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I love Steve Bennen! Agree or not, his analyses are always worth reading.

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Kber Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 01:00 PM
Original message
I love Steve Bennen! Agree or not, his analyses are always worth reading.
THE POLITICAL/ELECTORAL IMPACT OF KILLING BIN LADEN

snip

It's called a "bounce" for a reason -- the president seems likely to see his standing improve almost immediately, but the bump in the polls seems likely to subside soon after. Making assumptions and predictions from this is generally a bad idea, especially if the election is not primarily about national security. In other words, will the OBL news set Obama's popularity on a new, semi-permanent trajectory? Probably not.

snip

But if we're laying odds on the president's re-election, the bin Laden news, I'd argue, bumps the likelihood up, at least a little. What I'm imagining is Obama and his supporters offering voters a list of accomplishments from his first term, and it's going to be a doozy: ended the Great Recession, health care reform, Wall Street reform, student loan reform, "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" repeal, New START, the Lily Ledbetter Fair Pay Act, the biggest overhaul of our food-safety laws in 70 years, new regulation of the credit card industry, new regulation of the tobacco industry, a national service bill, expanded stem-cell research, the Hate Crimes Prevention Act, net neutrality, the most sweeping land-protection act in 15 years, health care for 9/11 rescue workers, and the confirmation of two Supreme Court justices.

Oh, and he killed Osama bin Laden.

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2011_05/029237.php
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Richardo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 01:02 PM
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1. +1
A reality-based analysis. :thumbsup: + :patriot: + :kick:
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Yavin4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 01:08 PM
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2. And Bought His Girls A Puppy!
How you like me now.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 01:20 PM
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3. I'm gonna say it....
Edited on Mon May-02-11 01:23 PM by FrenchieCat
Cause he's President while Black, his list of accomplishments won't matter.
Instead folks will zero in on what he hasn't accomplished....

So for Barack Obama to get re-elected, he will have to have:
unemployment down to 4% done by pulling Union jobs out of his ass,
make sure everyone's mortgage has been paid,
bring Bush to justice,
make weed legal,
get rid of DOMA with a Republican majority House,
cure cancer,
and kiss the media's ass every single day of his remaining term....
oh, and also prevent any further natural disaster,
and of course, reduce gas price to not more than $3.00,
and make sure that the dow is at 13,000.

Now, if he does all of those things, than he's a shoe-in!
But of course, if someone finds his grades (and there is a B on there)
and it is rumored that Bill Ayers took his SATs for him,
then he's out no matter what else he's done.

PS. If, however, He is found out to be an acoholic and it is discovered that
Michelle was in a fatal auto accident in where she was driving and killed someone,
and he allows through incompetence the largest attack on American soil,
well than he's in like Flint, notwithstanding his laundry list of "to do"s.

That's simply how we roll! :patriot:
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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 01:24 PM
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4. Benen and Ezra Klein
The two best political writers working today, IMO.
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intaglio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-02-11 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
5. That last bit should be tattooed hands of all the nay-sayers
... who post on DU

ended the Great Recession, health care reform, Wall Street reform, student loan reform, "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" repeal, New START, the Lily Ledbetter Fair Pay Act, the biggest overhaul of our food-safety laws in 70 years, new regulation of the credit card industry, new regulation of the tobacco industry, a national service bill, expanded stem-cell research, the Hate Crimes Prevention Act, net neutrality, the most sweeping land-protection act in 15 years, health care for 9/11 rescue workers, and the confirmation of two Supreme Court justices.

Oh, and he killed Osama bin Laden.
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