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Tue Mar 24, 2020, 01:51 PM

Mathematical Models on COVID-19?

We hear about the President and members of Congress getting briefings, which include mathematical Models showing the potential impact of COVID-19. It is interesting that there are no published discussions of these models, since the math could be replicated. The American Hospital Association prepared this slide, though they also did not publish it.

https://i.insider.com/5e62a449fee23d58c83a9e62?width=700&format=jpeg&auto=webp

As Trump prepares to ease up on isolation (steepen the curve?), what is the math behind the various options on the table.

Is the choice between two million dead, but a mild recession, or 500,000 dead but a severe recession?

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Reply Mathematical Models on COVID-19? (Original post)
TomCADem Mar 24 OP
defacto7 Mar 24 #1

Response to TomCADem (Original post)

Tue Mar 24, 2020, 02:08 PM

1. I think they are choosing two million dead and a mild recession

because they will get to have their cake and eat it too.

What they are going to get though is another thing.

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