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Mon Oct 22, 2018, 01:35 AM

Jon Raltson NV early voting update for 10.21.18

Dems won Clark by only 44 percent to 37 percent in big 24,000-voter turnout on Day Two — added 1,500 votes to their margin in the South, but well under reg advantage of 13 percent. Margin in Clark is now 6,000 — 5,500 if you include absentees.

On Day Two four years ago, the GOP actually edged the Dems in Clark, signaling the deepening red wave. Turnout was only 7.500.

It was even after two days in 2014. The Dems were never able to build any kind of firewall in Clark, as they are attempting to do this cycle.

So not as robust a day as Saturday for the Dems, who were 2 points above their registration while the Republicans were 8 points above theirs.

Overall, Dems have a 43-35 lead in Clark in early voting, so Dems are 1 point above reg and Republicans are 6 points above theirs. That’s why the Dems focus so much on voter reg in the South — they know the Republicans will have a turnout advantage, so they can only build a lead if they have many more Dems.

In the urban counties, the Dems now have about a 6,500-plus voter advantage counting absentees. About 11,500 non-major party voters have cast ballots.

More details in the morning, but still too early to see a trend. Barack Obama is in Vegas at UNLV to try to juice turnout.

10/21/18, 7:20 PM

Washoe is in for Day Two with another double-digit win for Dems. Four years ago, the GOP had a 10-point lead after two days. With mail, the Dems have a 900-vote lead, or 6 percent. (Reminder that the GOP has 2 percent registration edge in Washoe.)



https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog

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Reply Jon Raltson NV early voting update for 10.21.18 (Original post)
RandySF Oct 2018 OP
elleng Oct 2018 #1

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Mon Oct 22, 2018, 02:00 AM

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