More Ohioans are 'almost certain' to vote against Trump than for him in 2020, new poll shows

A new poll of four Midwest states — Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — that was conducted by Baldwin Wallace University this month includes some “eye-opening” results, including that support for President Trump in four states that helped elect him four years ago appears to be waning.

Support for Trump erodes in four Great Lakes states

Ohio helped carry Donald Trump to the White House in 2016 by a margin of 8%, but four years later, polling from Baldwin Wallace indicates support for the president may be fading, with over 10% more Ohio voters saying they are certain to vote against Trump than for him in the 2020 election. The university’s Great Lakes Poll shows more voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, all four of which voted for Trump in 2016, would vote for the Democratic Party’s candidate over Trump, no matter who it ends up being, though Ohio is in a statistical dead heat, given the 3.1% margin of error in the Ohio poll.

"A lot of people had written Ohio off based on the last election with the 8 point win that President Trump had, that's really not the case," said News 5 Political Analyst Dr. Tom Sutton of Baldwin Wallace University. "It's really interesting to see that President Trump does not have the support that he appeared to have when he was elected in 2016 in these four states."

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If the election were held today, in Ohio, 44.3% of voters would vote for the Democratic candidate, 39.4% would vote for Trump, and 16.3% are undecided. However, 44.7% of Ohio voters said they “almost certain” to vote against Trump no matter who the Democrats nominate, over 10% more than the 34.6% who almost certainly would vote to re-elect the president. But, 12.9% said they may vote for or against Trump depending on which Democrat wins the primary.

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/democracy-2020/ohio-politics/more-ohioans-are-almost-certain-to-vote-against-trump-than-for-him-in-2020-new-poll-shows