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Hillary is ahead in the polls, true since day #1. But for pete's sake look at these numbers.
By Angela Marx
Sunday Nov 22, 2015 6:49 PM EST
Like most weekends here, it’s a cavalcade of Go! Bernie diaries.
Some data, a lot of hope and guaranteed sniping by SOME of the Hillary supporters who would like Sanders to just give up already. They are #ReadyforHillary to start the big show.
But something stands in the way of that desire.
It’s a numbers thing.
What all Sanders supporters must keep in mind, is that those numbers which seem to be so persuasive to the #Ready4Hillary camp aren’t static. Yes, her numbers continue to lead. But the history of those numbers since they started polling on the race a year ago?
Hillary has had a smallish, but continued downward trend, with what could be either a bounce up since Sept 24th, or a blip upwards (but we won’t know which, until at least a couple more polls take place). But still definitely lower than last year at this time.
Sanders, on the other hand, his direction has been upwards since last year this time. Likewise for O’Malley, even though his margins are tiny (even compared only to Sanders and not Clinton).
Statistics for the table and graph are taken from the Huffington Post Polling for the Democratic Primary.
(Sorry - there is no way to put up a decent graph. Click the link at the bottom to be able to read it better at the original source.)
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY POLLING
OCT 2014 - NOV 2015 (LATEST IN each MONTH listed)
MONTH Clinton Sanders O’Malley
OCT 12 2014 62.7% 2.7% 1.0%
NOV 23 2014 62.2% 3.1% 0.8%
DEC 9 2014 61.7% 3.3% 0.8%
JAN 27 2015 60.5% 4.1% 1.00%
FEB 23 2015 60.0% 4.7% 1.2%
MARCH 31 2015 61.4% 6.5% 1.6%
APRIL 27 2015 61.6% 8.7% 1.6%
MAY 31 2015 59.7% 12.3% 1.5%
JUNE 29 2015 58.4% 15.9% 1.1%
JULY 30 2015 54.9% 18.0% 1.5%
AUG 30 2015 47.0% 23.4% 1.4%
SEPT 30 2015 44.4% 25.0% 1.1%
OCT 29 2015 53.5% 29.5% 2.0%
NOV 19 2015 55.2% 31.1% 3.0%
NAME START % END % + OR -
CLINTON 62.7 55.2 - 7.5%
SANDERS 2.7 31.1 + 28.4
O’MALLEY 1.0 3.0 + 2.0
Those numbers, even though Sanders has made up a lot of ground, still show Hillary Clinton with a pretty commanding double digit lead, right? They also show O’Malley’s numbers so low that I wonder why he hasn’t dropped out yet...
But the trending pattern is quite easy to see in the graph below, showing the past year’s polling results.
What they show is a trend which I think Sanders supporters see, but Clinton supporters do not.
That Clinton’s numbers are fairly static, but Sanders are dynamic and growing more as time goes by.
Which makes the only reasonable question: Can Sanders put himself in striking distance in enough states by Super Tuesday?
So far as I can see the answer is maybe, but that’s a maybe dependent upon Sanders winning at least one and more likely both New Hampshire and Iowa — which could give him the boost to win South Carolina and/or Nevada.
And so long as that word is maybe and not NO, Bernie still has my primary vote.
Posted by FourScore | Mon Nov 23, 2015, 02:34 AM (11 replies)
A part of me can't help but wonder if maybe the media outlets don't want them. No focus groups either. Hmmm,..
Maybe I just haven't found them. Does anyone know?
Posted by FourScore | Fri Nov 6, 2015, 11:23 PM (19 replies)
Fri Nov 06, 2015 at 04:17 AM PST
CNN : What is democratic socialism, American-style?
I have absolutely nothing to add to this CNN article by Peter Dreier other than read it. It has some great pictures of the US from earlier days, and it IS the commercial Bernie Sanders should make.
Below the squiggle is a fair use quote to introduce this well written and historical look at democratic socialialism in America. At the end, follow the link and read the whole thing. Whether you are a Bernie Sanders supporter, history buff, or just reality based, you will find this article a great read.
Now that Sen. Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign is generating lots of media attention, the word "socialism" is in the news. But few Americans know what it is or what Sanders means when he describes himself as a "democratic socialist."
Posted by FourScore | Fri Nov 6, 2015, 04:46 PM (2 replies)
Thu Nov 05, 2015 at 06:11 PM PST
New "Gene Editing" Technique Clears Dying Baby of Leukemia
by Lib Dem FoP
Layla Foley was 14 weeks old when she was diagnosed as having an aggressive form of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia. Despite several rounds of chemotherapy and a bone marrow transplant, the cancer returned. Shortly before her first birthday her parents were advised to consider palliative end of life care. Then the doctors told them of an experimental treatment being developed at the hospital and they agreed to try it. Layla became the first patient worldwide to have a new form of "gene editing" treatment. After another bone marrow transplant, she is currently clear of cancer.
The treatment involves using “molecular scissors” to edit genes and create designer immune cells programmed to hunt out and kill drug-resistant leukaemia.
The doctors at the Great Ormond Street Hospital for Sick Children (GOSH) are cautiously optimistic this could provide a new and effective treatment for the most common cancer in children. It is also possible that it will be effective on a range of other drug-resistant cancers but this is only the very start of using the technique and will need to be shown to work long term.
Dr Paul Veys, from Great Ormond Street, said the transformation was one of the most remarkable things he'd seen in 20 years: "We're in a wonderful place compared to where we were five months ago, but that doesn't mean cure.
The team developing the technique came from GOSH, University College of London (UCL), UCL's Institute of Child Health and the French biotech company Cellectis. GOSH's press release explains in more detail.
The treatment works by adding new genes to healthy donor T-cells, which arm them against leukaemia. Using molecular tools (TALEN®) that act like very accurate scissors, specific genes are then cut in order to make the T-cells behave in two specific ways. Firstly, the cells became invisible to a powerful leukaemia drug that would usually kill them and secondly they are reprogrammed to only target and fight against leukaemia cells.
Full clinical trials funded by Cellectis are now being planned to test UCART19 cells in larger groups of patients and are set to begin early in 2016. In light of the recent bad news about price hikes for generic drugs, the statement by the company is particularly interesting:
“Cellectis main objective is to provide cancer patients with an accessible, cost-effective, off-the-shelf allogeneic CAR-T therapies across all geographies. With clinical trial for the first gene-edited UCART on the horizon, it could be the beginning of a revolution in cancer immunotherapy,” says Dr. André Choulika, Chairman and CEO of Cellectis.
GOSH is one of the world's leading centers for the treatment of children. You may recognize the name from the 2012 London Olympics opening ceremony where patients and staff from GOSH joined other NHS workers in celebrating universal health care and children's literature. As well as British NHS patients, it takes children from all over the world, often funded by their home governments. Part of its charity collecting is used to build hotel type accommodation so parents can stay far from home while their children receive treatment. UCL and UCLICH are of course also government funded institutions and, working in cooperation with the French company, have developed this treatment.
The cost to Layla's parents of all her hospital treatment was of course nothing but in return for their courage in allowing the experimental treatment they have got back something priceless, Layla's life from her first birthday. Let's hope this will be a long one and that her pioneering treatment will save many more in the future.
Posted by FourScore | Thu Nov 5, 2015, 10:14 PM (4 replies)
Breaking news: Michael J Fox arrested for insider sports betting
Posted on October 21, 2015
Los Angeles—Michael J Fox was arrested Wednesday morning in relation to insider sports betting on DraftKings.
Fox aroused suspicion after achieving a statistically-impossible, perfect record on the site under the username NoChicken.
Authorities found an unusually worn copy of a sports almanac which was just recently printed and which has markings cataloging winning bets Fox has placed since the late 80’s.
“The operating theory is that the Back to the Future films were really documentaries from an original, prime timeline,” said NASA astrophysicist Barry Manilow. “The implications are heavy. It is suspected that we are living in an alternate 2015, as there are no flying cars and there are only four Jaws movies. We can only assume that we are forever stunted as a society. The amount of lives lost due to our lack of progress in technology and medicine is unfathomable. Worst of all, instead of hoverboards, this sad reality is limited to the Swagway...”
MORE ON THIS BREAKING NEWS STORY HERE: http://stubhillnews.com/2015/10/21/michael-j-fox-arrested/
Posted by FourScore | Thu Oct 22, 2015, 01:34 AM (20 replies)
Two Shot, Gunman At Large On Syracuse University Campus
1 hour ago
Syracuse University Police issued an alert Wednesday night and told people to stay indoors after two shooting incidents were reported on the campus.
The police alert issued around 8:30 p.m. tells everyone on campus to “shelter in place.”
People were also warned to avoid Oakwood Cemetery, which is located south of the campus.
Accordingto eye witnesses in the area, helicopters and police sirens can be heard in the area.
Posted by FourScore | Wed Oct 14, 2015, 11:10 PM (7 replies)
Tue Oct 13, 2015 at 06:55 PM PDT
A few words about democratic socialism from some democratic socialists
by Meteor Blades
The Democratic Socialists of America is the largest such group in the United States (formed in 1982 by a merger of the New American Movement—a group I was in—and the Democratic Socialist Organizing Committee, a remnant of the old Socialist Party of America. Today the stated view of DSA (which has formally endorsed Sanders) is this:
Democratic socialists do not want to create an all-powerful government bureaucracy. But we do not want big corporate bureaucracies to control our society either. Rather, we believe that social and economic decisions should be made by those whom they most affect.
Obviously, not every democratic socialist is a member of DSA, including Sanders himself. And other democratic socialists take a different view on some matters. But the approach laid out above is clearly not the authoritarian socialism that some would like to make of it...
In the comment section at the link is this little gem:
Posted by FourScore | Wed Oct 14, 2015, 02:15 PM (0 replies)
CNN's current headline says:
CLINTON'S CONFIDENT SWEEP
Even though their own online poll (changing by the split second) basically says this:
(The poll links to their facebook page where anyone can vote, whether you have a facebook account or not.)
Posted by FourScore | Wed Oct 14, 2015, 12:22 AM (86 replies)
BERNIE SANDERS HAS PROVIDED STATE BY STATE VOTER REGISTRATION INFO!!! deadlines, closed or open, etc
Bernie has it all listed for us: http://voteforbernie.org/
Bernie supporters are particularly excited about how his message is resonating with young people, but also some republicans. As exciting as this information is, it means ABSOLUTELY NOTHING if we don't get them registered properly for the primary election and SOON!!!
In New York state, for example, there are ONLY 3 DAYS LEFT TO CHANGE YOUR REGISTRATION!! New York has CLOSED PRIMARIES which means that each registered voter must claim party affiliation and cannot vote for a candidate in a different party unless they change their affiliation.
Also, teenagers who are 17, but will be 18 at the time of the primary, can still register to vote. They must provide photo ID which proves they will be 18 on April 19, 2016, usually a driver's license. Registration can be done at any DMV. Other locations may be also be available in your state - call your local DMV for further info.
Bernie has a list of all the states with their registration deadlines and whether or not they vote by caucus, open primary or closed primary. Only open primary states can cross party lines when they vote. Again, the list can be seen here: http://voteforbernie.org/
Please help spread the word on this. And please kick and recommend this post for wider visibility.
Time to GET OUT THE VOTE!!!!!!
IMPORTANT UPDATE: The October 9th deadline is only to change party affiliation. Registration ends 25 days before the election. h/t to mak3cats for the correction.
Posted by FourScore | Mon Oct 5, 2015, 11:51 AM (9 replies)
Mon Oct 05, 2015 at 06:50 AM PDT
Cartoon: The continuing adventures of the Invisible Hand!
by Tom Tomorrow
Posted by FourScore | Mon Oct 5, 2015, 10:32 AM (6 replies)