http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/04/26/poll-finds-most-americans-uncertain-of-trumps-birthplace/?hpApril 26, 2011, 6:18 pm
Poll Finds Most Americans Uncertain of Trump’s Birthplace
By NATE SILVER
A new Gallup/USA Today poll finds significant doubt about whether Donald Trump, the real estate mogul and television personality who is considering a bid for presidency, was born in the United States.
According to the survey, just 43 percent of Americans believe that Mr. Trump was definitely born in the United States. Another 20 percent believe that he was probably born here. Some 7 percent of respondents told Gallup that Mr. Trump was probably or definitely born in another country, while 30 percent were uncertain.
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No, this poll is not a joke. We’re several weeks past April Fools’ Day. But it’s one that should encourage us to proceed more cautiously when we see similar numbers reported for President Obama.
There aren’t any good reasons to doubt that Mr. Trump, who has furnished a copy of his birth certificate, was born in the United States.
Perhaps there are some bad reasons. Two of three of Mr. Trump’s wives were foreign-born. And Mr. Trump was born in Queens. I don’t know if you’ve been to Queens, but it certainly ain’t Kansas. (Although it has much better food.)
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