Will we run last minute ads against Murkowski from the Right?

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

I doubt we will in reality, but here's the topic...

To narrowly win in a three-way race you need to get a certain level of support and you need your two opponents to be roughly tied.

If I get 35% then I win if neither of the other two get that much. If the second place candidate gets 34% then the third candidate gets 31%.

Any further disparity between the other two means I lose. I need the third candidate to get at least 29%!

In the Alaska senate race, for a while McAdams (D) was in dismal third place behind Miller (R-Wingnut) and Murkowski (I former R write in candidate.)

It is tough for a write-in candidate so Murkowski's polling has always been a little higher than she'll probably get.

Miller had to be taken down, and he was. But he is such a lame psycho that he ended up being taken down too hard.

Now Miller is in third and Murkowski has enough of a lead that even as a write-in she will probably win.

So we need a little support to go back from Murkowski to Miller. (There isn't a lot of untapped potential support for McAdam.)

So, peculiarly, the best use of McAdams resources might be to rush ads onto the air about how Murkowski isn't conservative enough.

Politics is a 24/7 irony generator.

[Motown_Johnny]

1. how about ads against Murcowski instead?

[alcibiades_mystery]

2. Paragraphs, my man

You write good shit, but it's hard to wade through 12 or 15 or 30 one line sentences. Paragraphs.

:-)

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

3. It depends on how you use the internet.

To people using smart phones and even some pad-type devices those single lines become five line grafs. Same for visually handicapped people using big type.

Even on my big widescreen monitor I find paragraphs of any length daunting because the monitor width makes the grafs very wide and thin and the distance from end of line to start is so great that over that distance I lose track a lot getting to the next line.

I try to have very short grafs. In this case you are right that they are mostly one liners.

[Blue_In_AK]

4. You're not going to believe this,

but I've actually seen some Miller people switch to McAdams within the last week, so to say that Scott has picked up all his potential voters isn't really correct.

It's true that Joe has pretty well done himself in, but the Division of Elections and our Supreme Court, in ruling that a write-in list can be provided in the polling stations (for the first time EVER in Alaska) has thoroughly pissed off undecided people on both the left and right and even some who had earlier planned to vote for Murkowski. The appearance is that Lisa has some unwarranted "pull" within the state elections division, and folks don't like that. Which explains why 170 people went down to the DOE here on Thursday and registered as Senate write-ins to confuse the issue and why one radio host had to take a day off.

It's all very complicated. Unless Scott wins outright on Tuesday, I think this election will be in the courts for months.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

5. Very interesting. Thanks!

[Blue_In_AK]

6. K&H, read the linked article about the Supreme Court decision

and then scroll down through the 816 comments to see how people are reacting to it.

One thing is for sure, there isn't voter apathy in Anchorage.


ed. Oh, a link would help, wouldn't it? :) http://www.adn.com/2010/10/29/1525676/alaska-supreme-court-weighing.html

Also related: http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154042
http://community.adn.com/adn/node/154002

[joshcryer]

7. You're going to love this:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=433&topic_id=494882&mesg_id=494882

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

8. Good. And the funny thing is

that the ad only needs to knock her down by any means nessecary.

Let the chips (votes) fall where they may.

Cool.