Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Stuart G

(38,414 posts)
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 08:11 PM Aug 2018

Prediction: We will win the House and Senate by overwhelming margins. Everyone will be surprised.

It will be as large a victory, as it was a loss in 1972. No, I won't tell you why I think so, but one day after the election, by mid day, of that Wednesday morning, you will see I am correct. Well, I have been wrong so many times, so that will not bother me. And, what is wrong with a prediction of an election about 3 months into the future? I sure hope that I am right. And if I am, I will tell you why on that day. If I am wrong, well....What else is new?...(Why give away the secret...they are lurking here aren't they??)

..............................................

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Prediction: We will win the House and Senate by overwhelming margins. Everyone will be surprised. (Original Post) Stuart G Aug 2018 OP
I hope you are right, but we all need to get out and vote! No matter what. If too many people feel Meadowoak Aug 2018 #1
It is not in the bag...You are totally correct..WE MUST VOTE TO HAVE IT HAPPEN!!!! Stuart G Aug 2018 #3
I'm guardedly optimistic, yortsed snacilbuper Aug 2018 #2
Thank You...that is it, because that is true. Stuart G Aug 2018 #4
It does! Meadowoak Aug 2018 #5
Then Trump has only months left in office C_U_L8R Aug 2018 #6
If we win by as big a margin as I believe...Trump will be gone. Even if he not impeached, Stuart G Aug 2018 #7
Go race by race zipplewrath Aug 2018 #8
It won't be a race by race deal..It will be an overwhelming rejection of the the entire.. Stuart G Aug 2018 #9
all politics are local zipplewrath Aug 2018 #10
I really want a 2/3 majority in the House. roamer65 Aug 2018 #11
I think we will get maybe 250 House seats...and at least 51 Senate seats.. Stuart G Aug 2018 #12
I really wish people would stop posting this sort of thing. bitterross Aug 2018 #13
I don't think this and others look at it like a done deal Bradshaw3 Aug 2018 #14
so in the house its likely, in the senate we have 26 seats in play, republicans have 9 drray23 Aug 2018 #15
I don't think people want to accept how unlikely senate control is Awsi Dooger Aug 2018 #16
Only if Vlad thinks it will be a hoot to see the GOP scurry like an overturned anthill... Hekate Aug 2018 #17

Meadowoak

(5,545 posts)
1. I hope you are right, but we all need to get out and vote! No matter what. If too many people feel
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 08:22 PM
Aug 2018

Like we have it in the bag, they will stay home again. And we will lose, bigly.

Stuart G

(38,414 posts)
3. It is not in the bag...You are totally correct..WE MUST VOTE TO HAVE IT HAPPEN!!!!
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 08:26 PM
Aug 2018

This can indeed happen if we vote, and the independents vote. Those mad enough, if they get out to vote this will happen. It is not important why, just tell everyone to vote, and "change can happen"
..And I do believe people want a change. That is pretty simple. This crowd must go, and this idiot must be checked by us. It is that simple..

Stuart G

(38,414 posts)
7. If we win by as big a margin as I believe...Trump will be gone. Even if he not impeached,
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 09:01 PM
Aug 2018

he will be so far gone, that he will have no clue..but one clue only...to resign..

Stuart G

(38,414 posts)
9. It won't be a race by race deal..It will be an overwhelming rejection of the the entire..
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 09:19 PM
Aug 2018

Republican Party......and I decided that a day before the election I will tell you why I think this..not after, but before...and then we will see ...?

zipplewrath

(16,646 posts)
10. all politics are local
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 09:22 PM
Aug 2018

All I'm saying is explain which seats will flip, which races will be won in order to result in the outcome you anticipate. It would also be useful to mention the seats we WON'T lose either.

 

bitterross

(4,066 posts)
13. I really wish people would stop posting this sort of thing.
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 09:30 PM
Aug 2018

We need to be laser-focused on getting out the vote. Not counting our chickens before they hatch. We sort of did that with the 2016 election and look where we are now.

Bradshaw3

(7,505 posts)
14. I don't think this and others look at it like a done deal
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 10:01 PM
Aug 2018

Think of it more like a coach telling the team 'we ARE going to win' as a confidence boost. We need GOTV and to work hard but a little positive wishes help too.

drray23

(7,627 posts)
15. so in the house its likely, in the senate we have 26 seats in play, republicans have 9
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 10:38 PM
Aug 2018

If we absolutely run the tables and keep all our 26 seats and get all 9 from the republicans we would be at 58 dems, 42 gop.
it would be incredible. still two short of fillibuster proof and 8 short of convicting after an impeachment by the house.

More realistically, out of those 9 gop seats, we definiitely will pick some. if we keep all dems seats, we only need 2 gop seats (for example arizona, nevada are likely). How many more we will pick will be key because we could lose some vulnerable dem seats.

I would not say it will be a wave in the senate but I am hopeful we can retake it by a couple seats which will be critical in itself. We will control the agenda, the commitees with subponea power, what gets on the floor and be able to stop nominees but not even giving them a vote like they did for merrick garland.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
16. I don't think people want to accept how unlikely senate control is
Thu Aug 2, 2018, 11:26 PM
Aug 2018

Due to the variable you mentioned, the extremely lopsided number of seats we are defending, and many in unfriendly or neutral territory.

I would be semi-shocked if we picked up the senate.

Look at these odds from Predictwise. Currently the projection is 71% likelihood that Republicans maintain the majority, 16% at 50/50 -- which is basically equivalent to Republican majority -- and only 13% toward Democratic takeover.

https://predictwise.com/politics/14978-2

The House, in contrast, is 63-37% likelihood of Democratic control, on the same site.

Hekate

(90,627 posts)
17. Only if Vlad thinks it will be a hoot to see the GOP scurry like an overturned anthill...
Fri Aug 3, 2018, 12:49 AM
Aug 2018

Yes, we will have the votes. But Vlad still has his thumb on the scales and the ratfckers in Congress have not yet seen fit to declare cyberwar on Russia.

I am very uneasy at predictions like yours. We had the votes for Hillary, too.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Prediction: We will win t...