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Obama's path to renomination in 2012 will be the same as Clinton's in 1996

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:47 AM
Original message
Obama's path to renomination in 2012 will be the same as Clinton's in 1996
meaning that if Obama is challenged it will be by some fringe candidate like a LaRouchite or if anybody within the party of stature decides they may want to challenge the president it won't be on the left but the right (Evan Bayh?), but like Bob Casey even Bayh won't do it. Besides at this point Obama is still more popular than both Reagan or Clinton were in their presidencies, and neither of them were seriously challenged--and Obama will not be either:

With the advantage of incumbency, Bill Clinton's path to renomination by the Democratic Party was uneventful. At the 1996 Democratic National Convention, Clinton and incumbent Vice President Al Gore were renominated with token opposition. Incarcerated fringe candidate Lyndon LaRouche won a few Arkansas delegates that were barred from the convention. Former Pennsylvania governor Bob Casey contemplated a challenge to Clinton, but health problems forced Casey to abandon a bid.

Clinton easily won primaries nationwide, with margins consistently higher than 80%.<2>

Bill Clinton (inc.) - 9,706,802 (88.98%)
Lyndon LaRouche - 596,422 (5.47%)
Unpledged - 411,270 (3.77%)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential...
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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:48 AM
Response to Original message
1. Hmmmm .........
not if he forgets what he promised
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:48 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. So who is going to challenge him? who has expressed interest in it?
by this time if anybody is serious about it we would have some clues. It's just DU wishful thinking.
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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:50 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. I guess we'll welcome a RATpubliCON back in office
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:52 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. That's your opinion
there are many people who think he has done a good job, not happy with all aspects, but to call him a ratpublicon is downright stupid and to continue to hope for a primary challenge when the party as a whole likes Obama is foolish.
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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. I didn't call him a RATpubliCON
If he can't produce jobs I don't think he'll win reelection. And personally I don't feel he is 100% responsible by a long shot.

The DEM party as a whole is fractured and ineffective in setting their agenda and acting in the best interest of the country. The RATpubliCONs ARE effective but don't act in the best interest of the country.

It doesn't leave a lot of choices
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avebury Donating Member (455 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. I would love to see Alan Greyson run
Grayson would keep the race focused on the crap that the Republicans and Tea Baggers pulls. I would vote for Grayson.
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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Some things need to be said
Al Sharpton didn't have a chance in Hell - but he Fiercely Spoke the Truth at every oppertunity
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 10:49 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Then the most likely candidate to beat him and the GOP would be....
...?
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
7.  I dunno. The expectations for this President were so high it is
Edited on Wed Dec-01-10 11:06 AM by saracat
taking some awhile to come to terms with the fact the party may have to field someone. It would have been almost impossible to imagine anyone openly speculating about primarying the president even a short while ago ,but this is being spoken about in many arena's lately. As things get worse, a primary challenger becomes more likely.
I believe the only thing preventing it at the moment is shell shock and apathy. The people that supported the president didn't turn out to vote in the midterms.I am not sure what anyone is going to do in the future but we have a lot a really good Dems who were cut loose in the last GE. And they may be available and willing when they complete their terms.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
8. Reality
Some here are not living In reality.We can not afford a long costly primary.Republicans will start
to line up after Iowa and NH over a frontrunner.That will be Palin or Romney.Romney's path Is Gingrich and Huchabee cutting Into Palin's numbers.

Obama will win the democratic Nomination.The 2012 election will not be 2010.Even now Q has Obama
beating Palin.PPP has Obama winning with only Romney making It a razor thin race.

Just as Clinton was not challenged neither will Obama.Remember Obama Is better off than Clinton or
even Reagan was after bad mid terms.

To keep the senate In 2012 and to make any gains back In House we need a sucessful Presidential
candiate.A long primary will kill that.Obama will win the nomination so all a primary fight will do
Is help Palin.

It Is one thing to disagree with and critize Obama's decsions but some here are so bashing Obama
this Is almost turning Into Republican Underground.
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Uzybone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. +10000
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Dec-01-10 03:45 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. +1
I might add that the last thing our party needs is a stage to showcase how batshit insane a certain portion of our party is (namely, the kinds of idiots who keep saying that Obama is a corporatist or a Manchurian candidate here on DU).
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