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Tue Aug 13, 2019, 02:54 PM

The 2019 hurricane season forecast just got worse




Article published and updated 08-12-19.

Link: https://www.northjersey.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2019/08/12/hurricane-forecast-2019-predicts-more-intense-storms/1982403001/


I knew the weather has been a little too calm lately.


The Atlantic hurricane season, which has just entered its peak period, could be worse than predicted: There is a 45 percent chance of above-normal activity, up from the 30 percent outlook issued in May, federal forecasters said Thursday. An average season has 12 named storms, with six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, according to NOAA.

The number of predicted named storms also increased: expect 10 to 17 tropical storms, up from the nine to 15 predicted in May.

Five to nine of those named storms could become hurricanes, up from the four to eight forecasted in May.

Two to four major hurricanes are likely, a prediction unchanged in the new outlook. Major hurricanes represent Categories 3, 4 and 5 and have wind speeds of 111 mph or greater.




Keep us advised Malaise.

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply The 2019 hurricane season forecast just got worse (Original post)
lpbk2713 Tuesday OP
smirkymonkey Tuesday #1
malaise Tuesday #2
babylonsister Tuesday #4
malaise Tuesday #5
lark Tuesday #3
malaise Tuesday #6
lark Wednesday #8
malaise Wednesday #9
Blue_true Tuesday #7

Response to lpbk2713 (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 03:09 PM

1. K&R

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Response to lpbk2713 (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 03:11 PM

2. LOL - saw that this morning

I just have a feeling that we are overdue here in Jamaica but the same is true for South Florida.

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Response to malaise (Reply #2)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 03:40 PM

4. Bite. Your. Tongue.

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Response to babylonsister (Reply #4)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 03:43 PM

5. Ha

Funny we were talking this morning about the thought of having to move all these plants indoors -damn!!

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Response to lpbk2713 (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 03:37 PM

3. Hurricne season is always a little tense when you live in FL anywhere near a coastline -

which includes all the major population centers. Last year was a very good year for NE FL, no major storms came anywhere near us. I just hope this year doesn't bring the big one. With all the heat this year, it could be a scary time for people on the Gulf or Atlantic.

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Response to lark (Reply #3)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:11 PM

6. For me it get tense from now until October

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Response to malaise (Reply #6)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 07:38 AM

8. I feel ya.

Hope neither of us get hit this year, especially not by anything big.

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Response to lark (Reply #8)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:26 AM

9. I'd pay for a tropical storm to end this drought

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Response to lark (Reply #3)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:52 PM

7. I am finally starting to see violent lightning storms where I live in Florida.

I mean low strikes where sonething is struck, not the high cloud strikes that one look up at. Earlier this year I heard something that I don't remember in my lifetime, very high (many miles up) lightening that does not come remotely near ground level, all I could hear was the low rumble miles up above my head. I don't know what the very high lightening entails, but my fear whatever is happening it is not good.

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