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Sun Jun 2, 2019, 05:27 PM

Pay attention folks in the Western Gulf of Mexico

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche. This system is expected to
move slowly northwestward toward the coast of Mexico, and it could
become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two.
Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy
rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Mexico during the
next few days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission scheduled
for this afternoon has been canceled, however another aircraft will
investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.
Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/2019-Atlantic-Hurricane-Season-Begins-91L-Gulf-Mexico-Threat-Develop?cm_ven=cat6-widget
Forecast for 91L
The 12Z Saturday run of the SHIPS model for 91L predicted that wind shear would remain low, 5 - 10 knots, over the next five days, the atmosphere would remain moist, and water temperatures would remain warm, at 28 - 29C (82 - 84F). These conditions favor development, and the only impediment to development is likely to be the amount of time 91L has over water, since its west to west-northwest motion could carry it inland over Mexico between Tampico and Veracruz as early as Sunday evening. Steering currents in the Gulf are expected to weaken by Monday and force 91L on a more northwesterly to northerly track at about 5 mph. It is possible the center could remain offshore until Tuesday, allowing the system more time to develop. Regardless of development, 91L is likley to spread heavy rains of 3 - 6 along a stretch of coast from Veracruz to just south of Brownsville, Texas by Wednesday. Late in the week, moisture from 91L may reach Texas, and could potentially stream into Louisiana and Arkansas by next weekend.

19 replies, 1184 views

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Arrow 19 replies Author Time Post
Reply Pay attention folks in the Western Gulf of Mexico (Original post)
malaise Jun 2 OP
Gothmog Jun 2 #1
malaise Jun 2 #2
Igel Jun 2 #15
malaise Jun 2 #16
yortsed snacilbuper Jun 2 #3
malaise Jun 2 #4
mitch96 Jun 2 #11
BigmanPigman Jun 2 #5
malaise Jun 2 #6
mitch96 Jun 2 #12
misanthrope Jun 2 #8
Texasgal Jun 2 #7
Uben Jun 2 #9
malaise Jun 2 #10
rurallib Jun 2 #13
malaise Jun 2 #14
rurallib Jun 2 #17
malaise Jun 2 #18
rurallib Jun 2 #19

Response to malaise (Original post)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 05:51 PM

1. Houston may get 2 to 6 inches of rain later this week

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Response to Gothmog (Reply #1)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 05:59 PM

2. And word is that it doesn't need even inch


The early season systems tend to be rainmakers

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Response to malaise (Reply #2)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:15 PM

15. Big state.

And thunderstorms are capricious.

We've gotten perhaps 1/5" of rain in the last 10-14 days where I live north of Houston. Sunny, 90 degrees F, we're taking lots of water keeping things alive. SW of Houston 30 miles it got 6" inches or more last week. A couple hundred miles north of here apparently got some rain.

It drains quickly.

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Response to Igel (Reply #15)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:16 PM

16. Cool

Enjoy but stay alert

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Response to Gothmog (Reply #1)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:11 PM

3. pastor joel o$teen said his doors are open if needed,


He's very creepy.

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Response to yortsed snacilbuper (Reply #3)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:14 PM

4. For the floodwaters?



They are all creepy - normal for snake oil salesmen

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Response to malaise (Reply #4)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 07:14 PM

11. He was shamed during the last disaster for not helping people

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Response to yortsed snacilbuper (Reply #3)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:38 PM

5. He is very asymmetrical.

Draw an imaginary line down his face and notice the difference. All humans are asymmetrical in appearance but this guy is way off kilter (almost Picasso-like).

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Response to BigmanPigman (Reply #5)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:39 PM

6. Lookslike he had a right side stroke

Weird indeed

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Response to malaise (Reply #6)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 07:15 PM

12. He might have Trigeminal neuralgia

neurological disorder that makes the face droop like a stroke...
m

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Response to yortsed snacilbuper (Reply #3)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:50 PM

8. Since he's a proponent of prosperity gospel

everything he says should be viewed with the utmost skepticism.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 06:45 PM

7. We are expecting

nice soaking rains from this system in Austin, TX. by Tuesday.

I'm okay with that.

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Response to Texasgal (Reply #7)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 07:06 PM

9. We're pretty saturated here.....

.north of Dallas, but summertime is here and its gonna get hot and probably dry. So, I'm for all we can get whenever it comes!

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Response to Texasgal (Reply #7)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 07:08 PM

10. We need another good week of rain

no systems no rain - still we must be aware and ready to deal with flooding

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:10 PM

13. Time of year to start checking in on

windy.com

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Response to rurallib (Reply #13)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:13 PM

14. That's a great link

Oh yes.
By the way Jeopardy James could pass Ken J tomorrow or Tuesday

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Response to malaise (Reply #14)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:18 PM

17. Right you are - have been focused on number of games won

instead of dollars.

I am seriously loving James' run. It will be quite the upset when he does go down.

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Response to rurallib (Reply #17)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:22 PM

18. How many games are left for this season?

Like you I'm lovin' it.

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Response to malaise (Reply #18)

Sun Jun 2, 2019, 08:31 PM

19. no idea - never dug into details like that

IIRC the season ends somewhere @ Labor Day - that is all I know.

That is @ 12 weeks @ 5 games per week - July 4 = 59. No idea if there are any tournaments in that time.
I once had it figured he would pass Jennings @ July 19th, but didn't factor in the Teacher's tourney.

So he has won 28 - IIRC Jennings won 74 so that leaves him 46 short. So it look like sometime in August?

Here is an interesting tidbit from wikipedia:

He (Jennings) also holds the record for the highest average correct responses per game in Jeopardy! history (for those contestants with at least 300 correct responses) with 35.9 during his original run (no other contestant has exceeded 30)[1] and 33.1 overall including tournaments and special events.[2] That record is currently in danger of being broken by James Holzhauer,[3] who is averaging 36.5 correct responses per episode on a currently active winning streak, though his final actuals will not be known until his streak ends.

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