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2006 US House Races [List Edits]

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Open Edit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-13-05 08:55 PM
Original message
2006 US House Races
Edited on Tue Mar-07-06 02:21 PM by DrGonzoLives
Current House line up: 232 Republicans, 202 Democrats
We need to pick up 16 seats

Competitive Races

Republican incumbents - sorted by state & district

Jim Kolbe (R-AZ-08) - Kolbe, a Tucson Republican who rose through the ranks of Congress to become one of the country's most influential lawmakers, will not seek re-election in 2006. He stunned supporters, delighted rivals and touched off a frenzied wave of anticipation among possible successors Wednesday (11/23/05) by announcing he will leave the House of Representatives next year after 22 years.

Randy Cunningham (R-CA-50) Future jailbird Cunningham had planned to retire at the end of his current term, but resigned on 11/28/05 because he has pled guilty to charges of income tax evasion and conspiring to take bribes. The scandal and a chaotic, bloody GOP primary have put this formerly noncompetitive San Diego County district firmly in play. Democrat Francine Busby will compete in the runoff election against 2 Republicans.

Marilyn Musgrave (R-CO-04) Musgrave, a very conservative Republican who was one of the leading proponents of the Federal Marriage Amendment, won a surprisingly close 51-44 reelection in 2004 despite the Republican-leaning nature of her eastern Colorado district. State Rep. Angie Paccione is the only Democrat running.

Bob Beauprez (R-CO-07) Beauprez was reelected easily in 2004, but his retirement to run for Governor of Colorado makes this seat very competitive. Former State Rep. Peggy Lamm and State Sen. Ed Perlmutter are in a Democratic primary battle.

Rob Simmons (R-CT-02) Simmons won reelection with 54% of the vote in 2004, in a Democratic-leaning district encompassing eastern Connecticut.

Jim Nussle (R-IA-01) Nussle is running for governor as well. His district is Democratic-leaning, and of the open seats so far is probably the most likely to change hands. It contains most of northeastern Iowa including small cities such as Dubuque, Waterloo, Cedar Falls, and the Quad Cities.

Henry Hyde (R-IL-06) Hyde is retiring after 16 terms in the House. Christine Cegelis, who mustered 45% of the vote when running against him in 2004, plans to run again as a Democrat. The district contains some of the western suburbs of Chicago in DuPage and Cook counties.

Ray LaHood (R-IL-18) LaHood is said to be running for governor against incumbent Democrat Rod Blagojevich. His seat is Republican-leaning, but is certainly not as heavily so as several other districts in Illinois. The district is centered on Peoria in central Illinois. No announced candidates as of November 2005.

John Hostettler (R-IN-08) Hostettler, first elected in 1994 when the district was different (Indiana lost one in the 2000 census), has yet to win an election by more than about 55%, despite running against candidates that are often little more than placeholders on the ballot. The district includes a narrow swath of southwestern Indiana, stretching from Evansville, through Vincennes, Terre Haute, Crawfordsville and Covington. There are pockets of Democratic strongholds throughout the district (Vermillion County, Terre Haute) and this is a race that a moderate to center-left Democrat can win.

Mike Sodrel (R-IN-09) Sodrel defeated incumbent Baron Hill by only 1,425 votes. Hill is considering an attempt to reclaim his seat.

Mark Kennedy (R-MN-06) Kennedy is running, practically unopposed in the Republican nomination, for the open Senate seat in Minnesota being vacated by Democrat Mark Dayton. His House seat would be considered by many a toss-up if Patty Wetterling, who mustered 46% against Kennedy in 2004, ran for it. However, she seems interested in the Senate as well, and his district, located in exurban Minneapolis and suburban St. Paul, remains Republican-leaning.

Robin Hayes (R-NC-08) Hayes was elected for a fourth term in 2004 by a 56% to 44% vote. However, this was against an opponent, Beth Troutman, who was a 27-year-old production assistant on the T.V. show The West Wing, with no prior experience in elected office and with only a tiny fraction of the funding that Hayes had. For a three-term Republican incumbent, with substantial funding, in a Republican-leaning state, against such an opponent, 56% to 44% is a remarkably narrow margin.

Heather Wilson (R-NM-01) Wilson has routinely managed narrow reelections since 1998, but in 2006 she may face Patricia Madrid, the popular Democratic Attorney General of New Mexico. Madrid would undoubtedly be a stronger and more recognized candidate than previous challengers to Wilson. The district, centered in Albuquerque, is very competitive.

Sue Kelly (R-NY-19) - She has a strong, organized group working to replace her. More info at /
scroll down for links to coalition members

John R. “Randy?Kuhl (R-NY-29) - He recently said, “I haven’t decided whether I’m going to run or not at this point, quite frankly.? Eric Massa, former aide to Wes Clark, is running a very credible campaign already. /

Jim Gerlach (R-PA-06) Gerlach won reelection by a 51-49 margin in 2004 and represents a very competitive district in suburban Philadelphia. Lois Murphy, the woman who garnered 49% against him in 2004, is running again.

Mike Fitzpatrick (R-PA-08) Fitzpatrick won in 2004, but his district is very moderate and even slightly Democratic. His views, especially on abortion, are more conservative than those of most people in the Philadelphia suburbs, and that may be an issue for him in 2006. Patrick Murphy has announced his candidacy and is already getting more support from the national Democratic Party than his 2004 counterpart, Ginny Schrader.

Tom DeLay (R-TX-22) DeLay has been facing mounting ethical challenges and corruption charges in recent months, and won reelection by a surprisingly small 55-41 margin in 2004, even though George W. Bush carried the suburban Houston district with 64%. DeLay will face a challenge from former Rep. Nick Lampson, a Democrat whose district he dismantled during the 2003 redistricting, and who may be a formidable candidate. Lampson's former district contained much of the area of DeLay's present district.

Dave Reichert (R-WA-08) Reichert's district, at the eastern edge of the Seattle metropolitan area, is very competitive, and he won it only 52-48 in 2004.

Mark Green (R-WI-08) Green is running for governor like many of his colleagues, and his seat, in rural northeastern Wisconsin, is Republican-leaning, though not hugely.

Shelly Moore Capito (R-WV-02) Capito has been heavily supported by national Republicans, who had hoped she would challenge incumbent Senator Robert C. Byrd in 2006. She declined to run against the popular Byrd, however, leaving the GOP without a viable candidate to run against him. The resulting impatience among Republicans is but one factor that makes Capito vulnerable in 2006.

This district retains a nearly two-to-one registration advantage for Democrats. Despite Bush’s relative popularity at the time, which will work against her in 2006, Capito managed only 57% of the vote against the 2004 token challenge of Democrat Eric Wells. She faces a more formidable 2006 opponent, Mike Callaghan.

Democratic Incumbents

Melissa Bean (D-IL-08) Bean defeated 35-year House veteran Phil Crane 52-48 in 2004, and is being targeted by Republicans who hope to regain control of the seat.

Useful Links

Our Congress: Restoring Democracy to the House
Complete list of House races 2006 (DU link)
Democracy for America
State of House Races (Our Seats)
State of the 2006 House Races (GOP Seats)
Interactive map of 2006 House Races
Map of Congressional Districts (State-by-State)

435 races every two years. This is where many DUers help would come in handy if we could get more people interested in the Research Forum. I will start working on this tomorrow if I find the time. If people are interested, we could start dividing up by state. We may need a separate thread to make it manageable. - expatriot

I agree. I think we should use the research forum to do something similar to what we did in 2004 with campaign underground. Before we start work, we should probably do just a little thinking about what format it should all take, so it can be consistent for everyone.--Skinner

Playing around with the HTML tags to try to come up with a model of a common look and feel that we could consider for these strings. I'm not very good yet at using these tags. I like the Heading 3 tags. They are prominent but don't scream at you like Heading 1 and Heading 2 -- Lasher

I think we need this general thread should 1) highlight a few dozen or so of the most competitive races and/or of most interest to progressives 3) link to seperate threads that would have info on all the races in a particular state and 3) general resources. -expatriot

I agree, expatriot. Messages in this forum should be brief, sort of a 'Readers Digest' type of resource, with lots of links to other information.

I don't know if I'm happy about the changes I just made, to add the competitive house races for the repug incumbents. I guess I didn't hurt anything, but I want to keep this message brief, and rely heavily on links to other sources, as I have said. -- Lasher

Added Jim Colby to list of competitive races -- Lasher

Love what you've done with the links at the beginning of the Research Forum. Provides much needed organization -- Lasher
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