Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Greg Sargent's Plumline: Emerging Counter-Argument: Republicans have more retirements than Dems

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU
 
flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-06-10 12:31 PM
Original message
Greg Sargent's Plumline: Emerging Counter-Argument: Republicans have more retirements than Dems
With multiple pundits predicting the retirements of Byron Dorgan and Chris Dodd spell serious trouble for Dems ABC News says Dems are dropping like flies

Steve Benen spells out the counterargument:

In the House, 14 GOP incumbents have decided not to seek re-election, while 10 Democratic incumbents have made the same announcement. Does this mean Republicans are dropping like flies?

In the Senate, six Republican incumbents have decided not to seek re-election, while two Democratic incumbents have made the same announcement. Is this evidence of a mass Democratic exodus?


So, to review, Republican retirements outnumber Democratic retirements in the House, in the Senate, and among governors. The preferred Republican/media meme of the day doesnt match up well against reality.

Duly noted. Still, lets keep in mind that the Dorgan and Dodd announcements raise two separate questions. The first: What do the retirements say about the overall political environment and how difficult it is for Dems? The second: How do the Dorgan and Dodd retirements specifically impact Dem chances of holding their Senate super-majority?

The fact that the GOP has had more retirements doesnt materially impact the second question. The bottom line is that the Dorgan retirement is very bad news for Dems. Yes, it may well be offset by Dodds retirement, which gives Dems a much better chance of holding the Connecticut seat. But nonetheless, the North Dakota seat is now all but certain to flip Republican, and before, it wasnt.

more...

http://theplumline.whorunsgov.com/senate-republicans/em... /
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
bigdarryl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-06-10 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. You see this PROVES how the media tries and manipulate the American People
your not going to see this story in the media because there plan is to have the RETHUGS win in November to make Obama look bad
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
hughee99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-06-10 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. Open seats only matter in some districts...
Yes, any open seat is technically an opportunity for a party switch, but some seats aren't going to leave the a party's control regardless of who held the office before or why they left.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sun Dec 28th 2014, 10:01 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » General Discussion: Presidency Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC