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Kloppenberg just pulled ahead, 1 county left

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Very_Boring_Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:42 AM
Original message
Kloppenberg just pulled ahead, 1 county left
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 11:43 AM by Very_Boring_Name
as of 12:35 EST, she's ahead by 227 votes. When I went to bed last night prosser was ahead by 8,000 votes!
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:49 AM
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Stuart G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
2. One precinct left in the whole state to report..
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 11:52 AM by Stuart G
That is one place that voted...incredible..
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ewagner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
3. Some quick math
The most votes in that district are estimated to be 760

If that district breaks for Prosser in the same proportion as the rest of the county: Kloppenburg remains ahead by 193 votes.

For Prosser to make up the difference he need 77%
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disillusioned73 Donating Member (963 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. A little ray of sunshine, thanks
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Stuart G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Now..about those that think your vote doesn't count...oh..it could never
be that close..well..sometimes it is

I was young...14...my dad stayed up all nite to see if Kennedy was going to win..Illinois was a key state..
It was very close..like 5000 votes in millions...so the elction went to Kennedy...

Two years later...Kennedy gives Krushev enough wiggle room to stop WWIII in the Cuban Missle Crisis..
..................so those votes, that put Kennedy in...might have made the difference between Kennedy giving the Russian leader wiggle room, and Nixon not giving that room..no one knows...but I am glad it was Kennedy not Nixon..

think bout that one..for a while..
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TheMightyFavog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:03 PM
Response to Reply #3
12. Ahh but this is Jefferson County, Suburban Milwaukee.
A 77% margin for a GOP-backed candidate in that part of the state is not exactly a tall order.
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Johnny2X2X Donating Member (356 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
4. Good news
but, not a huge deal. Sure a win here could be a nice feather in the Democratic cap, but this doesn't point to any huge change in tides regardless of who is ultimately declared the winner.
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loudsue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:56 AM
Response to Original message
6. After all that has happened in Wisconsin, if this vote is THIS close, they're in more trouble
than I imagined in that state. Maybe the "conservatives" really do outnumber the sane people.
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Very_Boring_Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:00 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Keep in mind, this was supposed to be a huge blowout for Prosser
He had WAAAAY more organization and money than Kloppenberg, she was never expected to stand a chance.
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. We were out spent in this race 3 to 1. In February the prediction was Prosser by
66% to 33%.

It's not at all easy to come from behind, against that sort of resource.

BUT WE DID IT! I'm not gonna feel bad about this a bit.

And it isn't over yet. There will be a recount no matter which side wins. And you can almost bet there are some missing votes that will be found. Last night Walworth Co produced some huge numbers per precinct that didn't look right to me. I'll be glad to have that county recounted by hand.

In Milwaukee Co, the job that Walker left fell to Dems by a 2 to 1 margin.

Certainly it will be a strategic advantage to have the supreme court 4-3 on the liberal side. But everything (inlcuding predicting the recall outcomes) doesn't hang on Kloppenburg, those special elections will be in districts where the voters are clearly pissed and reached a very high standard to bring about the special elections.

This isn't bad news. Not by most of a wheel of cheddar (or Wisconsin's Colby)
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 11:59 AM
Response to Original message
8. The missing precinct is Jefferson co.
Jefferson CO is mostly republican but it does have some food industry (Friskies, ConAgra) which include unions...until we see which one it is we won't know...

most of these precincts have small populations...he writes with fingers crossed...maybe not enough votes remaining to take it away from Kloppenburg.
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Stuart G Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:01 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Thanks..I hope you are correct...nt
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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:01 PM
Response to Original message
11. Even if Joanne wins, I will remain skeptical of the vote count
There seem to be some anomalies, all (what a surprise) favoring Prosser, of course
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. I agree. It really is hard to believe it could be THIS CLOSE after seeing what Walker has done. n/t
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ewagner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. I agree
Walker has developed almost a cult-like following among TeaPartiers and wanna-be Teapartiers....

absolutely frightening...

wage envy
bigotry
racism
anti-intellectualism...

all articles of faith for modern conservatives/teapartiers.
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Blue Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. There is NO FUCKING WAY Wisconsin is "50/50" on this goddamn issue
Conservative individuals and newspapers TURNED AGAINST the Walker Agenda, the tides shifted away from the GOP in several counties -- yet the numbers stay even.

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON HERE?
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:13 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. It's hard to believe
What did polls right before the election/exit polls say?
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Shagbark Hickory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. Sounds like some ballots went oopsied.
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sharp_stick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. Keep in mind
that Prosser is an incumbent in a job that very heavily favors the incumbent. People that don't watch closely and vote all the time, picture the average older and retired GOP voter, will just head to the polls and fill out the form.

Prosser was so heavily favored at the time of the primary (wasn't he up over 55%?) that even with all the bad press Walker gets I'm surprised that Kloppenburg has managed to close so well.

No matter how this eventually turns out I think it bodes very well for the recall efforts and the chance to really turn things around in the State House.
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:27 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. THere is also the Prosser defends Pedophile Priests ad mess
The ad was run by pro Kloppenburg people, not by Kloppenburg
The kid who was supposed to be the victim came out FOR PROSSER
The largest christian denomination in Wisconsin is ROMAN CATHOLIC

The counter ad was very heavily funded, shown many thousands of times in all markets over the last ffew days of the campaign. It made Kloppenburg look like a dirty trickster even though it wasn't her ad.
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pansypoo53219 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #11
23. ran out of ballots
needed to use TOUCH SCREENS. pre set for republikkklans?
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Shagbark Hickory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
20. Oh Cmon! It's been "only 1 county left" 10 counties ago.
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HereSince1628 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Actually it's one precinct in one county--Jefferson
Jefferson Co. is pink-purple, most of the precincts are small, averaging about 400 voters in a good turnout.

We don't know which precinct so we don't have a clue if it's one of those in the town of Jefferson where there is a sizable union presence.
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