General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsTo those worried about Congresswoman Katie Hill's district.
The registration in the district in 2016 was 34.7% repugh, 34.6% Dem, ~ 25% Indy, the rest other parties.
In 2016, a repugh defeated the Dem for an assembly seat by around 5%. In 2018, the Dem won a rematch by around 5%. The district has trended blue in registration, it used to be strong republican.
The Democratic Assemblywoman who won the seat is a woman named Christy Smith. She will be running to replace Congresswoman Hill. Smith so far is the only Dem in the race, there are 2-3 repughs in the jungle primary race. So there is a good chance that Smith moves on to a general, where her chances should be good. Smith was a school board member for 8 years before moving on to the California assembly, she is pretty well known in the district. I looked at her bio, she seems to be pretty solid, sort of a political mother type who got into politics because of kids.

kysrsoze
(6,231 posts)I live in Santa Clarita and the 25th District includes Palmdale and Lancaster. There are a lot of normal, sensible people around here, but we live on the edge of civilization and we have a pretty huge bunch of yokel idiots who live in the area... the kind of morons who have two American flags in the back of the lifted dualie pickup truck, thin blue line and Don't Tread on Me stickers, etc., etc. We have one moron on our street who keeps his garage door open all the time so people can see his Dump and Don't Tread on Me flags hanging on the inside of the garage.
The city is tending to grow more civilized, educated, integrated and affluent, and the local GOP office ended up being vacated, but I don't want people to think this district is a slam dunk, particularly given the potential puritan voter backlash. And I'm not sure how the voters in Palmdale and Lancaster lean. I'm optimistic, but realistic. Christy Smith needs backing.
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)That piece for the Assembly race went with a larger landmass of Ventura County. Does the Congressional district take in more of LA County than the Assembly and State Senate districts, or does it just add people by bending north or south in the far east of the Congressional district?
If the Congressional district takes in more of LA County, it seems to me that should be a good thing.