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Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:02 PM

18:00 EST UPDATE. Sinema adds 7,000 more to lead *** Sinema's percentage of late mail in 58.2 %***

Last edited Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:12 PM - Edit history (2)

Details to follow

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0


Sinema 914,243

McSally 912,137

In the last 24 hours 129,757 votes were added.

There are 345,000 ballots left in Maricopa and an unknown amount in other counties but Pima should offset red counties

next update in 24 hours

KEY STATISTIC



AZ cuts off mail in vote on 10/31. All early mail in votes after that day must be walked in at the polls. (My last canvassing the remaining Democrats were mostly mail in voters that wanted to walk in their ballots to make sure they were counted.

At the end of the regular voting Sinema and McSally were within one percent at 49/48 percent.

The county recorders update their votes every 24 hours. "Late Early Mail in Ballots" have to go through the same two step process as other mail in ballots. They have to scrutinize the outer envelope and "accept it" and then it can be counted.

In the last 24 hours a total of 124,179 votes were added to the Secretary of State totals and 80,031 of them went to Sinema or 58.2%. This confirms estimates by the Sinema campaign and if it continues we are likely to hit 2.5% plurality over McSally.

We should know the outcome of this election in 24 hours.



You can watch poll workers working on live feeds.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10385575

We got another update from other counties 9 minutes ago.

The percentage of win went down from 65% to 58% but our lead went up from 2.000 votes to 8859

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Reply 18:00 EST UPDATE. Sinema adds 7,000 more to lead *** Sinema's percentage of late mail in 58.2 %*** (Original post)
grantcart Nov 8 OP
W_HAMILTON Nov 8 #1
Jeffersons Ghost Nov 8 #65
California_Republic Nov 8 #2
oasis Nov 8 #75
NurseJackie Nov 9 #82
Wheezy Nov 9 #83
NurseJackie Nov 9 #98
AZ8theist Nov 9 #100
leftieNanner Nov 8 #3
dsc Nov 8 #4
leftieNanner Nov 8 #8
Squinch Nov 8 #14
Hermit-The-Prog Nov 8 #22
former9thward Nov 8 #29
Hermit-The-Prog Nov 8 #35
dsc Nov 8 #32
Hermit-The-Prog Nov 8 #38
gratuitous Nov 8 #31
dsc Nov 8 #33
The_Counsel Nov 8 #39
dsc Nov 8 #47
True Blue American Nov 9 #78
Lucky Luciano Nov 8 #10
dlk Nov 8 #5
smirkymonkey Nov 8 #12
Small-Axe Nov 8 #6
grantcart Nov 8 #11
dbackjon Nov 8 #16
yardwork Nov 8 #23
calimary Nov 8 #37
JonLP24 Nov 8 #73
Tarheel_Dem Nov 8 #30
Proud Liberal Dem Nov 9 #85
LiberalFighter Nov 9 #87
grantcart Nov 8 #52
LiberalFighter Nov 9 #86
sheshe2 Nov 8 #7
In It to Win It Nov 8 #9
rogue emissary Nov 8 #13
octoberlib Nov 8 #15
In It to Win It Nov 8 #20
Cha Nov 8 #21
Gothmog Nov 8 #17
Cha Nov 8 #24
ChazInAz Nov 8 #43
lamp_shade Nov 8 #18
Sunsky Nov 8 #19
SaschaHM Nov 8 #25
Sugarcoated Nov 8 #26
FreeRunning Nov 8 #27
Cha Nov 8 #28
padfun Nov 8 #50
Cha Nov 8 #53
Owl Nov 8 #34
Bleacher Creature Nov 8 #36
SaschaHM Nov 8 #40
grantcart Nov 8 #59
SaschaHM Nov 8 #61
grantcart Nov 8 #63
SaschaHM Nov 8 #64
grantcart Nov 8 #67
sharedvalues Nov 8 #41
brettdale Nov 8 #42
watoos Nov 8 #44
Kaleva Nov 8 #45
LBM20 Nov 8 #46
Kaleva Nov 8 #49
grantcart Nov 8 #58
Thekaspervote Nov 8 #55
grantcart Nov 8 #57
Awsi Dooger Nov 8 #72
brettdale Nov 8 #48
honest.abe Nov 8 #51
grantcart Nov 8 #54
bdamomma Nov 8 #56
mr_lebowski Nov 8 #60
grantcart Nov 8 #62
mr_lebowski Nov 8 #66
Johnny2X2X Nov 8 #68
grantcart Nov 8 #71
llmart Nov 8 #69
krakfiend Nov 8 #70
Blue_true Nov 8 #74
Cha Nov 9 #76
Blue_true Nov 9 #80
Cha Nov 9 #81
Tom Rivers Nov 9 #88
Blue_true Nov 9 #91
LittleGirl Nov 9 #77
ananda Nov 9 #79
krawhitham Nov 9 #84
dalton99a Nov 9 #89
Scurrilous Nov 9 #90
ffr Nov 9 #92
In It to Win It Nov 9 #93
grantcart Nov 9 #94
rurallib Nov 9 #95
Tom Rivers Nov 9 #96
grantcart Nov 9 #99
LeftInTX Nov 9 #97
elmac Nov 9 #101

Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:04 PM

1. Here is the link to the AZ SOS website:

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Response to W_HAMILTON (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:51 PM

65. This reads like an outdated O.P. check this link:

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:04 PM

2. Arizona US Senate

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Response to California_Republic (Reply #2)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:55 PM

75. "If it's what you say, I love it"

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Response to California_Republic (Reply #2)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:31 AM

82. How's "Sinema" pronounced? The same as the word "cinema"?

Or is it like "sign" and "ma" ... "sign-ma"?

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #82)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:42 AM

83. Like cinema. :)

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Response to Wheezy (Reply #83)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:50 PM

98. Thank you!

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #98)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 06:48 PM

100. And It's Kyrsten

As in "keer ston" ..
Not "Kris-ton"

If anybody wanted to know....

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:04 PM

3. This would be spectacular!!!

Now we just need Nelson to win in Florida!

And who knows, maybe if there's a runoff in Mississippi??

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Response to leftieNanner (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:05 PM

4. there is a run off in MS but we won't be winning it

MS is a hugely GOP state.

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Response to dsc (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:06 PM

8. Yeah, prolly

But a girl can dream, can't she?

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Response to dsc (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:14 PM

14. The two candidates were neck and neck on election night though.

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Response to dsc (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:20 PM

22. guardian showing R41.5 - D40.6 in MS

That is not a blowout by any measure.

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Response to Hermit-The-Prog (Reply #22)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:25 PM

29. There were two Republicans running.

Together they had 58% of the vote.

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Response to former9thward (Reply #29)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:29 PM

35. ain't necessarily additive in a runoff

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Response to Hermit-The-Prog (Reply #22)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:26 PM

32. the other candidate was a GOPer and those votes will not be going to Espy.

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Response to dsc (Reply #32)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:31 PM

38. if you could always calculate, there'd be no reason to vote

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Response to dsc (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:25 PM

31. The smart money said that about Alabama, too

I'm content to do a run-off, if that's what Mississippi law requires. Let's see what happens . . .

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Response to gratuitous (Reply #31)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:27 PM

33. well if the current Senator there decides to molest children we have a chance

I figure that is highly unlikely.

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Response to dsc (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:32 PM

39. We Thought That About Alabama, Too...

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Response to The_Counsel (Reply #39)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:46 PM

47. if the current senator decides to molest children then we might have a chance

but I won't be holding my breath.

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Response to The_Counsel (Reply #39)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:50 AM

78. I was thinking the same thing.:)

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Response to leftieNanner (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:07 PM

10. 100% of McDaniels supporters go to the thug.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:06 PM

5. Dems Do Best When All of the Votes are Counted

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Response to dlk (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:13 PM

12. Dems win when republicans don't CHEAT!

Slimy bastards!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:06 PM

6. Seeing Green makes me see Red

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Response to Small-Axe (Reply #6)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:12 PM

11. Me too but I think that the majority of these green votes are Republicans that


wouldn't vote for McSally and didn't like Sinema but didn't want to no vote.

The Green candidate had zero exposure until she pulled out but I met many Republicans who said that they couldn't support either.

They would have voted for any third party candidate.

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Response to grantcart (Reply #11)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:15 PM

16. Wrong

I argued with quite a few "Progressives" that refused to vote for Sinema. Said she wasn't "Left" enough.

Those are the type of fucking idiots that gave us Trump, and would have given Sinema a much bigger lead.

FUCK THE GREEN PARTY.

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Response to dbackjon (Reply #16)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:20 PM

23. That makes me so angry.

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Response to yardwork (Reply #23)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:30 PM

37. Me too!

Those who insist on Perfect-Or-Bust when they could get almost everything they want and hope for - from the candidate who’s Merely Good. But the Merely Good is not good enough for them.

I don’t know what kind of world they live in, but “Perfect Anything” is little more than chasing rainbows. I’m 65 and have voted in lots of elections by now, and I haven’t seen a “perfect” candidate yet.

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Response to calimary (Reply #37)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:36 PM

73. She was the most conservative Democrat in the House

McSally is only a little more conservative. I don't think we get most of those green votes based on that.

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Response to dbackjon (Reply #16)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:25 PM

30. Ditto!

Last edited Fri Nov 9, 2018, 01:48 PM - Edit history (1)

(G)etting
(R)epublicans
(E)lected
(E)very
(N)ovember......

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #30)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:13 AM

85. +1

Remembering this.

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Response to Tarheel_Dem (Reply #30)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:23 AM

87. Love it! Truth

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Response to dbackjon (Reply #16)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:58 PM

52. I did 18 days of canvassing and didn't meet any Greens that were voting for Green

and met a couple of dozen Republicans who weren't going to vote for McSally but didn't like Sinema. Not one person could identify the Green Party candidate by name.

More significant than anonymous anecdotal bits is the consistent polling, both Sinema and public polls that consistently showed McSally holding only 85-88% of the GOP vote. With 800K GOP ballots in if only 3% of that vote were disatisfied GOP voters that would exceed half of the total Green vote.

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Response to dbackjon (Reply #16)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:22 AM

86. They are brain dead.

They would probably say pee isn't yellow.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:06 PM

7. 😲 OMG

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:06 PM

9. YEEAAAHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:13 PM

13. Woohoo!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:14 PM

15. That Green party vote total makes me sick

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Response to octoberlib (Reply #15)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:17 PM

20. Right! I don't know why people waste their votes

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Response to octoberlib (Reply #15)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:17 PM

21. I know.. they learned NOTHING.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:15 PM

17. Yeah

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Response to Gothmog (Reply #17)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:21 PM

24. Surreal! Thank You, Goth!

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Response to Gothmog (Reply #17)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:40 PM

43. I know McSally

She'll doubtless behave true to form by saying something along the lines of: "When the vote's that close, you're supposed to give it to the republican."

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:16 PM

18. Yikes! Thanks for the link.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:16 PM

19. OMG this is awesome!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:23 PM

25. I hope those remaining ballots look good for Sinema. nt

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:23 PM

26. I really hope that lyin McSally gets the boot print on her ass she deserves

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:24 PM

27. Wow!

but do i get my hopes up?!?

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:24 PM

28. OMG!! I used to live in Phoenix and I

went to school in Tucson

Please.. Thanks grant for the HOPEFUL NEWS!

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Response to Cha (Reply #28)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:50 PM

50. I went to school a few miles south of Tucson

Buena High School. Class of 73.

Lived in Tucson for a year after that, then a 3 years stint in the Military.
Then lived in Phoenix for 10 years.

I left Arizona in 1986. Way too much heat especially for a construction worker.

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Response to padfun (Reply #50)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:03 PM

53. Yeah, AZ does have

the Sun Blaring down on it especially South where we were.

I loved it back then.. I was gone in 1967.. Married a guy from San Diego.

I miss the Mexican food in AZ and California!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:28 PM

34. Excellent!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:30 PM

36. BOOM!!!!! YES!!!!!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:33 PM

40. If Sinema takes this.... McSally is down for the count in 2020 and a Trumpier candidate (Ward) might

be the nominee. McCain's old seat will definitely be in play.

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Response to SaschaHM (Reply #40)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:30 PM

59. We are hoping to draft Mark Kelly who would win in a landslide.


McSally is finished. She is absolutely hated in her home district and couldn't run a town hall meeting without hundreds of women showing up to pester her about the ACA.

Her only hope was to go Senate. The only reason that she won the primary is that they ran two nut jobs (Arpaio and Ward). The Arpaio campaign was subsidized by McSally (their signs were identical from the same print shop) so that she could get by Ward who is Trumpier than Trump

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Response to grantcart (Reply #59)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:36 PM

61. Any idea on who the Repugs might run?

I really don't think we've heard the last of Ward and it really seemed like a folly imo for them to appoint a placeholder to the McCain seat.

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Response to SaschaHM (Reply #61)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:45 PM

63. They did appoint a place holder Sen Jon Kyl


Ward will run again and she could win the primary.

The only Republican that could stand a chance is Gov Ducey who just won a big victory. He could run without giving up his office.

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Response to grantcart (Reply #63)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:50 PM

64. Yeah, I said that it was a folly for them to appoint one.

They should have raised the profile of someone primed to run againt and more importantly for the GOP, kiss Trump's ass for the next 2 years. I'm sure Ward is going to do whatever she can to get the Trump ringing endorsement before the primary and I really don't see him going out on a ledge for McConnell's/AZGOP non-insane choice again if McSally loses.

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Response to SaschaHM (Reply #64)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:59 PM

67. Got it. That's why Ducey didn't want to appoint a high profile guy. He wants to run for it himself


As for Ward she actually tried too hard and Trump never endorsed her.


She paid to stay at Mar a Lago and got a picture of her with Trump and they told her not to use it as an endorsement.

She did use it in her campaign material and a couple of weeks before the primary Trump and surrogates made a high profile scold against her to point out that Trump had endorsed McSally and that Ward broke her word.


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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:36 PM

41. Booyah

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:39 PM

42. latest

916380 Sinema
914369 McSally
43056 Green

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:41 PM

44. Bwahahaha

Those machines didn't flip enough votes. I find it amazing that Dems seem to win with paper ballots.

Maybe we all should vote absentee or early paper, bypass the machines.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:43 PM

45. I really enjoy lurking at FR when news like this breaks.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:45 PM

46. Is Maricopa red, blue, or purple?

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Response to LBM20 (Reply #46)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:47 PM

49. I believe it to be blue.

"The lawsuit seemed to signal Republicans' anxiety over Thursday's expected posting of additional results from Maricopa County, the most populous area of the state, where Sinema has dominated so far. "

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/07/arizona-senate-republicans-sue-county-recorders-election-martha-mcsally-kyrsten-sinema-adrian-fontes/1925719002/

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Response to Kaleva (Reply #49)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:26 PM

58. Phoenix strong blue, suburbs strong red



Trump won it by 1.5%


The outstanding number that stood out was the extremely high negatives for McSally.

Sinema had a 2% lead at the end of regular voting but a 6% lead in the after election vote

I think that what they were really worried about was the overwhelming GOTV effort that the Party put out.

This is the wisdom of Perez's strategy. Rather than putting everything into media, like the Republicans did.

They sent in 55 full time field operatives to work on GOTV in the state of AZ. They were estimating that it would end with a 3% margin of victory. Looks like we could hit that.

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Response to LBM20 (Reply #46)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:10 PM

55. My daughter has been in maricopa for 15 yrs.. it's purple leaning more blue all the time

It did not go over well when mcsally bashed McCain for getting sick at “such an inconvenient time.” Among other terrible comments. Althou I’m not a fan, McCain will always be Arizona’s favorite son!!

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Response to LBM20 (Reply #46)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:17 PM

57. Phoenix is heavily Democratic and the suburbs are heavily Republican


Trump won it by 1.5% but that is probably because he won independents who may have been more anti Hillary than pro Trump

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Response to grantcart (Reply #57)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:33 PM

72. That's the problem

This is hardly Broward County where any additional votes are likely to be pro-blue.

Mariocopa is trending blue overall but many areas are heavily red. It depends where the votes comes from. We could see some sizable swings in either direction, if these results are released in stagger.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:47 PM

48. Sinema leads by 2107 votes

Heres hoping this will keep increasing.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 07:51 PM

51. Fantastic!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:03 PM

54. It appears that Pima County just came in.

At 5:00 AZ time Sinema's lead was 2106

It is now 8,859

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:13 PM

56. oh I hope she

Sinema wins.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:31 PM

60. Up by 9600 now, a full .5%

CMON KYRSTEN!!!

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Response to mr_lebowski (Reply #60)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:42 PM

62. and the rate for all of these increases is a steady 58%



the pool of votes to overturn Sinema is shrinking and she will have to get more than 60% of the remaining votes and that is not going to happen with 75% of the votes coming from Maricopa

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Response to grantcart (Reply #62)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 08:54 PM

66. Yeah Baby!!!

Mine was one of those late day-of votes ...

Go Kyrsten! (and Nelson and Gillum and Abrams!!!)

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:07 PM

68. Almost 11000 now

Pulling away steadily. Anything that can derail it?

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Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #68)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:29 PM

71. Mine is showing 9610, what is your link?


here is my link

https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0


McSally would have to get 60% of the remaining vote but the problem is that the rest of the remaining votes comes from counties that support Sinema.

345,000 are from Maricopa county (probably 70% of the total).

Sinema has always led in Maricopa but in the last 24 hours the additional "Late Early Voting Mail in" she took

47% of the vote. However in the last 24 hours she took 64% of the vote increasing her lead from a negative 17,000 to a plus 9610. There is no reason to think that there will be much of a change in that number but we will know in 24 hours. If Sinema increases her lead the race is over.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:08 PM

69. This would be a fantastic win for us.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:22 PM

70. Hell yesss!!!

Now hopefully bill Nelson and gillum can also pick up more votes too

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2018, 09:52 PM

74. Sinema is doing better than I guessed.

I had estimated that she would run +4-6% on the uncounted blue county ballots, but she is running over +8%.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #74)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 01:32 AM

76. Good to know.. Thank You!

Wonder when we'll know for sure

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Response to Cha (Reply #76)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:09 AM

80. Maybe this afternoon, should become clear.

Some people are worried about the 325,000 uncounted Maricopa ballots. Their argument is that conservative voters may have mailed them on Election Day, handed them in or dropped them into boxes. That assumption goes against what has been seen in every single special election this year, and past elections. Conservative voters get their ballots in early, more liberal voters wait until last minute. I would not be surprised to see Sinema's win rate increase with the 325,000 ballots, at the worse, if McSally goes against trends and wind them, she most likely won't make up ground. So my guess, we will know the winner by 8pm eastern time, my belief is that will be Sinema.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #80)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 09:14 AM

81. Thank You, Blue_true

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #80)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:17 PM

88. Didn't Sinema win the Election Day non-mail/non-drop off vote in Maricopa?

I'm not sure if any early vote was factored into that, but they were about even in Maricopa with the Tuesday night vote count, with Sinema a little bit ahead. If a lot of the votes still left follow that trend, it'll be difficult for her to be overtaken, though I admit I don't know a ton about Arizona voting and how late ballots like this tend to trend (though this is not a normal election year, and from what I saw McSally was a weaker candidate than GOP normally fields out there and Sinema was a stronger candidate than Dems normally field out there).

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Response to Tom Rivers (Reply #88)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:38 PM

91. I am going a lot on trends from all special elections this year.

Democrats have made up ground with late votes, even in deep red districts. Arizona may be an exception, but my guess is it won't be. Non Cuban Hispanics tend to vote less than African Americans, AA tend to vote late, my guess is that would be mirrored by non Cuban Hispanics. Admittedly a lot of guessing, but I was right when I predicted that Sinema would quickly eliminate the 16,000 vote advantage that MCSally came into yesterday with, Sinema pick up 26,000 more votes over the day. One reason when my confidence that Sinema will win is that it is inconceivable to me that republican leaning voters, a group now driven by hate and fear, would wait until the last possible day to mail, dropoff or handin their early ballots, that just seems inconsistent with their philosophy on life, a philosophy where they need to be certain that there ballot will be counted.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:58 AM

77. I voted early for Simema

Yay!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 08:58 AM

79. That is fantastic!

The judge will rule on the lawsuit today.

But I think Sinema will still win it!

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 11:10 AM

84. more counted lead at 9,163

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:17 PM

89. Kick

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 12:27 PM

90. K&R

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 01:35 PM

92. This is what democracy looks like.

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:04 PM

93. Any updates?

I don’t see any new information being reported!!?!???!?

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Response to In It to Win It (Reply #93)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 03:10 PM

94. Maricopa will release again at 5 AZ(MOUNTAIN)

Sinema increases her lead then it's over, there will no be enough ballots for her to come back

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Response to grantcart (Reply #94)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:22 PM

95. Thank you much for that update - about 2.5 hours by my reckoning

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Response to grantcart (Reply #94)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:28 PM

96. What time will GOP lawsuit be decided?

Before or after that time? What happens to votes already counted, is it possible they could question those? And does anyone know the amount of votes GOP is trying to dispute (all of which are probably from Sinema strongholds and none from deep red parts of the state).

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Response to Tom Rivers (Reply #96)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 06:09 PM

99. Friday but

1) it only effects about 5000 votes

2) there is no reason to believe Republicans will win, the issue is nonsensical, they want stop counties from calling voters where there have been problems reconciling signatures.

3) No reason to believe that it would effect Dems more than Republicans.

Not likely to affect outcome.

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Response to grantcart (Reply #94)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 04:45 PM

97. Looks like Simena might win

I'll take your word about Maricopa Co.

Under what conditions can McSally trigger a recount?

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Response to grantcart (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2018, 07:04 PM

101. hmmm

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