2012 Congressional election predictions

[Pryderi]

Poll question: 2012 Congressional election predictions

Which party will control Congress after 2012 election!?

[LAGC]

1. Quite frankly, ever since the Citizens United decision...

It could be awhile before we see Democrats re-gain control of Congress, period.

It's been nothing but solid Republican victories since.

[kelly1mm]

3. Here is my prediction as of now:

Obama beats Perry for President
Senate = Republicans net +5 (gaining control)
House = Democrats net + 8-12 (Republicans keep control)

As to the Congressional races, both predictions are due to the receding 'wave' elections of 2006 when Democrats won big in the Senate races and are now up for reelection and 2010 where Republicans won big in the House.

The R Senate pickups will be:
Virgina
North Dakota
Florida
Missouri
Nebraska
Montana

And they will lose
Massachusetts

[elocs]

2. So, 7 DUers are delusional enough to believe Dems will control both Houses of Congress.

Wow, it must be great to be able to exist outside of reality.