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Wed Feb 14, 2018, 02:28 AM

NYT doing its best to minimize Democratic special election victories


14 replies, 1009 views

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Reply NYT doing its best to minimize Democratic special election victories (Original post)
RandySF Wednesday OP
DeminPennswoods Wednesday #1
Loki Liesmith Wednesday #2
Cha Wednesday #4
Loki Liesmith Wednesday #11
Cha Wednesday #14
Cha Wednesday #3
SunSeeker Wednesday #9
sprinkleeninow Wednesday #5
DFW Wednesday #6
nocalflea Wednesday #7
Thekaspervote Wednesday #8
Loki Liesmith Wednesday #12
Glamrock Wednesday #10
milestogo Wednesday #13

Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 02:38 AM

1. Dems seem to have the enthusiasm edge

It doesn't necessarily follow that Dems will lose that advantage in the mid-terms, that GOP turnout will improve or that Rs who do turn out will vote for their party's nominee.

The FL special election seemed to be pretty high profile. The GOP tried to rally the troops and couldn't. What this tells me is that while Trump's base still loves him, they aren't enough by themselves to win.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 02:47 AM

2. Nate got burned badly in 2016

Very cautious now

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Reply #2)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 02:48 AM

4. Nate Silver or Nate Cohn?

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Response to Cha (Reply #4)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 07:43 AM

11. Cohn

Silver constantly emphasized Trump had a substantial chance to win. His model was around 30%. Cohn only gave Trump 5-15%.

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Response to Loki Liesmith (Reply #11)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 05:32 PM

14. Ah, thank you, LL.. this is really

the first I've heard of Nate Cohn.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 02:47 AM

3. Oh do tell, nate cohn.. wtf does he know?

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Response to Cha (Reply #3)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 05:01 AM

9. Exactly. nt

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 03:13 AM

5. Ya know what, nate? STUFFIT! Ya heard? n/t

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 03:21 AM

6. They may be small potatoes when taken individually

Still, when every new one announces a Democratic victory, the trend is hard to overlook.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 04:01 AM

7. NYT Sucks !

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 05:01 AM

8. Looking at twitter feed Nate Cohan his repuke leaning is @bout as subtle as a turd blossom

Iím sure if asked he would pull the great gopee talking head thing... bluster, pat answers! Yup, we got your number

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Response to Thekaspervote (Reply #8)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 07:44 AM

12. Stop

Nate Cohn is fair. Just very cautious now.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 05:32 AM

10. Nate has a good point.

It's gonna be hard to sustain enthusiasm once the GOP stops attacking Medicare, Medicaid, social security, dreamers, blacks, women, etc. But considering that won't happen until never, I think we'll be okay.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Feb 14, 2018, 07:59 AM

13. Good, we don't want the pukes to overreact to this.

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