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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMichael Moore: Romney will win in November
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/30/michael-moore-mitt-romney_n_1843824.htmlMoore said he believes that if the election were conducted "American Idol"-style, and Americans were able to vote from their couches, Obama "would win hands down."
more at link
PDJane
(10,103 posts)I don't think that there's any reason to be sanguine, considering the things that are going on in Michigan, and Florida and Ohio. There is blatant vote-rigging going on and a lack of paper trails.
pnwmom
(109,604 posts)renate
(13,776 posts)I've made the mistake a few times of responding to part of a post that didn't match the rest of it.
PDJane
(10,103 posts)What I meant to say was that I hope Obama wins, because I know he has popular support. I really, really hope so. I have, however, a sneaking suspicion that this election and the one after will be Dubya redux. My apologies; my brain was going in six directions at once, and I am getting less flexible than I used to be!
get the red out
(13,603 posts)But he's being very defeatist. I believe his assumption is wrong. Anyone can be wrong.
bamacrat
(3,867 posts)I like him an all, but he whines too much and he's the first to pitch a fit and say its over before it has begun.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)And money is no guarantee of victory. Plus, per all the polling done on this race, Obama is still ahead in the electoral college. I am not afraid of Romney and I don't get why Michael Moore is.
Vogon_Glory
(9,590 posts)You're right. Money is no guarantee of victory. The candidate who wins is the candidate who gets the most voters to turn out for him or her during early voting or on Election Day.
I don't doubt that R-money's Super-PACs have cash to burn. On the other hand, the R's don't seem to have made Mitt into a particularly likable guy, and despite the corporate media's slothfulness and timidity, I think that more and more people are beginning to notice that the Republicans have little to run on except for lying.
Cal33
(7,018 posts)Vogon_Glory
(9,590 posts)Possibly, BUT I don't have time to indulge in defeatist behavior. Even if I thought we were going to lose (And I think that there's a very good chance for Democratic victory this year), I feel compelled to go out and campaign this year. I intend to be able to look myself in the mirror and be able to honestly tell myself that I did something to resist the reactionaries' political agenda this season instead of curling up into a little ball and say "Oh poor pitiful me. Oh poor pitiful me. Oh poor pitiful me."
I signed up to work at a phone bank on Saturday.
How about you?
superpatriotman
(6,567 posts)he's afraid of Democratic lethargy and an ineffective Democratic GOTV program.
Every email I get from the President, the DNC, DCCC, state party, etc. asks for a donation.
The Party needs 21st-century solutions for GOTV.
pnwmom
(109,604 posts)milwaukeelib33
(140 posts)It happened in June during the WI recalls. OFA and many other national orgs were here. They held events and block parties with vans waiting to shuttle otherwise "unlikely" voters to/from the polls. This went on for many days leading up to election day taking advantage of early voting. Plenty of boots on the ground communicating the events through social media, or in disadvantaged neighborhoods less likely to be wired, actually going door-to-door.
End results aside, I think this is the type of tactic that will work. Less money was spent on ads because the polls showed there were few undecided voters out there to flip. The pres election seems to be shaping up in a similar fashion. The diverted money was put into getting more boots on the ground and funding the events and necessary transportation to get people to the polls.
get the red out
(13,603 posts)He's going to get his ass handed to him by President Obama, and that little weasel, Ryan, will look like he has no business in the same room with VP Biden.
Their stupid convention isn't even attracting viewers, they are really enthused it seems.
JI7
(90,720 posts)it would be one thing but he is saying it's over because of the money.
gateley
(62,683 posts)Couple that with the voter suppression, and I agree there's cause for concern. None of them will be turned away from the polls.
PatSeg
(49,751 posts)who have bought everything they could possibly want, so of course they have to buy the presidency as well.
It all doesn't mean Romney will win, but we should never assume it couldn't happen. We've seen what they are capable of in the recent past and we should never underestimate them.
Vogon_Glory
(9,590 posts)Interesting story about money over in that other party during the senate primary in Texas. The favored candidate was David Dewhurst, Lieutenant Governor, favored by the Texas Republican establishment, and favored by the political establishment. Dewhurst got trounced by Ted Cruz, a Tea Party insurgent, who lacked anything like Dewhurst's big war chest, but who waged a better ground game and turned out his right-wing voters.
A better ground game CAN defeat big campaign war-chests. We Democrats CAN win!
Cleita
(75,480 posts)It's the electoral votes that are being diddled with and those could tip it in favor of Romney in key states. What they are doing with election rigging points to that.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Funny guy, but laughing at nihilism and one dude's bitter cynicism is much different from actually accepting it.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)Talk to Meg Whitman.
Romney could win if Republicans succeed at supressing the vote and stealing the election.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)more money spent per vote than any other Senate campaign in history and she still got beat like a rented mule.
cali
(114,904 posts)she's ahead.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)the latest by Quinnipiac shows her back in the familiar spot of second place. I'd be surprised if she pulls it any closer than she has it now. She's simply an unlikable human being.
She refuses to talk about anything except her "jobs" plan and when asked about minor things that a Senator might have to consider like treaties and foreign policy she doesn't comment at all.
She's running the "Sarah Palin campaign" of "I'm gonna answer the questions that I want not the ones you ask."
cali
(114,904 posts)sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)maryellen99
(3,798 posts)I don't live in CT but I do not want Vince McMahon ANYWHERE near our government.
Skink
(10,122 posts)It should be easier to vote. Early voting ensures anyone who wants to vote gets to the polls.
rbrnmw
(7,160 posts)rbrnmw
(7,160 posts)Archae
(46,841 posts)Moore wants Rmoney to win so he cam make more half-fictional movies about right-wingers.
superpatriotman
(6,567 posts)We could NEVER elect the wrong person, right?
Moore's next movie should be about the fractal nature of Democratic party politics.
Manifestor_of_Light
(21,046 posts)If Michael Moore told a single lie, he would get sued for slander. He has the best libel lawyers that work for The New Yorker go over every line and sentence and image in his movies and books, and make sure that he cannot be sued.
Why do people keep saying that Michael Moore lies? Because they don't like his answers?
He does not lie about anything. Otherwise he would have been sued.
Please give us a citation where Michael Moore has been proven to have lied.
Knock it off.
former9thward
(33,424 posts)Where did you go to law school? What nonsense.
Manifestor_of_Light
(21,046 posts)Yes they do get sued for slander for lying.
Slander is a defamation that is oral. Libel is written defamation. If he lied about someone in one of his books or movies, for example, said "Dick Cheney strangled his mother" and it is not true, then Cheney could sue MM for defamation.
If what he said is true, that is an absolute defense and he cannot be sued. You have it backwards.
In the case of a public figure, the words must have been spoken with actual malice, in that the publisher must have known it was false and spread it in reckless disregard of the truth. New York Times v. Sullivan, 376 U.S. 254 (1964).
I went to South Texas College of Law, BTW.
former9thward
(33,424 posts)But I'm sure it is a fine school. Telling a lie is not necessarily slander and that is the context of the post I replied to. If telling lies was equal to slander then when tabloids run stories of Obama talking to aliens from mars would be they would be sued. They are not. That being said it is extremely difficult to sue for slander in the U.S. public figure or not. That is why it is very rarely done and even less rarely successful.
If you think MM could be successfully sued if he demonstrably lied in one of his films then your school ill served you.
Manifestor_of_Light
(21,046 posts)The law concerns lying about a person, not about facts in general. I don't know where you went to law school either.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Texas_College_of_Law
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libel
former9thward
(33,424 posts)But thanks for the cite.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,443 posts)fascisthunter
(29,381 posts)can't help yourself, can ya?
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Puglover
(16,380 posts)Very mature.
Webster Green
(13,905 posts)And.....did you actually watch the video?
Very lame post.
CBGLuthier
(12,723 posts)klook
(12,902 posts)I can bring about my brain by eating?
This poses an interesting conundrum: if I don't have a brain, how can I eat? A brain is required to operate my ingestion mechanisms (jaw, salivary glands, swallow thingy), is it not?
Yet you say a person can bring his or her brain into existence merely by stuffing his or her face.
Wow, deep. Very zen. I'm gonna have to go stuff my face and ponder this.
fascisthunter
(29,381 posts)closeupready
(29,503 posts)he's wrong every now and then.
cbdo2007
(9,213 posts)thinks he is.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)MM just made my ignore list from now on. Whatever he had, he lost it somewhere.
mattclearing
(10,100 posts)Which, given the money situation and the rampant disenfranchisement, is probably a good idea.
highplainsdem
(52,632 posts)will be, especially with the Republicans having so much more money.
It's very clear he's worried that Obama's base isn't excited enough this time. He's especially worried that young voters aren't excited enough.
But he is NOT making a definite prediction that Romney will win.
He's saying that without enough excitement, enough turnout, by Dem voters and activists, Romney will win.
gateley
(62,683 posts)highplainsdem
(52,632 posts)Their headline is misleading.
ScarlettOhara
(25 posts)Moore actually said that IF people voted from their couches, a la American Idol, THEN Romney would win. His implication is that the vast majority of the electorate are ignorant.
gateley
(62,683 posts)too many of us are 'meh' (as we were in 2010).
ScarlettOhara
(25 posts)I blame the media, ignorance, and apathy for this sorry state of affairs.
gateley
(62,683 posts)And welcome to DU!
fascisthunter
(29,381 posts)gateley
(62,683 posts)did in 2008. Too many have become complacent. Look at 2010 if you don't think it can happen. We assumed people wouldn't fall for their lies and yet look how many whack jobs were elected. We lost the House for fuck sake!
To blow off what MM has to say as "whining" or "defeatist" is wrong.
I'm not in so much agreement that it's the money that will do it, as much as our lack of enthusiasm and commitment.
We need to work as hard now as we did in 2008. It's not a slam dunk.
flamingdem
(39,936 posts)and aren't aware of what is at stake
highplainsdem
(52,632 posts)flamingdem
(39,936 posts)... oh the chaos, well you were sent a small envelope with new instructions and you didn't open it! Your fault, you don't get to vote, stop complaining
(I skip opening lots of mail since it's junk usually)
freshwest
(53,661 posts)Cleita
(75,480 posts)times that it seems hopeless to fight back. I'm in a state that I know will deliver electoral votes to Obama so I really can only sit on the sidelines and watch. I've contributed all I can and am tapped out so I can't even throw money at this. However, Democrats in Ohio, Florida, et al or even in neighboring states should be doing what they can on the ground now to make this not happen.
gateley
(62,683 posts)the way to win.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)As I said before all I can do is observe.
SoCalDem
(103,856 posts)because so many people turn off politics if there's not a presidential race...The smaller turn outs tend to favor the "throw 'em out" voters.
What was different in '10, was the formation of the teabag brigade starting in late '08 (probably "born" in that We-Hate-Him soiree on Inauguration night)..
They had a year + to firm it up, funding from gazillionaires and the gaga media fawning all over them, so it was NO surprise to me that they stomped us in '10.
From that moment on, EVERY election will be a MAJOR one.
I've said it a million times..
Republicans play the long game.. Decades ago, when dems didn't even bother to proffer a candidate for some races, republicans were running for and winning state house seats, school board seats, judge-ships, council seats..everywhere.. They were the "farm team".. They were becoming "known", and gaining confidence. All those taken-over radio stations in their localities pumped them up and probably helped them in election after election as they climbed the ladder..
Many "graduated" into the hundreds of "think tanks" the right created..they got published---noticed--and once in DC, their next steps were charted for them..
It's a process and the right knows it.. They are willing to play the long game because they know that dems don't usually play it, and many don't even seem to know it exists.
We seem to try to re-invent the wheel with every election, and for righties, they are already planning 2 elections ahead, and have a pocketful of "changes" they plan to ram through the very next time they grab power.
That's precisely why George got us into two wars right away, and stripped the treasury bare with tax cuts & giveaways right away.. You do the big and bold FIRST..
My grandfather always said it was easier to ask forgiveness, than permission..
Dems usually ask permission
Republicans do it, mention asking for forgiveness..don't ever really ask, and then go on as if they WERE forgiven.
gateley
(62,683 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)in that direction.
Response to superpatriotman (Original post)
littlemissmartypants This message was self-deleted by its author.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)Michael could be right if we don't do something about it. I have no doubt Obama would get the popular vote by a large margin. It means nothing if key states are being rigged.
gateley
(62,683 posts)laundry_queen
(8,646 posts)1-Old-Man
(2,667 posts)Here is what scares me more than anything else about the coming election. There is at least 1 man who has pledged he will spend $100,000,000 on the election. We presume he means to spend that money legally, but if even 10% of it is diverted to buy off the man or woman who counts the votes in just two or three key counties around the country it could throw the election. Take Cuyahoga County, OH for an example. Take a ranking poll worker who's underwater on his house and has a kid in college and no idea where next semester's tuition is going to come from - let alone books, and someone waving a million bucks under his nose is going to be mighty tempting. I do not suggest it will happen, but with a Billion dollars going into an election you can absolutely bet the farm that all if it will not be legally spent.
ParkieDem
(494 posts)That could just as easily happen from an Obama supporter than a Romney supporter.
I don't think Michael Moore is right, but anyone on this board who thinks the election is "in the bag" for Obama is delusional. It's going to be close, vote-stealing or not.
1-Old-Man
(2,667 posts)Yep, I suppose the opportunity is just as great from our side as theirs but I don't think it is as much in our inclination to do it. I think that Republicans, and particularly those who have already determined to spend tens if not hundreds of millions, display a more emphatic nature about their giving. They seem to think that any election won by a Democrat points at the end of civilization and if that's your point of view the niceties of law get lost in those sorts of decisions. Democrats, by difference it seems to me, tend to say, 'well, we'll hold them off for 2 years and then beat them in the next election'
liberal N proud
(60,968 posts)Now they will probably STEAL the election for Romney but if the votes are all counted and counted fairly and correctly and reported correctly, he would not win the election.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)CrispyQ
(38,430 posts)I'll never forget OH flipping shortly after I got home from the polls in '04. It was the most depressing moment of the year.
liberal N proud
(60,968 posts)The names have changed but the crimes will be the same.
treestar
(82,383 posts)gateley
(62,683 posts)painting a realistic picture of the current situation. The headline is misleading, IMO.
If anything, I view it as a call to arms, a warning against complacency.
We can't pretend that this will be a cakewalk for us. That's as dangerous as defeatism.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)If Romney wins kiss goodbye to America as we know It.Romney would have republican congress with him.And If Democrats lose In
2012 with Obama In white house how could they win In 2014 or 2016 out of power.
Republicans would pull nuclear opotion In senate If democrats could fillerbuster.
The Bush tax cuts become permeant and Romney would pass more tax Cuts.
Taxes will be raised on poor and middle class to pay for more tax cuts and increase In defense spending.
There will be no pullout In Afghanstain and say hello to war In Iran
Expect retirement age to raised to 70-72 and more cuts to Social secuity
Healthcare reform repealed.Medicare severly gutted to pay for tax cuts and turned Into voucher system
800 Billion cut from medicaid.It turned back to states where Republicans cut even more.If your poor or disabled say goodbye to
health care coverage.
Food stamps cut and turned to states where even more Is cut.If your poor or disabled you will have almost no help to get food.
Disabled people will be thrown under the bus by cuts to SSI
On education If you can't offord private school you may be out of luck.And for poor and Middle class you will get no help going to collage.
Look for national version of antiunion stuff like In Wis,and Ohio to get passed by congress and signed Into law
Women will lose coverage for birth control.Antiabortion laws will be signed and personhood laws could be passed In Congress
The Minuem wage could be ablolished.
DADT reinstated.And more antigay laws could be passed.
Civil rights laws could outright be repealed
Romney as president should scare the hell out of people.It could create a permeant one party 1 percent society In this country.
Cleita
(75,480 posts)You said it.
CrispyQ
(38,430 posts)People say, 'you shouldn't let politics get in the way of family & friends.' Really? Politics reflects a person's world view. Why would I hang with people who want Mitt Romney & this list for our future?
'Agree to disagree' just doesn't work with me when it comes to some issues.
ScarlettOhara
(25 posts)Dubya does most of the work. The black guy gets the blame. And then, put the guy who's experienced in tearing down companies to sell them off for profit in charge.
fishwax
(29,327 posts)He's not saying Obama can't win, he's pointing out the importance of getting out the vote for our side, particularly given the advantage the republicans have in financing their organizational machine.
IL Lib
(190 posts)He suggests that he thinks Romney will win because of all of the money backing him. If he wanted to express how important it is for dems to get out to vote, he could have framed it much better. Dems are soft, point blank.
fishwax
(29,327 posts)I didn't think there was anything wrong with his overall message.
Welcome to DU, IL Lib
IL Lib
(190 posts)I've been reading and enjoying the forum for awhile, and felt the need to join in as we're getting closer to the election.
patrice
(47,992 posts)So they don't even have to try to get it right. In fact, the more wrong it is the better, for what happens next. This is why they have absolutely NO regard for the truth. The further off they are, the better for them and whatever deals they'll do in their secret boardrooms once Robme delivers this thing for them.
gateley
(62,683 posts)With the number who will be denied access it's even more crucial than ever. But how do you light the fire? Too many aren't paying attention and only hear the soundbites and will see a preponderance of Romney ads. We can't give up.
patrice
(47,992 posts)And if people just don't really feel committed to working with the Democratic party, they might consider finding the closest Occupy, though I can't guarantee that they won't encounter a relatively strong "Don't Vote" cohort there, like we did here locally, but that may have just been our Occupy. It's still a good, though very chaotic, place to be involved in issues, without having to mind all of the party p's and q's.
I'm canvassing for local Democrats; I know that's not everyone's thing, but they might be concerned about what is happening and the Occupy is an interesting, broad, and somewhat disorganized context in which to explore political action, including the opposite of "Don't Vote".
korak
(77 posts)Off Topic. Sorry but i can't originate a thread. Someone who can should!!!!!
Look at this! It is a lie that the rightists are spreading all over the net. The DNC is not in any way connected to this. Check the snopes.com article.
http://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=navclient&ie=UTF-8#hl=en&safe=off&output=search&sclient=psy-ab&q=jummah+at+the+dnc&rlz=1R2RNRN_enUS453&oq=jummah+dnc&gs_l=hp.1.0.0i8.4831.9299.0.16218.10.10.0.0.0.0.266.2071.0j4j6.10.0.les%3B..0.0.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)gateley
(62,683 posts)cause for concern.
Amerigo Vespucci
(30,885 posts)It puts the burden of the candidate with less "buying power" on the hot seat.
If Obama FIGHTS for this, he will win. If he BLINKS, it will be "President Romney."
gateley
(62,683 posts)I lost faith in a lot of my fellow Dems and the American people in general in 2010, and again in Wisconsin.
Amerigo Vespucci
(30,885 posts)There IS NO "President Obama" without US.
He may LEAD the fight, but it will be the effort from every Democrat with "boots on the ground" that puts him into a second term.
jillan
(39,451 posts)[img][/img]
Puglover
(16,380 posts)Thanks for this post. Obviously nuance is lost on a few in this thread.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)with these words. It's one thing to express urgency and get people to understand how important it is to vote. It's altogether another thing to just give up.
One thing about Michael Moore and other liberal commentators: they had no problem supporting Bill Clinton for a second term. They also had no problem support John Kerry. But when it comes to Barack Obama, there's this curious double standard. It's odd and very disturbing to me.
Michael Moore is doing our side no favors. I can see the Republicans using his words and playing them against the Democrats and Obama.
I think he's being an idiot!!
gateley
(62,683 posts)prevail. I think its a call to arms, and as we learned in 2010 and again in Wisconsin, he's right.
He is DEFINITELY not giving up!
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)being progressive enough, to which I am curious as to why he supported Bill Clinton and John Kerry. Neither men are progressive. Why the double standard?
At any rate, I hope that he will vote for President Obama and I hope that his words don't have the opposite impact where people just give up in defeat.
MM is a very charismatic figure on the left. I believe that he needs to be very careful how his words may be misinterpreted.
gateley
(62,683 posts)of frustration that we didn't see the dramatic changes we'd hoped for. Speaking for myself, I'd become angry when he made concessions and felt he didn't fight hard enough (although I never entertained the thought of not voting for him). It took me stepping back and understanding that for the most part, he did what he could with the obstruction he met.
For those the were angry enough to threaten they wouldn't vote, I'm hoping that at the very least they realize the price we'd all pay if they follow through. Again, speaking for myself, I still get mad at him but realize we ARE heading in the right direction despite incredible opposition. I'm guessing (hoping) others feel the same and support him.
I'm pretty sure MM will vote for Obama, and I hope he says that loudly and often.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)politicasista
(14,128 posts)when it comes to foreign policy. Senator Kerry is not a centrist triangulator like B. Clinton. In fact, he (Kerry) is more aligned with to the Kennedy wing more than the Clinton wing.
LynneSin
(95,337 posts)so they work harder to get Obama re-elected.
rachel1
(538 posts)wrong.
I don't know what he was thinking when he said that but there's no chance of that happening.
gateley
(62,683 posts)And I disagree that there's "no chance of that happening". I didn't think we'd lose the House in 2010, did you?
rbrnmw
(7,160 posts)I agree with Moore I've almost a feeling of impending doom of course that could be the scotch, herbs, and spices talking
but in all seriousness we could lose
byeya
(2,842 posts)is not called down for it by the boss?
Tarheel_Dem
(31,443 posts)Incitatus
(5,317 posts)So I'm not too concerned about his prediction in this election.
mia
(8,420 posts)You should think a long time before you give your opinion again.
fascisthunter
(29,381 posts)nice try... "super" duper patriot poser.
fishwax
(29,327 posts)I agree with you that it's misleading.
Funny how quickly people will jump on the guy though, for saying that the bad guys will win if we don't vote and don't get out the vote. That's a message everyone should take to heart.
fascisthunter
(29,381 posts)and reposting was too.