and primary states.

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Trump has nationalized our politics around himself and his job performance, and that has created a nine-point headwind for the Republican Party. While the pessimists obsess over any of Trump’s most favorable polls, particularly in the Electoral College battleground states, Trump has never raised his approval rating above the low 40s in FiveThirtyEight’s average of public polls; 52 to 53 percent disapprove of his performance in office. And that remains true during the current crisis.


Trump has improved his numbers with the evangelical Christians, Tea Party supporters, and observant Catholics who make up the core of his Republican Party, but it is a diminished party. The percentage of people identifying as Republican since Trump took office has dropped from 39 to 36 percent, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Trump has pushed moderates out of the party, and those moderates are changing their voting patterns accordingly. Fully 5 percent of the voters in the South Carolina Democratic primary had previously voted in the state’s Republican primary. In Michigan, Republican strategists tried to make sense of the 56 percent increase in Democratic turnout in Livingston County, a white, college-educated, upper-class community that Trump won by 30 points. Republicans are shedding voters.

Why don’t supposedly savvy people see the revolt that’s happening before their very eyes?.

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Reply Americans' Revulsion for Trump Is Underappreciated. (Original post)
Demovictory9 Mar 25 OP
uponit7771 Mar 25 #1
Chainfire Mar 25 #2
rockfordfile Mar 25 #4
GeorgeGist Mar 25 #3

Response to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Wed Mar 25, 2020, 11:26 AM

1. K&R, 55% approval is horrid where as Bush 2 got 90% and he was just as stupid with warnings

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Response to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Wed Mar 25, 2020, 12:03 PM

2. To date

A vast majority of those who voted for Trump before will vote for Trump again. Listen to them....Their hatred of Liberalism is not the least bit dimmed. Trump's bungling of the most important event since WWII has not reduced his popularity. The right wingers hear what they want to hear and see what they want to see, and don't try to confuse them with facts.

The exacerbation of the present problem can be laid on squarely the American people who put this clown in the White House and who will probably do it again. Trump said that he could kill a man on 5th Ave. and not lose his voters; he will probably kill ten thousand and get away with it.

It is our own damn fault. We did not work hard enough or smart enough to elect a good candidate; the nation gets the government it deserves.

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Response to Chainfire (Reply #2)

Wed Mar 25, 2020, 12:38 PM

4. Majority of Americans did not vote for trump. Even more Americans will not vote for trump this year

Americans are tired of trump's lies and corruption.

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Response to Demovictory9 (Original post)

Wed Mar 25, 2020, 12:12 PM

3. Dumbing down of America ...

wasn't just a slogan.

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