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Wisconsin Supreme Court race KLOPPENBURG vs Prosser -- Thread #3

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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:27 AM
Original message
Wisconsin Supreme Court race KLOPPENBURG vs Prosser -- Thread #3
The earlier threads are getting hard to follow due to length, so here's a new thread for Wisconsin results.

Here's Tx4obama's original thread (updates continue with good info, twitter updates, etc.): http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Here's Hokie's Thread #2: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Currently 97 precincts left to report and Kloppenburg is 1684 votes down. Finish strong, Wisconsin!
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Control-Z Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thank you.
It was definitely time for another thread.
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proud patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
2. whew much better
:-)
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
3. Milwaukee...
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 12:30 AM by RichGirl
with 6,000 absentee ballots left to count


on edit...that's 8,000
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:29 AM
Response to Original message
4. My finger was cramping from the scroll wheel.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
5. Havent seen an update in awhile
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Dawson Leery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
6. kick for later
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
7. Totals haven't changed for a LONG time. n/t
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bkkyosemite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Seems suspicious to me
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:35 AM
Original message
Voter turnout was much higher than anticipated-
A lot of precincts ran out of computer-readable ballots, so they're having to hand count a bunch with little check boxes on them.
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. Voter turnout was much higher than anticipated-
A lot of precincts ran out of computer-readable ballots, so they're having to hand count a bunch with little check boxes on them.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
8. Here's a list of precincts remaining
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 12:37 AM by fishwax
I posted this in the other thread as well, but since nothing has updated in a while I'll post it again:

Heavy Republican (5): Calumet (1), Jefferson (1), Manitowoc (1), Oconto (1), Taylor (1)
Lean (less than 55%)`Republican (33): Buffalo (1), Marathon (32)

Lean Democratic (16): Adams (1), Dunn (6), Juneau (1), Sauk (8)
Heavy Democratic (43): Ashland (6), Crawford (2), Dane (1), Eau Claire (21), Milwaukee (12), Portage (1)

On edit: I mistakenly had Adams in the "lean republican" category.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:45 AM
Response to Reply #8
34. after the latest updates
Heavy Republican (4): Jefferson (1), Manitowoc (1), Oconto (1), Taylor (1)
Lean (less than 55%)`Republican (33): Buffalo (1), Marathon (32)

Lean Democratic (13): Dunn (4), Juneau (1), Sauk (8)
Heavy Democratic (42): Ashland (6), Crawford (2), Dane (1), Eau Claire (21), Milwaukee (12)
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Generic Other Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
9. If it wasn't so late I'd get drunk!
The suspense is killing me!!

:banghead:
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #9
15. I had no idea it'd be this close or go so long, but I started drinking early just in case...
:toast:
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Hokie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
11. It looks like the absentee ballots will decide this
I saw in another thread there are 8,000 uncounted in Milwaukee.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. And they're expected to lean Kloppenberg.
I hope that's TRUE!
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Bumblebee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #11
18. but what about the actual precincts in M. that are still uncounted?
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. Pulling a Chicago?
Holding out until they see how many votes Kloppenberg will need to win?
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Bumblebee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:38 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. hope you are joking :-)
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:43 AM
Response to Reply #20
31. I am.
:evilgrin: You never know though...especially these days!
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katanalori Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
12. I am following the tweets, this from 3 SECONDS AGO
RT @lemonton: Chances are favoring Kloppenburg! Watch Marathon county. #WI #wiunion #recallgop #recall #p2
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #12
21. I hope they're favoring her ENOUGH!
O-M-G.......
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Dawson Leery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #12
23. AP results link
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brentspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #12
28. ?
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 12:44 AM by brentspeak
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stevenleser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:34 AM
Response to Original message
13. Have they suspended counting for the night? Seems so to me. n/t
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. What? They do that? nt
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TygrBright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #16
26. No. Six more Marathon Co. precincts just reported.
Hasn't widened Prosser's lead much. I think we're gonna see it go down to the wire and possibly to a recount.

But I still think Kloppenburg will pull it out.

optimistically,
Bright
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bbgrunt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:39 AM
Response to Original message
22. latest from jsonling
Supreme Court REPORTING 97%
David Prosser (inc)

726,750
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg

724,651
50%
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
24. Update-Kloppenburg down ~2100

P 726,750
K 724,651
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Shiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
25. Just changed.
Kloppenburg now down by 2,099
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #25
29. Now down ~1900
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Shiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #29
33. Goddamn...
I haven't been this nervous since Nov 4, 2008...
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:41 AM
Response to Original message
27. Need this one to finish a good election.....cleaned up the villiage board, school board, and...
elected Joe Parisi Dane County Executive.

Just need Klopp to win and finish the sweep.
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bbgrunt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
30. jsonline:
Supreme Court REPORTING 98%
David Prosser (inc)

727,208
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg

725,205
50%
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #30
32. Kick (like it need it) nt
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
35. Supreme Court REPORTING 98% Prosser leads by 2000
David Prosser (inc) 727,208 = 50%
Joanne Kloppenburg 725,205 = 50%
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #35
41. 1906 /nt
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
36. Has other good news happened tonight? County Exec races? Others? Clue me in.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:50 AM
Response to Reply #36
37. Took Milwaukee and Outagamie County Executive races.
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #37
38. Dane County as well.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:51 AM
Response to Reply #36
39. Yes. A win in County Exec race. link:
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Shiver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:53 AM
Response to Reply #36
42. Kept Dane County Exec in the blue
Parisi won. Still trying to find out about 17th district Alderman. My friend was running for that seat...
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AllyCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:51 AM
Response to Original message
40. It should not be this close. I cannot believe people have been all over the state
canvassing, protesting, and rallying the vote for record turnouts to favor the same old same old??? I must be careful saying this because twice today I've been accused of being a troll for suggesting that high turnout means people want to make changes.

What the F*** is wrong with this state? I've never been one to think shenanigans have gone on here with voting machines. However, in 2004, I remember trying to work on the effort to count votes and thought it interesting that precincts that posted 0 votes in 2000, suddenly had 18-several hundred all voting for Bush. I think if we actually COUNT the paper ballots, maybe we would get a real number. The optical scanners are made by ES/S which is worrisome.

I think a recount might just be a good thing if the PTB will actually let us count them without stopping it ala 2000.
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #40
66. Actually, it's no surprise - this was always an uphill battle
Its good to be a sitting Judge
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:53 AM
Response to Original message
43. On average, the precincts remaining favor Kloppenburg by 54%
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:08 AM by fishwax
That is to say, if the outstanding precincts follow the pattern of the reported precincts in their given counties, then Kloppenburg should claim 54% of the remaining vote.

On 2nd edit: my math was way off on the number of outstanding votes needed. :dunce:
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:53 AM
Response to Original message
44. Kloppenburg still down by 2000, but I think she'll pull it out:
Most of the counties still in play favor Kloppenburg
-Marathon w/ 32 precincts still out favors Prosser 54-46%, but reports are that those remaining precincts are in Wausau (sp?) which should favor Kloppenburg- End result could be closer to 52-48% Prosser
-Milwaukee still has 12 precincts out, and favors Kloppenburg 57-43%
-Dane County still has 1 precinct out and favors Kloppenburg 73-27%

Several thousand absentee ballots still to be counted thus far are favoring Kloppenburg roughly 2-1
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sfpcjock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:00 AM
Response to Reply #44
60. Oh yea!
good on her
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ThatPoetGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:54 AM
Response to Original message
45. I think it looks good.
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:00 AM by ThatPoetGuy
6 districts in Ashland, where she's winning 71/29.
1 in Buffalo, where she's losing 47/53.
2 in Crawford where she's winning 59/41.
1 in Dane where she's winning 73/27.
6 in Dunn where she's 54/46.
11 in Eau Claire where she's 60-40.
1 in Jefferson where she's 42-58.
1 in Juneau where she's 52-48.
1 in Manitowoc where she's 39-61.
32 in Marathon where she's 46-54 (this isn't good)
12 in Milwaukee where she's 57-43.
1 in Oconto where she's 43-57.
8 in Sauk, 55-45.
1 in Taylor, 39-61.

So by my calculations, she takes 53% of the remaining votes.
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:56 AM
Response to Reply #45
46. Not including absentees?
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ThatPoetGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:02 AM
Response to Reply #46
62. Not including absentees.
And on the assumption that the districts will continue the same split, I call 53/47 split for Kloppenburg for the remaining districts.
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Reply #45
50. Reports are that the remaining precincts in Marathon-
are from the city of Wausau, and include a lot of students, both of which favor Kloppenburg. Marathon could close up to arounf 52/48 Prosser, and Milwaukee(12) + Dane Co(1) should be enough to overcome that.
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:01 AM
Response to Reply #50
61. OK I stand corrected- Marathon is in and remains 54/46 Prosser
But it's not a very big county compared to Dane and Milwaukee, plus all the other counties still in play favor Kloppenburg. Add the absentee ballots & early voting which are still being counted and I think we have a win.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Reply #45
54. Did you calculate absentee ballots (8,000) which are suppose to lean her way? n/t
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
47. MARATHON is in! Prosser's lead is less than 2k
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blogslut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
48. This is crazy neck-and-neck stuff
...this Kloppenburg/Prosser race.
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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
49. Marathon is done! I think we're gonna win!
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Reply #49
52. yes!
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
51. 55 Precincts left -- only *2* in counties that favor Prosser
:woohoo:
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Paradoxical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Reply #51
55. How many votes are from each precinct?
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #55
63. About 550 in one and 200 in the other
That's based on the average votes-per-precinct in those two counties thus far.

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Paradoxical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #63
65. So not enough to make up a 1900 vote lead.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:06 AM
Response to Reply #65
73. That's just in the 2 precincts that favor Prosser -- the rest of the 53 precincts outstanding favor
Kloppenburg.
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Paradoxical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:41 AM
Response to Reply #73
108. Oh alright I misread.
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rpannier Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:07 AM
Original message
Jefferson and Taylor
Jefferson has cast 22,000 votes
and Taylor 5,900 votes

They're not large
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W_HAMILTON Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:59 AM
Response to Reply #51
56. Yeah...
...looks like the Republicans got tired of withholding their vote totals :)

Now, release the rest and let us go to bed! I gotta get up in a few hours and study for an exam, dammit!
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:50 AM
Response to Reply #56
114. I feel your pain -- I need to crash soon too
but I was sure hoping Kloppenburg would reclaim the lead before I had to go to bed :)
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bkkyosemite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
53. Marathon 100% in Milwaukee still out
Taylor 29/30 1 left

61% 3,602 P

39% 2,266 K

******

Sauk 31/39 8 left

6,166 45% P

7,625 55% K

*****

Milwaukee 474/486 12 left

95,129 43% P

125,090 57% K


*****

Marathon 100% IN........******




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bkkyosemite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:00 AM
Response to Reply #53
58. Sorry did not finish got too excited that Marathon was in while putting info up :-)
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TygrBright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:00 AM
Response to Original message
57. I can hear a junoesque female singing scales and arpeggios.... n/t
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:00 AM
Response to Original message
59. Michael Moore tweet....8 mins ago
1/3 of Eau Claire county hasn't reported and its been going 60/40 for Kloppenburg, a lot depends upon that
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #59
67. Eau Claire Country is hand counting ballots
Here's the tweet from Think Progress: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

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Arkana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:03 AM
Response to Original message
64. Dammit, cheeseheads, you better do this thing.
I don't want to have to swear off politics for another month like I did after November.
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
68. Watch the freepers heads explode when the rest of Milwaukee, Eau Claire, and Madison come in and....
we take the lead just outside the automatic recount number.
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #68
75. I don't think there's an auto recount threshold
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:12 AM by demwing
but if the total vote difference falls short of 0.5%, then the recount is free, so it might as well be automatic :) Btw, Kloppenburg just jumpe to within 600 votes - thats a 0.04% difference!
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
69. another mm tweet
How does an unknown Dem attorney bring a 30-yr incumbent conservative justice within inches of ending his judicial career
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
70. 55 Precincts remaining, and they ought to break about 59% for Kloppenburg
If the votes in the remaining precincts follow suit with the reported precincts for their given counties, the votes outstanding should favor Kloppenburg by almost 60%.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:11 AM
Response to Reply #70
79. At that rate, Kloppenburg should take the lead if about 10500 more votes are counted
If my math is correct. Which it may not be.
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bbgrunt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
71. jsonline:
RESULTS as of Wednesday, Apr 06, 2011 at 01:03 am CDT
Election Home
Supreme Court REPORTING 98%
David Prosser (inc)

728,203
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg

726,325
50
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:06 AM
Response to Original message
72. Marathon is closed, Prosser really has no where else to find votes
and Milwaukee and Eau Clair are still wide open!!!
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:07 AM
Response to Reply #72
74. I think she might just do it...
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:10 AM
Response to Reply #74
77. If it holds to form the one remaining Dane County precinct will net over 500 votes for us.
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Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:16 AM
Response to Reply #77
87. Difference now less than 600 with that lone Dane precinct still out
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:17 AM by Skip Intro
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WhoIsNumberNone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:10 AM
Response to Original message
76. 55 precincts left to report- 13 of them in Dane Co and Milwaukee
Jefferson Co (1) and Taylor Co (1) are the only ones that favor Prosser.
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ThatPoetGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:11 AM
Response to Original message
78. Almost all the remaining distrcts will favor the good guys.
6 districts in Ashland, where she's winning 71/29.
2 in Crawford where she's winning 59/41.
1 in Dane where she's winning 73/27.
6 in Dunn where she's 54/46.
11 in Eau Claire where she's 60-40.
1 in Jefferson where she's 42-58.
1 in Juneau where she's 52-48.
12 in Milwaukee where she's 57-43.
8 in Sauk, 55-45.
1 in Taylor, 39-61.

I call 57% of the remaining votes for Kloppenburg, not counting the absentees.
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:11 AM
Response to Original message
80. FINAL EAU CLAIR NUMBERS are out. Kloppenberg nets an additional 1283 (not on AP yet)
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:12 AM by BzaDem
http://www.co.eau-claire.wi.us/eau_claire/Elections.pdf

This puts Kloppenberg within about 600 of winning.
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Lisa0825 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:11 AM
Response to Original message
81. Holy shit!
Supreme Court REPORTING 99%
David Prosser (inc)

733,074
50%
Joanne Kloppenburg

732,489
50%

down only 585!!!
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #81
85. Yiiiiiiikes! I can't take this!!!!!
:banghead:
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TacticalPeek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:11 AM
Response to Original message
82. I hope she wins by 537 votes.

:smoke:

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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #82
83. Why's that? Am I missing a joke, it's late...
'splain Lucy
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #83
84. That was Bush's "margin of victory" in Florida 2000. n/t
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:16 AM
Response to Reply #84
88. derp
herp derp
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:16 AM
Response to Reply #82
89. Heh...wouln't that be sweet.
:smoke:
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jpgray Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:16 AM
Response to Original message
86. Kloppenburg now down by only 600!
gogogogogo

P 733,074

K 732,489
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W_HAMILTON Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:17 AM
Response to Reply #86
90. I don't see how she can lose.
Unless almost all the remaining districts go completely away from where they have been leaning, or they all magically go to 100% reporting with no change in vote totals, she should readily be able to make up the ~600 vote difference.
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #90
92. Ashland County alone might be able to make it up.
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kevinbgoode Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:19 AM
Response to Reply #90
93. ugh...she needs to average about 18 more votes than him
in each of the remaining 34 precincts to eke out a win
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #86
91. That leap brought to us by Eau Claire County - Thanks up there!
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:20 AM
Response to Reply #86
94. yeah, she should make that margin up with Milwaukee county
:kick:
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brentspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:21 AM
Response to Original message
95. Dane is actually closed; there is no outstanding Dane precinct to report
Even though AP is still listing it incomplete.
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kevinbgoode Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:23 AM
Response to Reply #95
96. :(
now I'm biting the skin under my nails!
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:58 AM
Response to Reply #95
126. So what was Dane's final tally?
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:24 AM
Response to Original message
97. 6 prec out in Ashland county, K with 71% of vote there
1 prec in Dane County, K with 73% of vote there

2 out in Dune County, K with 55%

1 out in Jefferson County, K with 42%

1 Out in Juneau, K with 52%

12 out in Milwaukee, K with 57%

8 out in Sauk, K with 55%

If these trends hold, she wins with about 700-1,000 votes
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brentspeak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:25 AM
Response to Reply #97
98. Dane is closed; AP in error is listing an unreported precinct n/t
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:28 AM
Response to Reply #98
100. That's only 1 precinct....
Still, she is down by about 585 votes, the trends point to her...

It will e close, under 1000 votes, but I believe, if the trends hold, she wins...
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:27 AM
Response to Original message
99. Mark Ruffalo tweet
Okay. I will try to sleep and hope that when I wake Santa will have left us all a big ole Kloppenburg in a bow.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:30 AM
Response to Original message
101. I estimate 12000 votes left in 34 precincts -- Kloppenburg needs to make up 585 votes
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:35 AM by fishwax
Based on the average number of votes per precinct and the average advantage for Kloppenburg based on precincts counted in the precincts remaining, Kloppenburg should make that up with about 1000 votes to spare.

I estimate about 12600 votes left to be counted, with 7200 going to Kloppenburg. That would give her about 739700 to Prosser's roughly 738500.

On edit: brentspeak said upthread that Dane county is actually closed and that the AP is error in listing one remaining precinct, which would make it about 350 votes closer--still giving Kloppenburg about a 800-1000 vote edge.

I don't know why I'm bothering crunching these numbers, though, since a recount seems pretty likely :)
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:34 AM
Response to Original message
102. What's going on in Milwaukee????? The same # of precincts were reported HOURS ago. n/t
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:34 AM by in_cog_ni_to
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:35 AM
Response to Original message
103. Campaign says justice prosser coming out soon to make a statement.
from tweets
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:36 AM
Response to Reply #103
104. I hope it's to concede. n/t
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Control-Z Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:38 AM
Response to Reply #104
105. Do republicans do that?
I just can't imagine, especially with the race so close.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:40 AM
Response to Reply #105
107. You're right. It's probably way past his bedtime. n/t
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:41 AM
Response to Reply #104
109. says, "I had a rip-roaring victory speech prepared".
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:43 AM by eowyn_of_rohan
Says he also had a concession speech. But he didn't have a speech for "an impasse".


... don't want to hold people here. I want to go to bed. Little doubt of a recall.
Twitter - 1 minute ago
... Not sure what's actually out, or what's real. expects good results but wants to go to bed. Thank you all

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TygrBright Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:45 AM
Response to Reply #109
110. He wishes. I think by the time they count all the absentees...
Kloppenburg's margin of victory will be comfortable and the inevitable recount will be merely symbolic.

"impasse" indeed.

cynically,
Bright
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:48 AM
Response to Reply #110
113. He's such an arrogant little baby - here's more
"We've withstood the greatest assault on a person's character in the history of the Wisconsin judiciary..."--- David Prosser
‎"We've weathered the nuclear blast, and I'm still standing...

Prosser says he had a victory statement ready, he had a concession statement ready, but did not prepare a statement for a deadlock. He expects he will hold his slight lead and will win the race. A recount is all-but-certain. (1:41 AM)
.News/Talk 1130 WISN
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:38 AM
Response to Original message
106. New chart from Swing State of remaining precincts NOT reported
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:46 AM
Response to Reply #106
112. !!! It looks like Kloppenburg just shrunk the margin again by 229 from Dunn county
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:47 AM by BzaDem
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:53 AM
Response to Reply #112
120. Yes!
:kick:
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:45 AM
Response to Original message
111. Prosser just came out and said...
"We've withstood the greatest assault on a person's character in the history of the Wisconsin judiciary..."--- David Prosser
‎"We've weathered the nuclear blast, and I'm still standing...

Prosser says he had a victory statement ready, he had a concession statement ready, but did not prepare a statement for a deadlock. He expects he will hold his slight lead and will win the race. A recount is all-but-certain. (1:41 AM)
.News/Talk 1130 WISN
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W_HAMILTON Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:51 AM
Original message
A Republican who is currently ahead saying there will be a recount...
...means he fully expects to be behind when the votes are all in, and he will expect a recount :)

You can be sure if he expected to remain in the lead, he would have declared victory.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:53 AM
Response to Original message
121. I agree. And to go to bed when you're ahead by just a few hundred votes?
Me thinks he knows more than we do.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:51 AM
Response to Reply #111
116. *Prosser* has been the victim of character assault? That's not how I've been hearing it
Yeesh. :eyes:
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kevinbgoode Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:54 AM
Response to Reply #111
122. I get so tired of supposed "conservatives" being such drama queens
must they exaggerate everything? Someone should mention to them that there isn't anything "conservative" about being overly dramatic about everything everytime they open their mouths. . .

just sayin'.... :)
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:54 AM
Response to Reply #111
123. Milwaukee and Dane still have unreported precincts.
MILWAUKEE AND DANE!
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #111
125. More from a reporter on Twitter
From http://twitter.com/News3David

# Prosser: "We weathered the nuclear blast, and I'm still standing". #badtiming #japan #tobefairits143am 11 minutes ago via TweetDeck


#

Prosser calls Kloppenburg a "distinguished opponent". Says he feels he "sustained" an assault on his character. 12 minutes ago via TweetDeck

#

Prosser: "I had a rip-roaring victory speech prepared". Says he also had a concession speech. But he didn't have a speech for "an impasse". 14 minutes ago via TweetDeck

#

Prosser: "It's past my bedtime here". Thanks people for coming out for "historic election". 15 minutes ago via TweetDeck

#

Prosser at lectern. 17 minutes ago via TweetDeck


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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:51 AM
Response to Original message
115. If you add in the final votes from Dunn county not on AP's site, she is now down only 356!
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:52 AM
Response to Reply #115
117. You beat me!
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 01:53 AM by demwing
just did the math myself... :)

Here's a link to the county site:
http://dunncountywi.govoffice2.com/vertical/Sites/%7B8D...
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:52 AM
Response to Reply #115
118. With almost all blue boxes to go, right?
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:53 AM
Response to Reply #118
119. Yup. n/t
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demwing Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 02:02 AM
Response to Reply #118
128. yep
and the current difference between the two (356 votes) works out to 0.02% Even if She loses (she wont) it will go to a recount. In this state, we're safe - SoS is a true Dem.
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fishwax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:54 AM
Response to Original message
124. I was really hoping for a "boom goes the dynamite" kind of moment before having to call it a night
But it looks like it might yet be a while before she actually takes the lead. I'm confident, though, that she will, even if it's after I've wandered off to dreamland. :)
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 01:58 AM
Response to Reply #124
127. Nite! I hope you wake up to good news! n/t
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 02:05 AM
Response to Original message
129. 2:58am update Posser +584
County Precincts D. Prosser (i) J. Kloppenburg
Total 3596/3630 733,074
50% 732,489
50%
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 02:19 AM
Response to Reply #129
130. The AP has not yet updated the Dunn County numbers, they went to bed apparently
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 02:21 AM by Tx4obama

Update - Dunn County

Kloppenburg gains another 229 votes from final Dunn county numbers: http://bit.ly/e7JovI Lead down to 356 votes. 32 precincts left.


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Zorra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 02:29 AM
Response to Reply #130
131. Thanks. Awesome. DU is now a faster, more reliable news source than AP.
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 02:30 AM by Zorra
Well, I guess that's not really saying all that much.
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blogslut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 07:51 AM
Response to Original message
132. Votes are coming in this morning
As of 7:50 AM CST:

Prosser 736,878/Kloppenburg 736,043

3606 of 3630 precincts reporting
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:07 AM
Response to Reply #132
133. Yep. Dane and Milwaukee are almost done.
Edited on Wed Apr-06-11 08:09 AM by FBaggins
Three precincts between them that could hold another 300-400 net votes for us (assuming they're similar to the average precinct in the county - a BIG "if")..

1/3 of the remaining precincts are in Sauk. That's another 350-400 or so (same caveat).

Not much else that isn't split pretty evenly.

Looks like we start the recount down about 200.


On edit - Update - My mistake. The two remaining Milwaukee precincts are in West Aillis. That's about a 350 vote net swing.
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:09 AM
Response to Reply #133
134. and don't forget there are provisional ballots that favor Dems.
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FBaggins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #134
136. Could be a long bloody battle.
Lots still to come.
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cascadiance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 08:09 AM
Response to Reply #132
135. How come Prosser picked up 200 votes from Milwaukee but K's percentage INCREASED from 56% to 57%??
That doesn't seem to add up.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:26 AM
Response to Original message
137. Just logged on.....she's down by 835? Have absentee ballots been counted yet? Are
all precincts counted?
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highplainsdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-06-11 09:34 AM
Response to Original message
138. She's down by only 419 votes now, and almost all the uncounted precincts are in counties she won.
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