CNN/Time Poll--Nevada Senate: Angle 49% Reid 45%

[WI_DEM]

I can't believe Nevada will elect this nut case!?

CNN) – With six days to go until the midterm elections, a new poll indicates the Republican challenging Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid holds a four point advantage in the most high profile Senate battle in the country.

According to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Wednesday, 49 percent of likely voters in Nevada are backing GOP Senate nominee Sharron Angle, who enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement, with 45 percent supporting Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber. Angle's four point margin is within the poll's sampling error.

According to the CNN/Time poll, Reid leads 96 to 3 percent among Democrats, with Angle leading 82 to 10 percent among Republicans and 53 to 38 percent among independent voters.

"Reid is doing best in Clark County, home not just to Las Vegas but to his hometown of Searchlight," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "He manages a virtual tie with Angle in her home territory in Washoe County, where Reno is located. But Reid is getting clobbered in the rest of the state, losing the rural areas of Nevada by more than three-to-one."

In a sign that enthusiasm for voting appears to be on the Republican side, when expanded from those likely to vote to the larger sample of all registered voters, Reid holds a 43 to 39 percent advantage over Angle,

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/10/27/cnntime-poll-angle-49-reid-45-in-nevada/

[otohara]

1. They Will Come to Regret This

or not, we are after all a nation of amnesiacs.

[okieinpain]

3. well to me repugs are stupid, so I can see where they are coming

from. but this disappointed dems stuff is driving me crazy.

[BlueGirlRedState]

2. What about the Hispanic vote?

Are they counted in the polling?

[AtomicKitten]

5. I think the GOP has really po'd the Hispanic community in Nevada

both with their racist ads as well as the campaign telling them not to vote.

I'm hoping they turn out en masse to vote against the GOP.

[Telalim]

30. Problem with Nevada is too many white people versus blacks and Hispanics

If you look at the stats for Nevada, while Hispanics make up 30% of the population, far
fewer in proportion to the white population aren't eligible/registered to vote. Blacks make up about 10% of the population. In essence, it's too white, that's why a nutcase like Angle is ahead in the polls. As Obama said, people are tribal in their voting this year. The problem for Reid is that he's on the short end of the tribal stick in Nevada.

[AtomicKitten]

39. Rachel's is there today. Maybe she'll sort it out.

:D

[totodeinhere]

15. The GOP has a popular Hispanic running for Governor.

Some observers feel that this fact helps the GOP in other Nevada races with Hispanic voters.

[Cali_Democrat]

4. What does this say about America?

Racist ads that portray Latinos as criminals and gang bangers going after innocent white people actually work.

Fuck this country. I want to move out of here!

[swilton]

6. She will be in good company with James Inhofe

[budkin]

7. You just know Reid is going to lose

[wisteria]

23. No I don't. This race was just about tied up until this poll-one poll.

I believe he can pull this out.

[depakid]

33. Reid's approval rating has been in the low 30's and disapproval in the 50's

for over a year.

That's a far better indicator of his probability of success next Tuesday than any snapshot poll (although this one does at least take into account Nevada's "none of the above" option that helped Harry out in the past).

[tallahasseedem]

8. I guess I'm in denial...

but I'm not counting Reid out. We still have a few days to get things turned around. GOTV!

[madmax]

44. +1

[Kind of Blue]

59. +2

[jenmito]

9. John Ralston from NV was just on The Ed Show and said CNN's polling method was all

messed up, they over-sampled those favorable to Angle and under-sampled those favorable to Reid, and that if they had done an ACCURATE poll, Reid would be UP by 8%!

[mvd]

10. Thanks - that's a relief

Also, I wonder how these pollsters are getting "likely voters?" That's a big gap between reg. and likely voters. :hi:

[jenmito]

11. Yup, it was a relief to me, too,

since CNN "teased" its viewers by telling them the results of that poll. Ralston knows the makeup of NV better than CNN who seems to want to further their agenda.

[vaberella]

48. And they say the media is right wing. These assholes are trying to mess with the polling.

If the media is doing this---can we call this gerrymandering?

[Robbins]

12. Look behind the lines

the registed voters In all except the Kentuckey poll says Democrats can win If vote.Nevada,Colorado,PA are all winnable.Of course
no one will In the Media will discuss the registered numbers.The point IS we should ignore pundits and their likely voter Polls
and vote.Any Democrat/Obama Supporter who does not vote should not complain about anything.

If Republicans are even talking about Demos and Unions stealing election that means they want talking points to the MSM and Tea
Party babe when they lose.Democrats are doing well In early voting.Now In the South that means nothing since many who call themselves Democrats will vote Republican but eaarly voting helps In Nevada,Midwest,and northeast.Those Democrats there unlike the
South will vote for Democrats.

[totodeinhere]

16. I haven't seen a single poll that has Reid up by 8%.

Is he saying that every poll is wrong?

[wisteria]

26. I don't think he is up by 8, but I doubt he is behind by 5. I think the race is tied

and CNN doesn't like this-it isn't good for their ratings.

[jenmito]

32. No...

he only knows about NV.

[saltpoint]

22. I'll take an 8-point lead for Reid over a nutcase like

Angle.

Hell, yeah.

+1

:hi:

[jenmito]

34. So will I...

and so will Reid! :hi:

[wisteria]

24. I am sick and tired of these MSM polls being conducted to sway the election in the ways they want

them too.

[jenmito]

35. They're hoping for a self-fulfilling prophecy. n/t

[derby378]

13. Oh fuckety-fuck...

Reid hasn't lost yet. If you're still capable of fighting, get out there and do something.

[rasputinkhlyst]

14. Need folks to GOTV

In the rural counties.

[polichick]

17. A reporter from Nevada (on Big Ed's Show) said there are lots of problems...

...with this poll.

[Dawson Leery]

28. Specifically what kind of problems did he mention?

[CatWoman]

41. scroll up

they sampled more people who were favorable for Angle.

[JI7]

18. so the racist ads are working ?

[BlueIdaho]

19. Looks like it's time to get out the vote...

Work like hell, make calls, knock on doors, offer rides to the polls, and give what you can.

It ain't over till it's over.

[Thrill]

20. It's really sad when a state could vote an ass clown

Like this into the Senate

[Rosa Luxemburg]

21. Raving loonies in Nevada

[MadMaddie]

25. Sorry but I don't believe this poll

Are they actually asking us to believe they polling the Hispanics in Nevada?

I believe they are downplaying the Democratic uptick....they are trying to manage the story.

[grantcart]

37. There is a raging controversy about Gallup's use of screening for LV in this election

In one poll Gallup had more African Americans voting for Republicans than Democrats.

[pnorman]

51. "In one poll Gallup had more African Americans voting for Republicans than Democrats"

I'm aware of pollsters switching back and forth between LVs & RVs, just to get the "desired" result, but African Americans? Hispanics "might" be barely conceivable, but even then........ Could you provide any details on that?

[MadMaddie]

53. Exactly!

Propaganda at it's finest!

[rufus dog]

27. This doesn't seem to jive with Angle suggesting voter fraud

Why would she make unsubstantiated claims unless she felt she was behind?

[saltpoint]

29. Agree. Maybe it's a case of her internal polling showing

the race tightening with Reid pulling ahead, or maybe her accusation of Reid stealing the vote is just in keeping with her crazed, paranoid vision of the world.

The woman is unfit for public service in either case.

[denimgirly]

31. Not a big fan of Reid so i am not too concerned.

I am more concerned with other races but not this one. If reid loses i am not going to cry.

[HughMoran]

56. Yeah, Reid sucks so I don't care if a mentally ill troll who avoids the media gets in

I mean, what harm could she do compared to Reid?

:eyes:

[Teaser]

36. maybe it's time we stop disbelieving that people will elect someone like Angle

humans have defective mental hardware.

[BeyondGeography]

38. Nevada is a hell-hole

If you think your local economy sucks, multiply it by three or four and you'll have an idea how bad it is out there. People are in total denial about how and why; it has nothing to do with their failure to diversify and invest when times were good, it's all about what Obama did or didn't do ten minutes ago. Reid gets caught in the crosshairs of anger and free-floating rage. It would almost shock me if he won.

[RBInMaine]

46. Too many Americans only think in the moment. They don't analyze the REASONS for things. SAD.

[Mid_FL_voter]

40. Don't travel to states who elect nut cases. N/T

[bindelh]

42. Poll of Registered Voters in Nevada Oct. 20-26

Oct. 20-26 CNN / Opinion Research 1,286 Registered Voters Reid 43% Angle 39% Size of Lead +4

Looks like Reid is in the lead. :D

[RBInMaine]

47. But it is the LIKELY voters that matter most in polling, Reid will need MASSIVE GOTV.

[vaberella]

50. Provide a reliable link please. n/t

[pnorman]

43. Had Reid only listened to some here on DU,

and have been much MORE "progressive"? Would that have put him comfortably ahead in the polls?

(Do I REALLY need to add a sarcasm smiley to the above?)

[RBInMaine]

45. Extremely liberal Dems rarely win in purple to red states like Nevada. But for the economy, Angle

would be toast.

[vaberella]

49. Are you kidding?! They're going for Angle who's EXTREME right.

How do you think Progressive Reid, or one more progressive would beat an EXTREME righty. If this is true, this is a reflection of the population---which is EXTREMELY right, end of story. Don't lay an illogical blame. Blame the constituents who seemingly are made up of racist old people who hate women.

[phleshdef]

54. Exactly. Some of us are so in love with our own ideology that we are blind to the fact...

...that we are still far outnumbered by the total of Republicans, non-progressive Independents and Conservative Democrats.

Its great to acknowledge that the progressive approach is what this country needs. But you can't blindly ignore that its also not what a good deal of this country is on board with, at least not yet.

[a kennedy]

52. I just can not believe this........she is INSANE!!!

WTF IS GOING ON WITH THESE PEOPLE. I'm just sick to my stomach....

[and-justice-for-all]

55. I do not believe it for a second, what a horse shit poll...

that is 49% of the people who took the poll, over and over and over...that poll is bullshit.

Angle will not BE ELECTED.

[marlakay]

57. It's going to be nuts for the next 6 years

with some of the tea party people in congress....i feel like screaming because anyone who would vote for the obvious dumb ones have to be crazy themselves and so what the hell is going on in our country????

are they all on antidepressants and drugged on junk food and sugar in their diets??? lulled into submission by fox news...

[mzmolly]

58. Or "Reid holds a 43 to 39 percent advantage over Angle"

... among registered voters.

[Kdillard]

60. Yep. We have to hope those Registered Voters actually vote.