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Obama's approval rating in Texas… (I'm not making this up)…. 51%!!!!

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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 08:59 PM
Original message
Obama's approval rating in Texas… (I'm not making this up)…. 51%!!!!

A new poll which was published in the Houston Chronicle has Obama's approval rating in the state of Texas at 51%. Texans Governor Rick Perry's approval rating is 54%. (Yes that is within the margin of error.)



THE STORY- I GIVE UP! I can no longer figure this out! Another poll showing shocking strength for the incumbent President. (And in a must win red state for the GOP no less). The country's "right track/wrong track numbers are terrible. The economy is in shambles. Unemployment is over 9%. We are involved in 3 wars of which none of them are popular. And Obama gets unfairly hammered in the press day and night. Everything seems to be lined up against this President.,EXCEPT FOR THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. The bottom line, at least according to this poll, if Texas governor Rick Perry and Barrack Obama were in a Presidential race…. RIGHT NOW TEXAS WOULD BE A TOSS-UP STATE.


THE GOOD- "A poll by the nonpartisan Lyceum group finds that the majority of likely voters in Texas approve of the job Republican Rick Perry is doing as governor and Democrat Barack Obama is doing as president.
The poll shows Perry — a potential presidential candidate — with a 54 percent job approval rating among those surveyed.
Obama's approval rating stands at 51 percent. That's up from 47 percent in 2010."



THE BAD-I have never heard of this pollster (The Lyceum Group). I don't know how reliable they are, what their track record is, or if they are unbiased or lean to the left or right. Either way at least locally in Texas, the poll was credible enough to be printed in the largest city newspapers in Houston and San Antonio. Still,l I like to see cross-tabs before I get overly excited or deflated by any poll. This Poll was also conducted right around the time Bin Laden was captured, so Obama's numbers could be artificially inflated a little bit. ( I don't know why it only came out today if it was completed in May.)



THE INTERESTING- The bottom line is the President is very strong. Texas is suppose to be a noncompetitive state for Obama. But even against the states popular governor, he shows stunning strength. Although the poll was taken around the time Bin Laden was captured and killed, it should be noted that Obama's "ratings bump" really was never that much. It was worth no more than 2-3 points in most polls. So even an approval rating of 48-49% in Texas is very good. Remember we are talking about Texas here. This is the second poll in 3 days (South Carolina being the other) where the President currently is very competitive in what is suppose to be solid GOP territory.




Right now Obama truly is the teflon president. You can't hit him with anything. In that regard, at least RIGHT NOW, he is very much like Ronald Reagan, who to my frustration coming from the left, had very similar personal qualities with the American people.




I wonder when the news media is going to report this?



Full story here:
http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/article/Majority-suppo...

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. This will cause other pollsters to go out and test Texas out
You can damn well bet like clockwork that Scotty Razzman will have a convenient poll within a day or two showing Obama at 35% in Texas.
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MadMaddie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. The Hispanic vote will carry a lot of weight the more the
Repugs attack Latino's across the country.....the Repuglicans continue their attacks...these numbers will continue inch up for President Obama.
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I agree that demographic shifts favor us...


but I thought Texas was at least 2 Presidential elections away from seeing enough of a population change for us to be competitive. Its just impossible for Obama to be running this well in the lone star state. But hey… all I do is post information. And thats what the data says.


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nevergiveup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:11 PM
Response to Original message
3. I like it but I am not buying it.
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:13 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. I tend to agree with you!
Edited on Thu Jun-16-11 09:17 PM by aaaaaa5a
That number is just to good to be true.



Hopefully we will have more info in the coming days to see if this is an outlier. But if Obama is close to 50% in Texas, this race is over.
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Harmony Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I'll buy it
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-16/massachusetts-...

I think most Texans are not willing to swallow what the Republicans are shoveling anymore.

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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 10:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. I agree
As we've seen from polls recently, they can vary widely based on methodology.
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 10:00 PM
Response to Original message
7. I love your posts summarizing and analyzing polls. Don't stop (unless they get really depressing).
:yourock:
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #7
17. thank you! nt
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tammywammy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-16-11 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. k&r
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DCBob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 06:17 AM
Response to Original message
10. Texas could become another battleground state. Traditionally the Republicans counted on Texas..
for an easy big electoral catch. This has to be disturbing to the GOP.
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Paladin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 10:49 AM
Response to Original message
11. Obama Got 3.5 Million Votes In Texas In 2008.

A fact that the Hate Texas At All Costs crowd here at DU continuously overlooks. (So much more satisfying to shit-can an entire state and its people; right, guys?)
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Ishoutandscream2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 10:58 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Yep, and those folks won't come out and say this is good news
They live to hate and despise Texas. Obama could have approval ratings in the 90s in Texas, and the DU hate brigade would still bash away.
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JNelson6563 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 11:01 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. This Michigander appreciates you!
It saddens me to see entire states or even regions of the country dismissed with generalizations. There are good progressives in every state and region of the country, we need to reach out to those like minded souls, not alienate them!

To all our long suffering friends in Texas: Rock On! :toast:

Julie
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 01:25 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Thank you! nt
Edited on Fri Jun-17-11 01:26 PM by aaaaaa5a
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Ishoutandscream2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
14. Kick to the top
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-17-11 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
16. There is opportunity in the South.
Edited on Fri Jun-17-11 01:31 PM by aaaaaa5a
According to the numbers, there were some southern states that "relatively speaking" were not all that, that, that bad.


Key southern states Obama lost in the 2008 Presidential election (like just about every democrat post civil rights!)



Reasonably close southern states (M-McCain, O-Obama)

Georgia
M-52%
O-47%

South Carolina
M-54%
O-45%

Texas
M-55%
O-45%


Whats interesting here is that right now Obama plans to make a big play for Georgia. This was a state he "very quietly" only lost by 5 points in 2008. Ironically his next 2 closest southern states (South Carolina and Texas) are the states where the President is currently pulling shockingly good polling numbers.


States in the middle

Mississippi
M-56%
O-43%


Kentucky
M-57%
O-41%




States with still a lot of work to be done

Oklahoma
M-66%
O-35%

Alabama
M-60%
O-39%

Arkansas
M-59%
O-39%

Louisiana
M-59%
O-40%



Of course Obama won North Carolina by 0.32% of the vote.




And finally CONSIDER THIS……………


In 2008, Obama won Virginia by 6.3% of the vote. Obama beat McCain by a bigger margin in Virginia than McCain beat Obama by in Georgia. And yet Virginia was considered a tossup state, while Georgia was considered a solid red state. This is great evidence as to how our mindset needs to change in regard to the South.

How is Virginia a battle-ground state in 2012 but not Georgia? :shrug:
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-19-11 03:42 PM
Response to Original message
18. Just image all the GOP heads that would explode if Obama won our 34 electoral votes :) n/t
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-19-11 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. When the demographics change in Texas is complete


the Democrats should have a hold on the Presidency for a generation. No GOP contender can come close to the White House without Texas. And because of demographics, Texas becomes more blue by the day. I think we are maybe 2 elections away from Texas being a legit battle-ground state in every Presidential election going forward. That is bad news for Republicans.
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