Cook shifts 8 House races toward Dems /blue wave coming!!!!

[Demsrule86]

Cook Political Report on Tuesday shifted eight House races toward Democrats and two in favor of Republicans with 14 days to go before the midterm elections.

The nonpartisan election forecaster projected Democrats will have an edge in key swing districts following the party's massive fundraising haul in the third quarter of this year.

Rep. Don Young (R-Alaska), who is facing off against independent candidate Alyse Galvin, moved from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” after a recent poll showed the challenger within 2 points of the incumbent.

Florida's 6th, 15th and 27th congressional districts — all are open seats — shifted toward Democrats, moving from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican," "lean Republican" to "toss-up" and "toss-up" to "lean Democrat," respectively.

Arizona's 8th Congressional District, represented by Rep. Debbie Lesko (R), changed from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican." Lesko, who won the special election to replace former Rep. Trent Franks (R) earlier this year, is looking at a rematch with Hiral Tipirneni (D), who came up short in the special election.

Tipirneni more than doubled Lesko's fundraising in the third quarter.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/412700-cook-shifts-8-house-races-toward-dems

[MoonRiver]

1. WOOHOO!

[Demsrule86]

2. We are going to do this!! Fired up and ready to go.

I am going to post positive news everyday until the election in order combat the other sort of news I see here (why)?

[a kennedy]

14. Thank you, thank you, thank you, I am a nervous wreck......

Need your positivity.

[Demsrule86]

18. I am nervous too. But I really feel that we are going to win this...the Senate is

tough but still to close to call. The House I really think we get.

[LBM20]

21. Worry is a total WASTE. Just go VOTE and GOTV.

[SCantiGOP]

3. Whenever Trump gives one of his

“Full and complete endorsements” tweets to a repub, I check the current 538 numbers on the race. Almost every one has at or near a double digit lead. That is so he can show that 90%+ of his candidates won.

[Demsrule86]

7. That is a good point.

[irresistable]

4. If Don Young loses, I'll know that the world is changing.

He is a truly disgusting man.

[Demsrule86]

8. The health care push seems effective...fingers crossed.

[workinclasszero]

5. GOTV dems!

[Demsrule86]

9. Yep - we can do this...despite the bs from the media about how Trump is

going to help the GOP win....I think just the opposite. Those who were already voting for him are lapping up the fear and hatred he is spewing...but others that the GOP needs not so much.

[Hortensis]

6. And now Trump's promising 2 rallies a day through

to election. No crystal ball here, either, but the almost insane-sounding and viciously mean rhetoric his red-in-tooth-and-nail base may not work so well on others we need to not vote or vote against his "is a vote for me."

[Demsrule86]

10. Exactly right! Those already in his camp who would have voted

regardless...not sure it works on others the GOP needs...I hope we have a huge blue wave.

[Hortensis]

13. Yes. Reportedly Republicans are turning out in very

high numbers, but we don't know who how many are voting for...

"I care about babies at the border, and I care about babies in the womb." A young Republican mother who now knows she made a bad mistake in 2016 and isn't repeating it.

[Demsrule86]

17. I feel a blue wave is coming.

[Hortensis]

19. Yes, and we know it is.

We had a very big wave in 2015-2016, of course, until the last weeks, and even then a majority of Americans wanted Democrats to continue what we'd already started.

[Demsrule86]

20. We have to stay positive. I have always felt that hand-ringing suppresses the vote.

We can do this!

[Hortensis]

22. Absolutely we can do this. I want to know what

percentage of the conservative turnout is voting Democrat, not voting for some Republicans, or writing in. It'll be very small percentage-wise, but that's what we need.

[Demsrule86]

23. True. I still think the message from the podium is for the 'base' shrinking base...

and those folks would vote for him anyway. Surely, with a president like Trump Democrats will turn out...I say Democrats will turn out ...those who don't can call themselves what they want but ...are they Democrats?

[Hortensis]

24. Oh, absolutely. The way Trump's behaving, with his promise

of 2 rallies a day until November 6, may well help us. I was sure he'd be able to get out almost all his base, but we have to hope his outrageous demagoguery and malicious actions andplans, including for healthcare and further persecution of children, are alarming, or at least offending, others.

[Scurrilous]

11. K&R

[Demsrule86]

15. Thanks!!!

[beachbum bob]

12. Vote vote vote

Polls mean nothing without votes

[Demsrule86]

16. I am going to early vote tomorrow

[oasis]

25. Wonderful news. Keep it coming. 🌊🌊🌊🌊🌊

[Raven123]

26. How often does a shift from likely to lean mean the opposite party wins?

[beachbum bob]

27. be good to have the running totals of all the house races that have moved towards democrats

my mental count is somewhere aover 100, which includes:

likely R to lean R
Lean R to tossup
tossup to lean D
lean D to likely D