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RandySF

(58,661 posts)
Mon Jun 17, 2019, 10:47 PM Jun 2019

"THE BLUE WAVE IS REALLY COMING BACK": HOW THE SUPREME COURT JUST FLIPPED THE SCRIPT IN VIRGINIA

Arguably, Virginia’s 66th District is the precise epicenter of the nation’s political wars—and the Supreme Court, with the help of two of its most conservative judges, just tilted it toward the Democrats. In a somewhat unexpected decision, the Court dismissed the challenge to a lower court ruling in which the judges said 11 districts in Virginia were racially gerrymandered. Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch sided with the liberal wing of the Court—Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Sonia Sotomayor, and Elena Kagan—in arguing that Republicans in the Virginia House of Delegates didn’t have the legal standing to challenge the decision of the Eastern U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia.

Virginia’s 66th was redrawn. Its representative is Republican Speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates Kirk Cox, who has represented the district for 29 years. Cox led the House Republican effort to overturn the lower court’s decision, at the cost of millions of dollars to Virginian taxpayers. In a January interview with the Washington Post, Cox slammed the new map as “legally indefensible” and designed to “target senior Republicans” like himself. In the wake of the court’s decision, the Republican is expected to face his first tough race in decades in his redrawn district, which is expected to be a full 32 percentage points more favorable to Democrats this November.

By pure accident, Cox drew the national spotlight earlier this year when Virginia’s top three political officials, Democrats, were besieged by scandal. Within the span of five days, Governor Ralph Northam and Attorney General Mark Herring both admitted to wearing blackface and a college professor accused Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax of sexual assault. (Fairfax denied the allegations.) Had all three resigned, the next in line to the governor’s mansion would have been Cox, who only ascended to his leadership position thanks to a literal luck of the draw. The scandals had given the Trump campaign ambitions to flip the state in 2020—but the Supreme Court decision once again puts Republicans on the defensive.

he person who is happiest about the verdict is Cox’s challenger, Sheila Bynum-Coleman. “With this particular district, it’s like a circle around my community. With the previous district, it was like over the river through the woods. It definitely cut out Democratic voters. The people who live down the street from me were not able to vote for me. And now I go to the grocery store or the corner store and people are excited to know that they can,” she told me. “When you divide communities, you disenfranchise people.”

Virginia Democrats will now face a much more favorable map this November and hope to build on the legislative gains they made in the Commonwealth in 2017 and 2018. “We’ve seen that Virginia is a big indicator of national trends. We’re the only southern state that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Then in 2017, it was really the start of the blue wave, right? Our 15-seat pickup was the biggest pickup in over a hundred years in Virginia. The Democratic Party lost the majority in Virginia back in 1999 so it’s been a really long time serving in the minority in the house of delegates here,” Kathryn Gilley, the communications director for the Virginia House Democrats, told me. “Now we’re seeing the blue wave is really coming back to Virginia and we’re here to finally flip the house. Which is going to be momentous to have a Democratic majority for the first time in 20 years.”



https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/06/supreme-court-gerrymandering-virginia-kirk-cox-sheila-bynum-coleman?utm_medium=social&utm_brand=vf&mbid=social_twitter&utm_social-type=owned&utm_source=twitter&verso=true

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"THE BLUE WAVE IS REALLY COMING BACK": HOW THE SUPREME COURT JUST FLIPPED THE SCRIPT IN VIRGINIA (Original Post) RandySF Jun 2019 OP
This ruling should effect the gerrymander case in NC blm Jun 2019 #1
Is the NC case over state or congressional districts? RandySF Jun 2019 #2
Congressional, but pretty much the same GOP gameplay. NC case has emails blm Jun 2019 #3
My understanding is that the case was dismissed for a lack of standing. tritsofme Jun 2019 #4
This. It's that Cox didn't have standing to contest the lower court's decision. nt Honeycombe8 Jun 2019 #10
The decision was not about gerrymandering. COLGATE4 Jun 2019 #11
Damn blm Jun 2019 #14
Brilliant news! Cha Jun 2019 #5
Wait a second. sheshe2 Jun 2019 #6
Holy Stinky The Clown Jun 2019 #7
Shit Stinky The Clown Jun 2019 #8
! ! ! Stinky The Clown Jun 2019 #9
Again, as the above posters noted, the ruling was only on standing pecosbob Jun 2019 #12
Right, not a precedent. grantcart Jun 2019 #13
I hope this is a harbinger of things to come in Ohio Norbert Jun 2019 #15

blm

(113,037 posts)
1. This ruling should effect the gerrymander case in NC
Mon Jun 17, 2019, 10:49 PM
Jun 2019

I don’t see how they could claim significant differences.

tritsofme

(17,372 posts)
4. My understanding is that the case was dismissed for a lack of standing.
Mon Jun 17, 2019, 11:18 PM
Jun 2019

Not a ruling on substance, so it shouldn’t impact the other cases.

COLGATE4

(14,732 posts)
11. The decision was not about gerrymandering.
Tue Jun 18, 2019, 12:18 AM
Jun 2019

It was about whether the Rethugs in the VA House had legal standing to sue.The Court ruled that they didn't. The court did not address the core issue of whether racial gerrymandering is or isn't OK.

pecosbob

(7,534 posts)
12. Again, as the above posters noted, the ruling was only on standing
Tue Jun 18, 2019, 12:43 AM
Jun 2019

As the State's legislature is bi-cameral, the NC House does not represent all of North Carolina, and lacked standing.

As in the Gamble ruling, several conservatives joined with liberals, presumably arriving at the same destination for different reasons.

The long point of view would be that the ruling left in place the earlier decision declaring the Republicans' blatantly partisan redistricting to be unconstitutional. So, yeah, a minor technical success.

Norbert

(6,039 posts)
15. I hope this is a harbinger of things to come in Ohio
Tue Jun 18, 2019, 05:21 AM
Jun 2019

I fully expect Ohio's case to eventually make it to the SCOTUS.

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