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Brown 51- Coakley 46 PPP

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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:04 PM
Original message
Brown 51- Coakley 46 PPP
Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 10:05 PM by jezebel
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/01/massach...

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 51-46 in our final Massachusetts Senate poll, an advantage that is within the margin of error for the poll.

Over the last week Brown has continued his dominance with independents and increased his ability to win over Obama voters as Coakley's favorability numbers have declined into negative territory. At the same time Democratic leaning voters have started to take more interest in the election, a trend that if it continues in the final 36 hours of the campaign could put her over the finish line.

Here's what we found:

-Brown is up 64-32 with independents and is winning 20% of the vote from people who supported Barack Obama in 2008 while Coakley is getting just 4% of the McCain vote.

-Brown's voters continue to be much more enthusiastic than Coakley's. 80% of his say they're 'very excited' about voting Tuesday while only 60% of hers express that sentiment. But the likely electorate now reports having voted for Barack Obama by 19 points, up from 16 a week ago, and a much smaller drop from his 26 point victory in the state than was seen in Virginia.

-Those planning to turn out continue to be skeptical of the Democratic health care plan, saying they oppose it by a 48/40 margin.


More at link
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. what is ppp's track recrd? tia
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. They are a very good pollster in my opinion, who has only 1 or 2 recent blemishes
They were very good during the General Election, though they predicted Obama winning the PA Primary.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. not bad. screwed up big once in the last year.
.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Good pollster with one caveat...
They fucked up the NY-23 special election big time - http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2009/11/hoffman...

So there's hope...
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:19 PM
Response to Original message
5. It's Expected! What Confuses me is that Coakley and others are Surprised.
Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 10:21 PM by quantass
I mean Obama and the other democrats were voted into office in mass #s by a country who desperately wanted change, even the republican base felt enough was enough and either didnt show up or voted democratic for the first time. And now the current administration and Congress have sold their souls and sold their voters short. So i find it surprising that Coakley and others are scrambling in surprise that independents and their democratic base are not motivated or even angry with them. Seeing these new #s doesnt surprise me and although i hope Coakley eeks out a win i wont be shedding a tear if she loses.

60 democratic senators accomplished nothing, losing 1 more makes no difference. If the party is not willing to fight for the people then it is no better than being republican. As i see it the democratic party is more like republican-lite. Howard Dean being probably one of the few real democrats.

The upside to her losing is maybe Obama et al will actually do what the people want instead of adopting populist speech only during important elections.
The downside is they might get their wires crossed and think that the country wants a more right-wing view and become less interested in what the people want.
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:23 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. If Brown wins it will because the state of Mass. DOES want a more right wing view. Those voters are
not voting for Brown because Coakley is not progressive enough. They are voting for him because a large group of people hate O, hate Dem policies and they are MOTIVATED.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 10:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. No, it's not expected.
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