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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 08:50 AM
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Heritage Foundation pulls another set of numbers out of its ass

Heritage Foundation Removes Unemployment Data From Budget Study

Benjy Sarlin

Apparently, the Heritage Foundation isn't comfortable being the butt of economists' jokes after boldly predicting a 2.8% unemployment rate in 2021 if the House GOP Budget is enacted. The think tank has removed the number from its study posted online.

As Paul Krugman pointed out in his blog, web users who downloaded a copy of the Heritage Foundation's analysis yesterday were treated to a table in the appendix detailing the unemployment rate under Paul Ryan's plan versus the CBO's projections for the President's budget. The same file downloaded today, however, omits the table entirely. TPM reached out to Heritage for an explanation and will post an update if they have further information.

Earlier today, the analyst responsible for the Heritage study conceded the numbers appeared a little low. But don't take the change in their report as a sign that Heritage has changed its rosy outlook on Ryan's plan -- the switch is only cosmetic. The overall job numbers remain the same in both versions, it's just the unemployment rate that's gone missing.

Update: William Beach, the Heritage analyst behind their budget study, tells Dave Weigel at Slate that they have updated their unemployment figures, which are now significantly higher. Under the new version, unemployment is 7.89% unemployment in 2012 (versus 6.4% in their first analysis) and 4.27% unemployment (versus 2.9% in the original) in 2020.

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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 08:53 AM
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1. "That's doesn't look right, add another 2 or 3% and let's call it a day."
Why are so many GOPer's laughably inept, but still successful?
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LiberalEsto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 09:17 AM
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2. They get money from the Kochroaches
What do you expect?
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 09:20 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. "What do you expect? " Not
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droidamus2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 09:18 AM
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3. Typical
As usual they throw out some really shocking number for its emotional effect and when called on it make up a slightly less dramatic number. A typical quote from the Mepublicans and their minions would be 'facts? We don't need no stinkin' facts. We make up our own facts'.
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rurallib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 09:18 AM
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4. sounds like they do analysis with a dartboard.
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-07-11 09:20 AM
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6. The Heritage Foundation forgets that their original chart will live forever on the 'internets.'
Thanks to Paul Krugman.
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