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turbinetree

(24,683 posts)
Sun Jul 15, 2018, 01:37 PM Jul 2018

Is John Roberts poised to become the supreme court's key swing vote?

The conservative Roberts has sided with the liberal wing before, but don’t expect him to anchor the court in the political center

Time and again over the past three decades, civil rights campaigns in favor of reproductive choice, LGBTQ equality and affirmative action have crested with thin US supreme court rulings protecting marginalized groups.

That might be about to change. The retirement announcement last month of 81-year-old justice Anthony Kennedy means that the court’s most reliable swing vote – the deciding vote in a number of crucial cases – might stop swinging, legal analysts say, leaving the court’s four liberal-leaning justices to be routinely dominated by a newly strengthened conservative bloc.

Dominated, that is, unless a new swing vote materializes who might occasionally deliver 5-4 victories that American progressives can cheer the way they have cheered landmark rulings clinched by Kennedy on issues such as same-sex marriage and abortion rights.

There is exactly one potential candidate to fill the swing-vote role Kennedy is now vacating, analysts agree. Barring some truly dramatic twist in the intellectual wiring or confirmation prospects of circuit court judge Brett Kavanaugh, Donald Trump’s nominee-in-waiting, that candidate is the sitting chief justice, John Roberts.

https://www.theguardian.com/law/2018/jul/15/john-roberts-supreme-court-swing-vote-anthony-kennedy


John Roberts is a full fledged member of the Federalists Society first and foremost..............

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/07/the-federalist-society-will-soon-have-a-5-4-stranglehold-on-the-supreme-court.html


He was in the majority when it came to attacking the Civil Rights Acts and Heller.............and Citizens United .......he is not for "We the People" by any means..........................


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Is John Roberts poised to become the supreme court's key swing vote? (Original Post) turbinetree Jul 2018 OP
Horrors! Sophia4 Jul 2018 #1
I think at one time he cared that his court would be viewed as the worst ever. rurallib Jul 2018 #2
No. Voltaire2 Jul 2018 #3
Yep FBaggins Jul 2018 #4
his ACA vote was very surprising AlexSFCA Jul 2018 #5

rurallib

(62,379 posts)
2. I think at one time he cared that his court would be viewed as the worst ever.
Sun Jul 15, 2018, 01:45 PM
Jul 2018

But that is a ship that has sailed long ago.

Maybe not the worst but near the bottom, anyway.
So I doubt that is a concern anymore. Thus I believe he will be pretty much a reliable rich man's vote.

FBaggins

(26,721 posts)
4. Yep
Sun Jul 15, 2018, 02:03 PM
Jul 2018

He's closer to the center than the other four conservatives, so he becomes the most likely swing vote if any 5-4 decisions go our way.

This actually happened before. Kennedy was considered notably more conservative than O'Connor and many assumed that he would be a pretty reliable vote against us.

AlexSFCA

(6,137 posts)
5. his ACA vote was very surprising
Sun Jul 15, 2018, 03:52 PM
Jul 2018

and I still don’t have a good explanation for it. That vote would have been a no brainer for a federalist guy yet he voted to keep it.

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