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Wed Jan 22, 2020, 09:54 PM

More Ohioans are 'almost certain' to vote against Trump than for him in 2020, new poll shows

A new poll of four Midwest states — Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — that was conducted by Baldwin Wallace University this month includes some “eye-opening” results, including that support for President Trump in four states that helped elect him four years ago appears to be waning.

Support for Trump erodes in four Great Lakes states

Ohio helped carry Donald Trump to the White House in 2016 by a margin of 8%, but four years later, polling from Baldwin Wallace indicates support for the president may be fading, with over 10% more Ohio voters saying they are certain to vote against Trump than for him in the 2020 election. The university’s Great Lakes Poll shows more voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, all four of which voted for Trump in 2016, would vote for the Democratic Party’s candidate over Trump, no matter who it ends up being, though Ohio is in a statistical dead heat, given the 3.1% margin of error in the Ohio poll.

"A lot of people had written Ohio off based on the last election with the 8 point win that President Trump had, that's really not the case," said News 5 Political Analyst Dr. Tom Sutton of Baldwin Wallace University. "It's really interesting to see that President Trump does not have the support that he appeared to have when he was elected in 2016 in these four states."

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If the election were held today, in Ohio, 44.3% of voters would vote for the Democratic candidate, 39.4% would vote for Trump, and 16.3% are undecided. However, 44.7% of Ohio voters said they “almost certain” to vote against Trump no matter who the Democrats nominate, over 10% more than the 34.6% who almost certainly would vote to re-elect the president. But, 12.9% said they may vote for or against Trump depending on which Democrat wins the primary.

https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/democracy-2020/ohio-politics/more-ohioans-are-almost-certain-to-vote-against-trump-than-for-him-in-2020-new-poll-shows

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Reply More Ohioans are 'almost certain' to vote against Trump than for him in 2020, new poll shows (Original post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jan 2020 OP
BigmanPigman Jan 2020 #1
llmart Jan 2020 #2
blm Jan 2020 #3
DeminPennswoods Jan 2020 #4
Takket Jan 2020 #5
blm Jan 2020 #6
Poiuyt Jan 2020 #7
blm Jan 2020 #8

Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 09:58 PM

1. Uh oh, Putin's pals better get working on this.

Only 10 months left to get those bots and hacking of machines running at full speed.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 10:00 PM

2. This makes me happy.

Go Ohio! Kick him to the curb.

They're going to have to fight hard to beat the election interference from Putin and trump's mobsters by getting out and voting in massive numbers.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 10:05 PM

3. As I've been saying for months to DU gloomers - Trump already lost 2-5% of his 2016 voters

Last edited Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:04 PM - Edit history (1)

in crucial swing states, and he ain’t gettin’ any new ones.

This is why I know any of our Dems will defeat him as long as we keep focused and don’t get lazy.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 10:27 PM

4. Monday night O'Donnell's last segment was

with John Favreau. He's been holding focus groups with voters who voted one way in 2012 and another in 2016 and sometimes switching again in 2018 or voted in 2012 and sat out 2016. What interested me was a group of voters from suburban Philly. Several said they were embarrassed by Trump's behavior. Don't discount this general sentiment of being embarrassed and appalled by Trump as a driver of how a voter will vote.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 10:30 PM

5. only thing that matters is who gets more than 50% on election day......

hillary was leading polls all over the place too........ GOTV............ take nothing for granted.

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Response to Takket (Reply #5)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:03 PM

6. That, too.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:27 PM

7. These kinds of polls give me hope

I worry when people say he'll win reelection because the economy is doing well.

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Response to Poiuyt (Reply #7)

Wed Jan 22, 2020, 11:34 PM

8. That's based on formula derived from past election cycles.

There are no relevant formulas for Trump and this election. No president has ever acted so odiously every single fvckin day.

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