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Wed Jun 13, 2018, 12:01 PM

Stuart Rothenberg: The House Blue Wave Is Alive and Well

For the last couple of months, I’ve heard from many quarters that the “blue wave” has dissipated. Meh.


In fact, there is an abundance of evidence that Democratic House prospects are as good as they have been for months and the House is still very likely to flip.

Often, a healthy dose of common sense is more useful than a single misleading public opinion survey. Less than two months ago, I wrote “It seems very unlikely that there has been a fundamental shift in sentiment (in the generic ballot) among registered voters,” and “If I were you, I’d wait for the next round of generic ballot tests from the major pollsters before getting too excited about the most recent [Washington Post-ABC News] generic ballot result,” which showed a dramatically narrower 4-point Democratic advantage.

Two months earlier, on Feb. 12, my column — “The Generic is Falling! The Generic is Falling!” — had expressed skepticism that things had changed much and estimated that “the generic ballot probably now sits in the mid-single digits, in the 5- to 8-point range,” which I thought put the fall campaign on a trajectory toward Democratic control of the House.


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Reply Stuart Rothenberg: The House Blue Wave Is Alive and Well (Original post)
brooklynite Jun 2018 OP
Iliyah Jun 2018 #1

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jun 13, 2018, 12:04 PM

1. Yay, but caution . . .

GOPers will cheat, steal and lie . . .

Suppress the votes. Destroy anyone or anything for power and money. These people don't care who suffers.

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