HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Special Election Results ...

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 07:32 PM

Special Election Results (Tonight)

Special Election Results

September 10, 2019 at 7:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 7 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2019/09/10/special-election-results-2/

"SNIP......

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET for the special elections in North Carolina’s 9th and 3rd congressional districts.

Politico is tracking results as the come in.

.....SNIP"

I'm hyped - are you?

I will update thread.



https://www.politico.com/story/2019/09/10/north-carolina-special-election-1488508

"SNIP....

Democrat Dan McCready and Republican Dan Bishop spent Election Day hunting for votes that could tip a razor-close race in Charlotte and its suburbs, home to a majority of voters in the 9th Congressional District. McCready told supporters Tuesday morning that the race is “really close” — but that a victory would “send a shock wave across this entire country.”

......

There is also a special election in North Carolina’s 3rd District on Tuesday, where Republican Greg Murphy and Democrat Allen Thomas are competing to succeed the late GOP Rep. Walter Jones, who died earlier this year. But that heavily Republican district has attracted far less attention — and money — than the Bishop-McCready race.

.....SNIP"



POLITICO UPDATES:

https://www.politico.com/election-results/2019/north-carolina/special-election/sept-10/

118 replies, 6690 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 118 replies Author Time Post
Reply Special Election Results (Tonight) (Original post)
applegrove Tuesday OP
underpants Tuesday #1
spanone Tuesday #2
democrank Tuesday #3
sheshe2 Tuesday #4
brettdale Tuesday #5
applegrove Tuesday #6
LenaBaby61 Tuesday #8
applegrove Tuesday #7
applegrove Tuesday #9
Roland99 Tuesday #10
applegrove Tuesday #11
Legends303 Tuesday #12
applegrove Tuesday #15
applegrove Tuesday #13
Hermit-The-Prog Tuesday #14
Roland99 Tuesday #16
Legends303 Tuesday #17
LenaBaby61 Tuesday #18
blm Tuesday #19
grantcart Tuesday #24
applegrove Tuesday #20
applegrove Tuesday #21
Roland99 Tuesday #22
Roland99 Tuesday #23
a kennedy Tuesday #25
applegrove Tuesday #28
grantcart Tuesday #30
a kennedy Tuesday #44
grantcart Tuesday #46
grantcart Tuesday #26
Roland99 Tuesday #27
bearsfootball516 Tuesday #29
grantcart Tuesday #31
drray23 Tuesday #32
OliverQ Tuesday #33
blm Tuesday #38
FBaggins Tuesday #53
Va Lefty Tuesday #34
lindysalsagal Tuesday #35
Drunken Irishman Tuesday #40
Drunken Irishman Tuesday #52
Drunken Irishman Tuesday #36
a kennedy Tuesday #47
napi21 Tuesday #37
EarlG Tuesday #39
Legends303 Tuesday #51
grantcart Tuesday #54
Takket Tuesday #41
Legends303 Tuesday #43
Celerity Tuesday #55
sharedvalues Tuesday #45
sharedvalues Tuesday #42
CousinIT Tuesday #48
a kennedy Tuesday #49
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #56
splunge63 Tuesday #57
FBaggins Tuesday #59
a kennedy Tuesday #60
Drunken Irishman Tuesday #62
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #64
applegrove Tuesday #50
a kennedy Tuesday #58
Ace Rothstein Tuesday #61
Bettie Tuesday #69
triron Tuesday #74
diva77 Tuesday #80
FBaggins Tuesday #75
Bettie Tuesday #77
FBaggins Tuesday #71
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #73
Legends303 Tuesday #63
George II Tuesday #65
Takket Tuesday #66
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #67
Takket Tuesday #70
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #72
triron Tuesday #76
triron Tuesday #79
triron Tuesday #85
triron Tuesday #97
bearsfootball516 Wednesday #112
Iliyah Tuesday #68
secondwind Tuesday #78
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #81
CaliforniaPeggy Tuesday #84
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #88
CaliforniaPeggy Tuesday #90
Celerity Tuesday #89
CaliforniaPeggy Tuesday #91
Celerity Tuesday #100
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #101
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #95
Polybius Tuesday #102
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #103
bearsfootball516 Wednesday #114
Polybius Wednesday #118
Celerity Tuesday #104
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #105
Celerity Tuesday #107
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #108
Celerity Tuesday #109
orangecrush Tuesday #82
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #83
orangecrush Tuesday #86
bearsfootball516 Tuesday #98
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #99
applegrove Tuesday #87
budkin Tuesday #92
Takket Tuesday #93
Tiggeroshii Tuesday #96
Blaukraut Tuesday #94
Takket Tuesday #106
MyMission Tuesday #110
ooky Wednesday #111
mnhtnbb Wednesday #113
MyMission Wednesday #115
mnhtnbb Wednesday #117
Joe941 Wednesday #116

Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 07:36 PM

1. Marking so I can check back in

Thanks.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 07:39 PM

2. THANK YOU!!!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 07:39 PM

3. Thank you

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 07:50 PM

4. Thanks...

Will be back!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:03 PM

5. Is the Dem a chance?

Fingers crossed.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brettdale (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:05 PM

6. McCready has a chance in the 9th. I don't think Thomas has a chance in the 3rd. N/T

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Reply #6)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:15 PM

8. I don't think Thomas has a chance in the 3rd.

My friend told me that Thomas has NO chance in the 3rd District because he used to live there.

Notice I said he used to live there That race was called just now for Murphy.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:14 PM

7. Right now:

U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.5% Dan McCready Dem 25,389
49% Dan Bishop GOP 24,617
0.5%Other23

50% of precincts reporting (0/210)50,241 total votes

+ View detailed results



U.S. House, North Carolina 3rd congressional district

The heavily Republican 3rd District stretches across Eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks and Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune.

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
57.6% Greg Murphy GOP 27,588
41.6% Allen Thomas Dem 19,946
0.8%Other368

22.5% of precincts reporting (53/236)47,902 total votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:30 PM

10. 8:31pm - McCready up 6,100 votes. 6.3%

Dan McCready 50,218 52.9%
Dan Bishop 44,176 46.6
Jeff Scott 321 0.3
Allen Smith 184 0.2
94,899 votes, 16% reporting (33 of 210 precincts)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Roland99 (Reply #10)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:31 PM

11. Thanks. I'm getting different numbers than you.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:36 PM

12. Please let this be an uspet

I don't get my hopes if it shows the Democrat leading(please let it stay that way) and wound up loosing anyway.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Legends303 (Reply #12)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:47 PM

15. Crossing my fingers.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:42 PM

13. 8:40

U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner

51.9% Dan McCready Dem 52,180

47.5% Dan Bishop GOP 47,736


23.8% of precincts reporting (50/210)100,456 total votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Reply #13)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:45 PM

14. thanks for this thread and updates!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Reply #13)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:53 PM

16. Only 1800 vote lead. 34% reporting

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Roland99 (Reply #16)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 08:54 PM

17. Gah looks like Bishop made up most from Union County than 2018

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Legends303 (Reply #17)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:01 PM

18. Yeah ....

This is going to be a nail-biter .....

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Legends303 (Reply #17)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:07 PM

19. McCready is overperforming in Mecklenburg - This is why I donate

to Dem GOTV in Mecklenburg. Their county Dem machine makes every dollar count.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to blm (Reply #19)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:24 PM

24. Only 14% in from Mecklenburg

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:09 PM

20. 9:07

U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
49.9% Dan McCready Dem 61,123
49.5% Dan Bishop GOP 60,713

0.6%Other701

46.2% of precincts reporting (97/210)122,537 total votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Reply #20)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:10 PM

21. Dam it os close.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Reply #20)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:15 PM

22. 55% and same spread

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Roland99 (Reply #22)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:18 PM

23. 58% and Bishop up 900votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink



Response to a kennedy (Reply #25)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:29 PM

28. Too close to call still i would say.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to a kennedy (Reply #25)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:30 PM

30. Look at the counties Union is in Mecklenburg only 28% in

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to grantcart (Reply #30)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:43 PM

44. Did you hear they had a fire in Mecklenburg??? I think it was mentioned on Rachel's show.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to a kennedy (Reply #44)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:44 PM

46. 1 precinct had a problem but I think it was resolved

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:27 PM

26. 3 Dem counties still coming. Rep heavy counties already in

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to grantcart (Reply #26)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:28 PM

27. Still makes me nervous. We see and say that all the time but then....

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:30 PM

29. Cohn and Wasserman are leaning pretty heavily toward Bishop right now

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #29)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:31 PM

31. Link please

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:31 PM

32. I think mc cready wins.

The rural counties are in. The last big Republican county is 81 % in whereas the big dem county ( which is 1/3 of the entire population ) in only 24% in and mccready is over performing there. He is at 59 %.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to drray23 (Reply #32)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:34 PM

33. Nah, Bishop is going to win. McCready is underperforming in some counties

compared to last year.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to OliverQ (Reply #33)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:39 PM

38. Overperforming in Meck and that is where outstanding votes are.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to blm (Reply #38)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:52 PM

53. The counties aren't homogeneous

It all depends on which precincts are still out.

On edit - Half of the remaining Mecklenburg votes just came in with no significant change in net votes in the county. Those last 25% need to be blue precincts

88% reporting - now down by ~3,200 (2%)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to drray23 (Reply #32)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:35 PM

34. Hope you are right

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:35 PM

35. 9th is close enough to mean bad news for the gop

Good.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to lindysalsagal (Reply #35)


Response to lindysalsagal (Reply #35)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:50 PM

52. This is bad news for the Dems...

The Republican is out-performing areas compared to 2018. McCready also ran for an entire two years, had an opponent whose party tried stealing the last election and is currently on pace to do worse than he did a year ago.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:37 PM

36. Bishop is going to win.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #36)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:45 PM

47. Yup.....

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:37 PM

37. It's been a real nail biter since the poll closed. I'm still hoping for McCready but it's going to

be real close.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:39 PM

39. Looks like it's going to come down to turnout in Mecklenburg

McCready is slightly underperforming his 2018 totals in the six small counties, but turnout is a lot lower. Bishop is on track in Union. McCready is currently way overperforming in Mecklenburg, with 28% reporting there.

Edit: Bishop has done what he needs to do in Union with 100% reporting. It’s all on Mecklenburg now.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to EarlG (Reply #39)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:49 PM

51. MC is going to have make some votes in order to make a 2000

Vote difference.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to EarlG (Reply #39)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:52 PM

54. Question is how many early votes in Mecklenburg cannibalize votes from voting day

On straight extrapolation McCreedy should have 4-5,000 plurality left in Mecklenburg

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:41 PM

41. bishop now up about 2000, union 100% in

Mecklenberg only 54% in and McCready up 7000 there. If that trend continues McCready will win by about 5000.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Takket (Reply #41)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:43 PM

43. I hope your right

But bladen has 58% and that’s heavily GOP

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Legends303 (Reply #43)


Response to Takket (Reply #41)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:44 PM

45. Precinct-level model says no :(

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:43 PM

42. The fight is long, we will lose some battles but fight the war to win!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:47 PM

48. NC rednecks (sorry NC'linians) won't allow a Dem in these areas.

The rural areas + those around Charlotte/Mecklenberg - blood red with exception of a few spots. NC is always a disappointment.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink



Response to a kennedy (Reply #49)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:53 PM

56. The largest county left to count is +17 with 50% left. Thats 50k votes left favoring dems

All repug counties have been counted. I will be happy to call it for mcready at this point.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #56)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:55 PM

57. Sincerely hope you're right*

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #56)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:57 PM

59. Now down to 25% left

+13 now. The last 25% were almost 50/50

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #56)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:58 PM

60. Thank you.........so hope you're right......

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #56)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:59 PM

62. Mecklenburg I'm seeing at 80% in...

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #62)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:03 PM

64. It narrowed a lot in robeson when I posted that.

Far less sure at this point :

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:49 PM

50. 9:47

U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.5% Dan Bishop GOP 80,927
48.9% Dan McCready Dem 78,468

0.6%Other954

78.6% of precincts reporting (165/210)160,349 total votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink



Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:58 PM

61. Looks like we had VERY poor turnout in Mecklenburg County.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Ace Rothstein (Reply #61)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:07 PM

69. Was some of this area

affected by the storm? Could that have affected turnout?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Bettie (Reply #69)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:10 PM

74. How about machine malfunction?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to triron (Reply #74)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:14 PM

80. or functioning properly with malware

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Bettie (Reply #69)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:11 PM

75. Nope

It's Charlotte.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to FBaggins (Reply #75)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:12 PM

77. I didn't know which areas

got hit...and my grasp of specific geography of that area is sketchy at best!

Rats.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Ace Rothstein (Reply #61)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:09 PM

71. True

Union county looks like 40% turnout... while Mecklenburg just crossed half of that (with a dozen precincts yet to report).

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Ace Rothstein (Reply #61)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:10 PM

73. ....

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 09:59 PM

63. Bishop's lead over 3000 votes now I'm calling it for

Gop with 88%

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:03 PM

65. Not looking good.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:05 PM

66. yeah i thought we had this with mecklenberg at only 54%........

but the remaining precincts must have had very small population because it jumped to 76% and the vote total barely moved.

this one is over.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Takket (Reply #66)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:06 PM

67. I think Bishop will win by about 2k votes.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #67)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:08 PM

70. people just never learn............. it is such a shame.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Takket (Reply #70)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:09 PM

72. Mecklenburg has a million people. Even if it is only partially part of the county for the district,

how are only 60k people voting??

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #72)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:11 PM

76. Not plausible

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #72)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:13 PM

79. Repuke shenanigan.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #72)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:18 PM

85. election fraud again..

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #72)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:28 PM

97. WTF happened in Robeson?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to triron (Reply #97)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 06:12 AM

112. AA population that came out to vote in 2018 didn't come out this time.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:07 PM

68. I'm one who does not trust the Republicans . .

That said, hats off for Dan McCready!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:13 PM

78. With 94% in, they still haven't called it for Bishop.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to secondwind (Reply #78)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:16 PM

81. Politico has.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #81)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:18 PM

84. And so has the NY Times. n/t

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #84)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:22 PM

88. and so have i

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #88)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:23 PM

90. I feel the same sadness, my dear Tiggeroshii.......

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #84)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:22 PM

89. In NC-9 , our turnout and vote margin collapsed in multiple counties

We went from winning Robeson by almost 5000 votes to almost losing it, and then the Rethugs flipped Cumberland and Richmond outright

2020



2018

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #89)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:24 PM

91. Did the Democrats just give up? Or..........?

Or were the republicans that determined?

This is breaking my heart.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #91)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:33 PM

100. Rethugs surged (in intensity, not raw turnout), and our base didn't turn out

I d not have the raw data, but the biggest drop-offs seem to come from high minority areas (which is what fucked us the worst in 2016). Robeson, Cumberland and Richmond are heavily A-A, probably 30% or so overall.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #91)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:33 PM

101. The closeness actually shows we tried.

Trump won this by double digits in 2016, and they barely kept it by 2% today. From the nytimes:

"As Mr. Trump heads into a re-election year, the closeness of the outcome in a district that hasn’t been held by a Democrat since the 1960s confirmed once more that he energizes Democrats and some independents to fight against him just as much as he inspires Republicans to fight for him. In 2018, Democratic candidates flipped several G.O.P.-held House seats in districts that Mr. Trump had won, a sign of distaste among moderate and suburban voters who reluctantly backed him in 2016. "

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/10/us/politics/north-carolina-special-election.html

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #89)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:26 PM

95. Isn't this like a Trump +15 district?

We lost it by (so far 2.2%). Turnout is always higher in general elections. We could win this back in a little over a year....

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #95)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:34 PM

102. But in November it was closer

I get it that it's a special election, but that didn't stop Republicans from turning out today.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Polybius (Reply #102)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:38 PM

103. One article I saw said there are over 30 repubican held districts less republican than this.

Meaning if we get within a few points in enough of them, we will still be gaining a good amount in 2020.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Polybius (Reply #102)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 07:37 AM

114. Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line.

It's why it's hard to beat Republicans in these low-turnout elections. They come out every. single. time.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #114)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 12:39 PM

118. It takes an extraordinary situation for us to come out in force on special elections

Roy Moore was just that situation. This one apparently wasn't important enough.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #95)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:39 PM

104. Trump plus 11.6 in 2016 nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #104)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:42 PM

105. and +3% statewide

If he does even close to as bad as the republican candidates in their districts in 2018 and today, he will lose the state. I'm convinced there is little to say he won't. In this district alone he might be down 9%. Add that up among the rest of the state and he's toast.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #105)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:53 PM

107. I think if Biden picks Abrams as his VP we have great shots at GA, NC, FL

Unfortunately, those are 3 of the most corrupt Rethug states in the US, especially GA and NC.

This is going to be a brutal election. Only way the country doe not partially tear itself apart is a MASSIVE Rump loss, with him then being tried and convicted and imprisoned post-presidency, and finally a 'de-nazification' (not literally, but in de-programming intent) scheme to try and ram the white power genie back in the bottle (which I doubt will happen).

I am afraid forces have been re-released and re-invigorated in the zeitgeist that are going to take decades to diminish.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Celerity (Reply #107)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:55 PM

108. NC has been getting better with Cooper, I think, and the chances of corruption have been limited.

A Southerner would definitely help the ticket but the sheer unpopularity of trump is noteworthy for those states. I remain optimistic.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #108)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:57 PM

109. +10000

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:16 PM

82. If it's close



Their cheating will make the difference.

It will come out after it is over.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to orangecrush (Reply #82)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:17 PM

83. Strange that the most democratic county is the last to be counted.

still 10% left

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Tiggeroshii (Reply #83)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:18 PM

86. If it's close


They always win.

Cheat.

Lather, rinse, repeat.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to orangecrush (Reply #86)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:30 PM

98. You realize that sometimes, you just don't win, right?

Sometimes, you just don’t get as many votes.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #98)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:31 PM

99. It's a little worse when you have an incompetent megalomaniac representing

the party that wins. Due to that fact, reality is far harder to accept.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:20 PM

87. U.S. House,North Carolina 9th congressional district Politico 10:19

U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.

Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.9% Dan Bishop GOP 93,725 ✓
48.6% Dan McCready Dem 89,486

0.6%Other1,103

97.6% of precincts reporting (205/210)184,314 total votes

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:25 PM

92. Looks like fraud pays off!

This race should have defaulted to McCready after Harris was busted. Instead, they get a do-over?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:25 PM

93. someone explain to me.........

how Mecklenberg had McCready up 7000 with 54% of the vote counted and he finished only 8000 up in that county. since the most urban areas (blue) are almost always totaled nd submitted last, how did he do that bad in the last 46%? were they actually all red areas in the county?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Takket (Reply #93)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:28 PM

96. It looks like the precincts counted 1st were the large ones, and 50% of precincts left were likely

rural with only a few hundred people each.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:25 PM

94. Low turnout always favors the Republicans.

Apparently, Dem voters have the attention spans of gnats and can't be bothered to vote unless the house is on fire or something.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:45 PM

106. drumpf will be celebating his appearance putting bishop over the top

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Tue Sep 10, 2019, 10:57 PM

110. I hate my state!

Living here in Western NC for 16 years. Born and raised in NYC. Dreaming of moving back to Northeast.

Bitterly disappointed...I hate my state! Bears repeating. Damn rednecks! Dumbfucks. Shit for brains southerners. They probably rigged this election too.

And meadows is my rep(rehensible) gerrymandered con grrr assman, worst of all.

What is wrong with all these people, the ones who voted and those who didn't?!?!
Shit, bullshit, more shit, fuck this shit!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MyMission (Reply #110)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 12:34 AM

111. The good news is he's still in the minority party.

It doesn't mean as much when they don't control the House. And maybe we will get him next year on the down ballot when more voters turn out.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MyMission (Reply #110)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 06:58 AM

113. I hear you.

Born in Manhattan, grew up in Jersey.

Been in NC since 2000. Didn't think I could ever live in the south. Really enjoyed Chapel Hill--surrounded by progressive Dems-- until the Repubs took over the state after gerrymandering from 2010 election. Look where we are 9 years later. It has taken that long to FINALLY get a court decision to redo the state districts.

Rather than moving back to north east, move to a blue area here in NC. Asheville, Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill...we need your vote!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to mnhtnbb (Reply #113)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 09:00 AM

115. Blue dots in a red state and red region

Thanks for commiserating.

I'm not leaving any time soon, but harbor many thoughts about escaping this evangelical region. I tell folks I want to retire to the Northeast, when many have retired here from elsewhere. Financially unable to make a move anywhere at the present time. But I do go to Asheville fairly often, to enjoy the company of like-minded people and the illusion that I live among them.

And I am both hopeful and skeptical that fixing the gerrymandering will yield better results.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MyMission (Reply #115)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:15 AM

117. We had much better representation of the purple state of NC

prior to the gerrymandering. We had 7 Dem reps and 6 Repub reps instead of the 10 Repubs and 3 Dems after the gerrymandering.

It is true you can't get away from the red completely, but if you are at some point able to make a move to a blue area like Asheville, or the Triangle, you will end up meeting a lot more people who are sympathetic to Democratic causes and live Democratic values.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Sep 11, 2019, 10:04 AM

116. Are there any reports of fraudulent activity?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread