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(0 posts) Wed Oct 17, 2018, 07:57 PM Oct 2018

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Message auto-removed (Original Post) Name removed Oct 2018 OP

I saw one with three options based on turnout Cicada Oct 2018 #1

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2018 is not too hard to predict...but polling is still tough due to cell phones. beachbum bob Oct 2018 #3

Cicada

(4,533 posts)

1. I saw one with three options based on turnout

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Wed Oct 17, 2018, 08:04 PM

Oct 2018

2014 turnout about fifty fifty, higher turnout, better for Dems

I have read betting markets predict better than polls. Predictit gives repubs one in three chance of keeping control of the house

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beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

3. 2018 is not too hard to predict...but polling is still tough due to cell phones.

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Wed Oct 17, 2018, 08:20 PM

Oct 2018

You look at primary elections and then factor in the the variables. No outcome other than a huge democratic wave of voters. In almost all cases with early voting, democrats are way out in front as best as can be determined AND this pace is surpassing presidential years. Unheard of in democrats previous midterms. It's special due to trump....he and GOP have angered sleeping democratic base whose years of apathy have been assumed for too long. This is difficult to poll and predict.